Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#100.8:2.023:15Tomorrow2.0:1.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.00B365X4.10BFR21.56DAFMargin at best5.2%Books6Markets48Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 06:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.80	4.00	1.52	8.0%
Betfair	5.50	4.10	1.50	9.2%
Betano	5.70	3.80	1.50	10.5%
1xBet	5.72	3.74	1.50	10.9%
Bet365	6.00	3.90	1.45	11.3%
Marathonbet	5.45	3.74	1.49	12.2%
Best of all books	6.00	4.10	1.52	6.8%
Average	5.70	3.88	1.49	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico IndependienteReal Espana

Last 10#10Table position#20.92Points per game2.153Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 51.429Attack rating7141Defence rating5923Form rating7750H2H rating5024Goals model7636Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 15:09 UTC

Atletico Independiente

1W 5D 4L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

5 Nov	A	Atlético Choloma	0-0	D
31 Oct	A	Estrella Roja	1-3	L
25 Oct	H	CD Marathon	2-2	D
18 Oct	H	Lobos Upnfm	0-4	L
11 Oct	A	Olancho	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	CD Olimpia	0-4	L
14 Sep	H	Juticalpa	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	CD Motagua	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Platense FC	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Génesis	1-1	D

Real Espana

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

5 Nov	A	Génesis	1-1	D
31 Oct	H	Juticalpa	3-1	W
24 Oct	H	Platense FC	4-3	W
16 Oct	A	CD Olimpia	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Estrella Roja	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	CD Motagua	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Olancho	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Lobos Upnfm	2-0	W
30 Aug	H	Atlético Choloma	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	CD Marathon	1-1	D

Head to head

0Atletico Independiente wins

1draws

0Real Espana wins

1 meeting · goals 1:1 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Atletico Independiente

16 Aug 2026Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional

Real Espana1-1Atletico Independiente

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 7 Nov 10:01 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Atletico Independiente sit 10th with 12 points from 13 games, while Real Espana are 2nd with 28 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CD Olimpia	13	10	2	1	34:8	+26	32
2	Real Espana	13	8	4	1	23:11	+12	28
3	CD Motagua	13	9	1	3	21:10	+11	28
4	CD Marathon	13	7	4	2	21:12	+9	25
5	Olancho	13	3	8	2	15:12	+3	17
6	Lobos Upnfm	13	4	4	5	15:16	-1	16
7	Estrella Roja	13	4	4	5	22:24	-2	16
8	Atlético Choloma	13	4	2	7	12:15	-3	14
9	Génesis	13	3	3	7	16:17	-1	12
10	Atletico Independiente	13	2	6	5	11:21	-10	12
11	Platense FC	13	2	2	9	13:32	-19	8
12	Juticalpa	13	2	0	11	11:36	-25	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.68X23%3.89261%1.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.61 → 5.68 +1.2%X3.86 → 3.89 +0.8%21.48 → 1.49 +0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
Best of all books	1.73	2.15	4.3%
Average	1.67	2.08	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.69	2.02	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico Independiente 10%Draw 45%Real Espana 45%

The statistical model rates Atletico Independiente at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Espana at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.68 | 3.89 | 1.49, which imply roughly 25.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Atletico Independiente are 10th (12 pts, 11-21 goals), Real Espana 2nd (28 pts, 23-11).

Over their last five matches, Atletico Independiente averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Real Espana averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Real Espana.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.69	3.88	1.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.31	1.09	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
4.19	1.19

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
5.50	2.28	2.02

2nd half

1	X	2
5.06	2.73	1.80

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	9.45	16.8	19.8
HT X	12.1	6.35	4.31
HT 2	45.5	15.8	2.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.93	12.6	1.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.3
1.5	1.18	4.20
2.5	1.67	2.08
3.5	2.58	1.42
4.5	4.67	1.14
5.5	8.75	1.05

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.80
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.26	3.20
2.25	1.44	2.44
2.75	1.78	1.86
3	2.00	1.65
3.25	2.28	1.52
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.84	1.18
4.25	4.50	1.16
5	7.50	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.83	1.33
+0.75	2.03	1.63
+1	1.87	1.82
+1.25	1.59	2.10
+1.5	1.47	2.35
+1.75	1.34	2.78

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	4.70	1.12
0	4.15	1.16
+2	1.21	3.58
+2.25	1.21	3.90
+2.5	1.14	4.30
+3	1.02	7.80
+3.5	1.01	8.50

Next Liga Nacional matches

7 Nov	Juticalpa – Estrella Roja
7 Nov	Lobos Upnfm – CD Motagua
8 Nov	CD Olimpia – Olancho
8 Nov	Platense FC – Génesis
9 Nov	CD Marathon – Atlético Choloma

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

6 Nov	CD Marathon 3-1 Platense FC
5 Nov	Atlético Choloma 0-0 Atletico Independiente
5 Nov	Génesis 1-1 Real Espana
5 Nov	CD Olimpia 8-0 Juticalpa
4 Nov	Estrella Roja 1-2 CD Motagua
4 Nov	Olancho 0-0 Lobos Upnfm