Cerro Largo vs Albion FC• Primera División, Uruguay

#140.4:1.60-1FT11/10 · Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla , Merlot1.2:2.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45PINX3.11PIN23.02PINMargin at best6.1%Books10Markets73Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 16:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.48	3.15	3.05	4.9%
Dafabet	2.45	3.25	3.00	4.9%
BetVictor	2.40	3.13	2.90	8.1%
Betano	2.37	3.10	2.82	9.9%
1xBet	2.37	3.00	2.85	10.6%
William Hill	2.40	2.90	2.90	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.35	3.00	2.78	11.9%
Bet365	2.30	3.00	2.80	12.5%
Betfair	2.30	3.00	2.80	12.5%
SBO	2.30	2.93	2.67	15.1%
Best of all books	2.48	3.25	3.05	3.9%
Average	2.37	3.05	2.86	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cerro LargoAlbion FC

Last 10#14Table position#81.03Points per game1.303Form pts · last 560.4Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 52.225Attack rating7558Defence rating4225Form rating7515H2H rating8553Goals model4736Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 20:20 UTC

Cerro Largo

1W 3D 6L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	H	Albion FC	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	Danubio	1-2	L
30 Sep	H	Rentistas	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Club Nacional	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Deportivo Maldonado	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Central Espanol	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Defensor Sporting	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Liverpool Montevideo	1-1	D
26 Aug	A	Plaza Colonia	1-2	L

Albion FC

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

15 Oct	A	Deportivo Maldonado	1-4	L
11 Oct	A	Cerro Largo	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Defensor Sporting	3-2	W
28 Sep	A	Wanderers	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Juventud	1-3	L
16 Sep	H	CA River Plate	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Penarol	1-3	L
7 Sep	H	Progreso	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	Progreso	2-1	W
31 Aug	A	Racing Montevideo	0-1	L

Head to head

0Cerro Largo wins

2draws

3Albion FC wins

5 meetings · goals 5:8 · last 5: 0W 2D 3L for Cerro Largo

5 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Albion FC2-2Cerro Largo
18 Sep 2022Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Cerro Largo1-2Albion FC
16 Apr 2022Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Albion FC2-1Cerro Largo
4 Sep 2018Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerro Largo1-1Albion FC
7 Apr 2018Segunda División	Segunda División	Albion FC1-0Cerro Largo

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 18 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, Cerro Largo sit 14th with 34 points from 33 games, while Albion FC are 8th with 43 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	32	19	7	6	51:26	+25	63
2	Deportivo Maldonado	32	17	8	7	50:28	+22	59
3	Atletico Torque	33	17	6	10	54:39	+15	57
4	Racing Montevideo	33	15	11	7	39:27	+12	56
5	Club Nacional	32	17	4	11	48:38	+10	55
6	Liverpool Montevideo	32	13	11	8	43:31	+12	50
7	Wanderers	33	14	8	11	41:42	-1	50
8	Albion FC	33	12	7	14	44:43	+1	43
9	Juventud	33	10	10	13	37:41	-4	40
10	Central Espanol	32	10	8	14	32:43	-11	38
11	Boston River	33	10	7	16	33:43	-10	37
12	Cerro	33	10	7	16	27:48	-21	37
13	Defensor Sporting	33	8	11	14	30:40	-10	35
14	Cerro Largo	33	8	10	15	30:38	-8	34
15	Progreso	33	9	5	19	30:47	-17	32
16	Danubio	32	5	14	13	26:41	-15	29

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.37X30%3.05232%2.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.24	1.67	4.5%
Betano	2.18	1.67	5.8%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
BetVictor	2.09	1.63	9.2%
Best of all books	2.24	1.67	4.5%
Average	2.16	1.64	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Betano	1.87	1.85	7.5%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.84	1.85	8.4%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.82	9.3%
Best of all books	1.87	1.91	5.8%
Average	1.84	1.85	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cerro Largo 10%Draw 45%Albion FC 45%

The statistical model rated Cerro Largo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Albion FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.37 | 3.05 | 2.86, which imply roughly 32.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Cerro Largo are 14th (34 pts, 30-38 goals), Albion FC 8th (43 pts, 44-43).

Over their last five matches, Cerro Largo averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Albion FC averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Albion FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Cerro Largo

Coach: Danielo Núñez

Goalkeeper

12P. González

Defence

19A. Prado
3A. Piegas
20S. Franca

Midfield

15A. Assis
10Axel Michele Pandiani
25E. Jourdan
8M. García

Attack

29B. Lozano
18Diego Daguerre

Squad

17A. Hernández

Substitutes (10)

16F. Acosta
13Borys Santiago Barone Grillo
21Ezequiel Cabral
26E. de León
6R. Ergas
24L. González
30joaquin bruno alvarez hernandez
23A. Cordoba
28N. Ramos
7G. Viera

Albion FC

Coach: D. Franco

Goalkeeper

1S. Jaume

Defence

24M. de los Santos
13P. Lacoste
29F. Puente

Midfield

5F. Ginella
6T. Moschión

Attack

16J. Álvarez
32T. Figueroa
11H. Toledo
7I. Zufiaurre

Squad

2F. Couture

Substitutes (10)

30B. Barcia
27S. Costa
20R. Gutiérrez
80B. Llana
9Á. López
8I. Neira
21L. Rodríguez
31S. Silva
22A. Vera
10C. Airala

Match Statistics

Cerro LargoAlbion FC

4Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards0

5Shots off Goal7

5Corner Kicks4

0Free Kicks0

0Shots on Goal5

51%Ball Possession49%

0Blocked Shots0

5Total Shots12

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.37	3.05	2.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.49	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.70	2.06

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
3.06	2.01	3.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	7.80	2.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.83
1.5	1.36	2.89
2.5	2.16	1.64
3.5	3.94	1.21
4.5	7.95	1.05
5.5	16.8	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	6.95
1	1.06	6.25
1.25	1.20	3.72
1.75	1.46	2.51
2	1.62	2.17
2.25	1.88	1.83
2.75	2.48	1.47
3	3.08	1.28
3.25	3.43	1.23
3.75	4.81	1.12
4	6.90	1.04
4.25	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.89	1.36
-0.5	2.38	1.56
-0.25	2.04	1.71
0	1.70	2.05
+0.25	1.49	2.45
+0.5	1.40	2.86

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.30	1.02
-1.75	6.53	1.07
-1.5	4.93	1.13
-1.25	4.53	1.17
-1	4.03	1.20
+0.75	1.25	3.57
+1	1.12	5.23
+1.25	1.10	5.73
+1.5	1.08	6.23
+1.75	1.02	8.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.15
6.5	1.17	4.27
7.5	1.36	2.86
8.5	1.69	2.10
9.5	2.10	1.66
10.5	2.83	1.37
11.5	3.70	1.21
12.5	5.40	1.09
13.5	5.32	1.05

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.04	6.01
6	1.07	4.92
6.25	1.12	4.44
6.75	1.21	3.52
7	1.18	3.42
7.25	1.34	2.84
7.75	1.34	2.83
8	1.42	2.55
8.25	1.49	2.38
8.75	1.68	2.06
9	1.82	1.94
9.25	1.87	1.79
9.75	2.12	1.58
10	2.33	1.52
10.25	2.91	1.32
10.75	3.46	1.22
11	2.97	1.25
11.25	4.26	1.14
11.75	5.23	1.08
12	3.99	1.13
12.25	6.72	1.02
13	5.17	1.06

Next Primera División matches

18 Oct

Liverpool Montevideo – Penarol

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

18 Oct	Danubio 1-0 Central Espanol
18 Oct	Albion FC 2-1 Atletico Torque
17 Oct	Boston River 1-0 Defensor Sporting
17 Oct	Racing Montevideo 3-0 Wanderers
17 Oct	Progreso 2-0 Juventud
16 Oct	Cerro 1-1 Cerro Largo