CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#41.4:1.201:3009/11 · Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula1.2:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.39DAFX5.00B36527.011XBMargin at best6.2%Books5Markets46Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 14:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.39	4.70	6.60	8.4%
Bet365	1.33	5.00	7.00	9.5%
Betano	1.37	4.55	6.30	10.8%
1xBet	1.34	4.50	7.01	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.33	4.50	6.65	12.4%
Best of all books	1.39	5.00	7.01	6.2%
Average	1.35	4.65	6.71	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CD MarathonAtlético Choloma

Last 10#4Table position#81.92Points per game1.088Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.454Attack rating4654Defence rating4653Form rating4771H2H rating2985Goals model1567Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 03:10 UTC

CD Marathon

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

6 Nov	H	Platense FC	3-1	W
1 Nov	A	CD Motagua	0-2	L
28 Oct	A	Alianza	0-0	D
25 Oct	A	Atletico Independiente	2-2	D
21 Oct	H	Alianza	2-1	W
15 Oct	H	Olancho	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Lobos Upnfm	0-0	D
21 Sep	A	Juticalpa	2-3	L
18 Sep	A	LD Alajuelense	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	CD Olimpia	1-0	W

Atlético Choloma

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

5 Nov	H	Atletico Independiente	0-0	D
1 Nov	H	CD Olimpia	0-3	L
24 Oct	H	Génesis	3-1	W
17 Oct	A	Juticalpa	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	CD Motagua	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Estrella Roja	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Lobos Upnfm	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Olancho	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Real Espana	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Platense FC	2-0	W

Head to head

4CD Marathon wins

8draws

3Atlético Choloma wins

15 meetings · goals 18:15 · last 10: 3W 6D 1L for CD Marathon

16 Aug 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Atlético Choloma0-1CD Marathon
1 May 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Marathon0-1Atlético Choloma
11 Mar 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Atlético Choloma0-0CD Marathon
27 Nov 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Atlético Choloma0-4CD Marathon
14 Sep 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Marathon1-0Atlético Choloma
20 Apr 2013Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Marathon1-1Atlético Choloma
28 Feb 2013Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Atlético Choloma0-0CD Marathon
22 Nov 2012Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Marathon2-2Atlético Choloma
17 Nov 2012Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Atlético Choloma0-0CD Marathon
14 Oct 2012Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Atlético Choloma2-2CD Marathon

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 7 Nov 10:01 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, CD Marathon sit 4th with 25 points from 13 games, while Atlético Choloma are 8th with 14 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CD Olimpia	13	10	2	1	34:8	+26	32
2	Real Espana	13	8	4	1	23:11	+12	28
3	CD Motagua	13	9	1	3	21:10	+11	28
4	CD Marathon	13	7	4	2	21:12	+9	25
5	Olancho	13	3	8	2	15:12	+3	17
6	Lobos Upnfm	13	4	4	5	15:16	-1	16
7	Estrella Roja	13	4	4	5	22:24	-2	16
8	Atlético Choloma	13	4	2	7	12:15	-3	14
9	Génesis	13	3	3	7	16:17	-1	12
10	Atletico Independiente	13	2	6	5	11:21	-10	12
11	Platense FC	13	2	2	9	13:32	-19	8
12	Juticalpa	13	2	0	11	11:36	-25	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.35X19%4.64214%6.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.36 → 1.35 -0.7%X4.50 → 4.64 +3.1%26.47 → 6.69 +3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Betano	1.53	2.22	10.4%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.55	2.28	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.90	9.8%
Best of all books	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Average	1.75	1.92	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CD Marathon 45%Draw 45%Atlético Choloma 10%

The statistical model rates CD Marathon at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlético Choloma at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.35 | 4.64 | 6.69, which imply roughly 74.1% for a CD Marathon win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: CD Marathon are 4th (25 pts, 21-12 goals), Atlético Choloma 8th (14 pts, 12-15).

Over their last five matches, CD Marathon averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Atlético Choloma averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : CD Marathon or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.35	4.65	6.71

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.83	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.14	4.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
1.82	2.46	6.15

2nd half

1	X	2
1.63	2.95	5.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.04	18.2	48.0
HT X	4.31	7.33	14.0
HT 2	18.8	19.0	10.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.34	15.6	3.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.14	4.40
2.5	1.55	2.28
3.5	2.30	1.49
4.5	3.96	1.17

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.75	1.17	3.98
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.37	2.67
2.75	1.65	2.01
3	1.84	1.79
3.25	2.09	1.61
3.75	2.70	1.36
4	3.34	1.24
4.25	3.70	1.23
5	7.00	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.74	1.35
-1.75	2.29	1.51
-1.5	1.97	1.69
-1.25	1.79	1.90
-1	1.55	2.17
-0.75	1.42	2.50

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.25	1.06
-3	5.65	1.08
-2.5	3.34	1.24
-2.25	3.08	1.28
-0.25	1.22	3.50
0	1.10	5.20
+0.25	1.14	4.90
+1	1.01	9.50

Next Liga Nacional matches

7 Nov	Juticalpa – Estrella Roja
7 Nov	Lobos Upnfm – CD Motagua
8 Nov	CD Olimpia – Olancho
8 Nov	Platense FC – Génesis
8 Nov	Atletico Independiente – Real Espana

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

6 Nov	CD Marathon 3-1 Platense FC
5 Nov	Atlético Choloma 0-0 Atletico Independiente
5 Nov	Génesis 1-1 Real Espana
5 Nov	CD Olimpia 8-0 Juticalpa
4 Nov	Estrella Roja 1-2 CD Motagua
4 Nov	Olancho 0-0 Lobos Upnfm