Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#51.8:1.421:00Today · Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa2.0:0.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.72DAFX3.90BFR24.33B365Margin at best6.9%Books7Markets48Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.67	3.80	4.20	10.0%
Betfair	1.65	3.90	4.20	10.1%
1xBet	1.67	3.65	4.25	10.8%
Betano	1.70	3.60	4.05	11.3%
Bet365	1.67	3.50	4.33	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.65	3.65	4.15	12.1%
Dafabet	1.72	3.75	–	–
Best of all books	1.72	3.90	4.33	6.9%
Average	1.68	3.69	4.20	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

OlanchoLobos Upnfm

Last 10#5Table position#71.33Points per game1.256Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 50.847Attack rating5336Defence rating6438Form rating6336H2H rating6459Goals model4144Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 16:30 UTC

Olancho

2W 6D 2L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

2 Nov	H	Platense FC	4-1	W
24 Oct	H	Estrella Roja	3-3	D
15 Oct	A	CD Marathon	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Atletico Independiente	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Génesis	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Real Espana	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Atlético Choloma	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	CD Motagua	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	CD Olimpia	1-1	D
17 Aug	H	Juticalpa	1-0	W

Lobos Upnfm

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	Génesis	4-3	W
25 Oct	H	CD Olimpia	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	Atletico Independiente	4-0	W
11 Oct	H	CD Marathon	0-0	D
18 Sep	A	Platense FC	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Atlético Choloma	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Real Espana	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Juticalpa	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	CD Motagua	1-4	L
15 Aug	H	Estrella Roja	2-2	D

Head to head

7Olancho wins

7draws

3Lobos Upnfm wins

17 meetings · goals 27:16 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Olancho

8 Aug 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Lobos Upnfm1-1Olancho
24 Mar 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Lobos Upnfm2-1Olancho
2 Feb 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Olancho1-1Lobos Upnfm
8 Nov 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Olancho1-1Lobos Upnfm
10 Sep 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Lobos Upnfm1-1Olancho
28 Apr 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Olancho3-2Lobos Upnfm
22 Feb 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Lobos Upnfm1-1Olancho
5 Oct 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Olancho4-0Lobos Upnfm
3 Aug 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Lobos Upnfm1-0Olancho
6 Apr 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Lobos Upnfm0-1Olancho

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 3 Nov 16:30 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Olancho sit 5th with 16 points from 12 games, while Lobos Upnfm are 7th with 15 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CD Olimpia	12	9	2	1	26:8	+18	29
2	Real Espana	12	8	3	1	22:10	+12	27
3	CD Motagua	12	8	1	3	19:9	+10	25
4	CD Marathon	12	6	4	2	18:11	+7	22
5	Olancho	12	3	7	2	15:12	+3	16
6	Estrella Roja	12	4	4	4	21:22	-1	16
7	Lobos Upnfm	12	4	3	5	15:16	-1	15
8	Atlético Choloma	12	4	1	7	12:15	-3	13
9	Génesis	12	3	2	7	15:16	-1	11
10	Atletico Independiente	12	2	5	5	11:21	-10	11
11	Platense FC	12	2	2	8	12:29	-17	8
12	Juticalpa	12	2	0	10	11:28	-17	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.68X25%3.69222%4.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.68 0.0%X3.69 → 3.69 0.0%24.26 → 4.20 -1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.12	9.7%
Best of all books	1.70	2.25	3.3%
Average	1.61	2.15	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.58	2.19	9.0%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.15	9.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Average	1.60	2.17	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Olancho 10%Draw 45%Lobos Upnfm 45%

The statistical model rates Olancho at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lobos Upnfm at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.69 | 4.20, which imply roughly 27.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Olancho are 5th (16 pts, 15-12 goals), Lobos Upnfm 7th (15 pts, 15-16).

Over their last five matches, Olancho averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lobos Upnfm averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lobos Upnfm.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.69	4.20

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	1.99	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
2.21	2.30	4.43

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	2.69	4.08

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.55	14.5	34.5
HT X	4.68	6.08	9.63
HT 2	19.0	15.1	6.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	13.4	2.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.3
1.5	1.17	4.30
2.5	1.61	2.15
3.5	2.52	1.44
4.5	4.43	1.16
5.5	8.75	1.06

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.70
1.75	1.19	3.78
2	1.24	3.34
2.25	1.42	2.53
2.75	1.75	1.91
3	1.95	1.69
3.25	2.22	1.54
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.74	1.19
4.25	4.40	1.17
5	7.50	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.74	1.35
-1.25	2.46	1.43
-1	2.19	1.57
-0.75	1.85	1.83
-0.5	1.65	1.98
-0.25	1.46	2.38

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.90	1.01
-2.5	5.30	1.09
-2.25	5.00	1.14
-2	4.55	1.13
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.27	3.14
+0.25	1.21	3.58
+1	1.02	8.10

Next Liga Nacional matches

4 Nov	Estrella Roja – CD Motagua
5 Nov	CD Olimpia – Juticalpa

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

2 Nov	Olancho 4-1 Platense FC
1 Nov	CD Motagua 2-0 CD Marathon
1 Nov	Atlético Choloma 0-3 CD Olimpia
31 Oct	Real Espana 3-1 Juticalpa
31 Oct	Lobos Upnfm 4-3 Génesis
31 Oct	Estrella Roja 3-1 Atletico Independiente