Atlético Choloma vs Atletico Independiente• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#81.6:1.423:15Today · Estadio Ruben Deras0.8:2.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.04DAFX3.55DAF23.25DAFMargin at best8.0%Books5Markets39Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 08:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.04	3.55	3.25	8.0%
Betano	1.98	3.45	3.20	10.7%
1xBet	1.97	3.42	3.23	11.0%
Bet365	1.95	3.50	3.20	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	3.42	3.15	12.3%
Best of all books	2.04	3.55	3.25	8.0%
Average	1.98	3.47	3.21	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atlético CholomaAtletico Independiente

Last 10#8Table position#101.08Points per game0.929Form pts · last 521.6Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 52.867Attack rating3367Defence rating3382Form rating180H2H rating10075Goals model2565Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 21:30 UTC

Atlético Choloma

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	H	CD Olimpia	0-3	L
24 Oct	H	Génesis	3-1	W
17 Oct	A	Juticalpa	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	CD Motagua	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Estrella Roja	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Lobos Upnfm	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Olancho	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Real Espana	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Platense FC	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	CD Marathon	0-1	L

Atletico Independiente

1W 5D 4L · goals 9:19 · per match 0.9 for, 1.9 against

31 Oct	A	Estrella Roja	1-3	L
25 Oct	H	CD Marathon	2-2	D
18 Oct	H	Lobos Upnfm	0-4	L
11 Oct	A	Olancho	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	CD Olimpia	0-4	L
14 Sep	H	Juticalpa	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	CD Motagua	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Platense FC	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Génesis	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Real Espana	1-1	D

Head to head

0Atlético Choloma wins

0draws

1Atletico Independiente wins

1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Atlético Choloma

10 Aug 2026Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional

Atletico Independiente2-1Atlético Choloma

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 5 Nov 05:10 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Atlético Choloma sit 8th with 13 points from 12 games, while Atletico Independiente are 10th with 11 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CD Olimpia	13	10	2	1	34:8	+26	32
2	CD Motagua	13	9	1	3	21:10	+11	28
3	Real Espana	12	8	3	1	22:10	+12	27
4	CD Marathon	12	6	4	2	18:11	+7	22
5	Olancho	13	3	8	2	15:12	+3	17
6	Lobos Upnfm	13	4	4	5	15:16	-1	16
7	Estrella Roja	13	4	4	5	22:24	-2	16
8	Atlético Choloma	12	4	1	7	12:15	-3	13
9	Génesis	12	3	2	7	15:16	-1	11
10	Atletico Independiente	12	2	5	5	11:21	-10	11
11	Platense FC	12	2	2	8	12:29	-17	8
12	Juticalpa	13	2	0	11	11:36	-25	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.98X26%3.47228%3.21

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.95 → 1.98 +1.5%X3.50 → 3.47 -0.9%23.20 → 3.21 +0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Betano	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.69	2.03	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.18	10.0%
Best of all books	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Average	1.56	2.20	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlético Choloma 45%Draw 45%Atletico Independiente 10%

The statistical model rates Atlético Choloma at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Independiente at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.98 | 3.47 | 3.21, which imply roughly 50.5% for a Atlético Choloma win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Atlético Choloma are 8th (13 pts, 12-15 goals), Atletico Independiente 10th (11 pts, 11-21).

Over their last five matches, Atlético Choloma averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Atletico Independiente averaged 0.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atlético Choloma or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.98	3.47	3.21

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.67	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.53	2.21	3.71

2nd half

1	X	2
2.30	2.56	3.38

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.25	14.3	28.3
HT X	5.53	5.87	7.43
HT 2	22.3	14.5	4.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.70	13.1	2.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.17	4.00
2.5	1.69	2.03
3.5	2.66	1.37
4.5	5.00	1.10

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.80
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.28	3.08
2.25	1.47	2.38
2.75	1.82	1.82
3	2.10	1.59
3.25	2.38	1.47
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.25	1.15
4.25	4.40	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.88	1.32
-0.75	2.27	1.52
-0.5	1.94	1.77
-0.25	1.80	1.89
0	1.48	2.39
+0.25	1.35	2.75

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.80	1.02
-2	6.90	1.04
-1.5	3.58	1.21
-1.25	3.28	1.25
+0.75	1.17	4.00
+1	1.06	6.00
+1.25	1.14	4.80
+1.5	1.04	7.10
+2	1.01	10.0

Next Liga Nacional matches

5 Nov	Génesis – Real Espana
6 Nov	CD Marathon – Platense FC

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

5 Nov	CD Olimpia 8-0 Juticalpa
4 Nov	Estrella Roja 1-2 CD Motagua
4 Nov	Olancho 0-0 Lobos Upnfm
2 Nov	Olancho 4-1 Platense FC
1 Nov	CD Motagua 2-0 CD Marathon
1 Nov	Atlético Choloma 0-3 CD Olimpia