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Génesis vs Real Espana• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#91.0:2.021:00Today · Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova, La Paz2.0:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.35DAFX3.35DAF22.081XBMargin at best7.8%Books6Markets45Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 08:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.353.352.078.0%
Bet3653.203.302.0510.3%
1xBet3.163.202.0811.0%
Betano3.203.302.0211.1%
Betfair3.303.301.9511.9%
Marathonbet3.083.202.0612.3%
Best of all books3.353.352.087.8%
Average3.213.282.0410.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GénesisReal Espana
Last 10#9Table position#30.92Points per game2.251Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6738Defence rating638Form rating927H2H rating9336Goals model6425Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 18:30 UTC

Génesis

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

31 OctALobos Upnfm3-4L
24 OctAAtlético Choloma1-3L
18 OctHEstrella Roja1-2L
10 OctHCD Olimpia0-1L
19 SepHOlancho0-0D
13 SepACD Motagua0-1L
7 SepAJuticalpa3-0W
29 AugHCD Marathon1-2L
22 AugAAtletico Independiente1-1D
15 AugHPlatense FC3-0W

Real Espana

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

31 OctHJuticalpa3-1W
24 OctHPlatense FC4-3W
16 OctACD Olimpia1-2L
11 OctAEstrella Roja1-0W
20 SepHCD Motagua1-0W
12 SepAOlancho1-1D
6 SepHLobos Upnfm2-0W
30 AugHAtlético Choloma2-1W
23 AugACD Marathon1-1D
16 AugHAtletico Independiente1-1D

Head to head

3Génesis wins
5draws
7Real Espana wins

15 meetings · goals 12:17 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Génesis

9 Aug 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalReal Espana2-0Génesis
19 Mar 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalReal Espana2-1Génesis
28 Jan 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGénesis1-2Real Espana
27 Nov 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalReal Espana1-0Génesis
15 Sep 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGénesis1-1Real Espana
6 Mar 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGénesis2-0Real Espana
19 Jan 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalReal Espana1-1Génesis
7 Dec 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalReal Espana2-0Génesis
5 Dec 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGénesis1-1Real Espana
27 Oct 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGénesis1-1Real Espana

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 5 Nov 05:10 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Génesis sit 9th with 11 points from 12 games, while Real Espana are 3rd with 27 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1CD Olimpia13102134:8+2632
2CD Motagua1391321:10+1128
3Real Espana1283122:10+1227
4CD Marathon1264218:11+722
5Olancho1338215:12+317
6Lobos Upnfm1344515:16-116
7Estrella Roja1344522:24-216
8Atlético Choloma1241712:15-313
9Génesis1232715:16-111
10Atletico Independiente1225511:21-1011
11Platense FC1222812:29-178
12Juticalpa13201111:36-256

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.22X28%3.28244%2.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 18:305 Nov 06:101 3.22X 3.282 2.04
13.30 → 3.22 -2.4%X3.50 → 3.28 -6.3%21.91 → 2.04 +6.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
1xBet1.881.799.1%
Marathonbet1.881.799.1%
Betano1.851.809.6%
Best of all books1.951.855.3%
Average1.891.818.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.801.956.8%
1xBet1.711.989.0%
Marathonbet1.711.959.8%
Best of all books1.801.986.1%
Average1.741.968.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Génesis 0%Draw 50%Real Espana 50%

The statistical model rates Génesis at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Real Espana at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.22 | 3.28 | 2.04, which imply roughly 30.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Génesis are 9th (11 pts, 15-16 goals), Real Espana 3rd (27 pts, 22-10).

Over their last five matches, Génesis averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Real Espana averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Real Espana.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.223.282.04

Double chance

1XX212
1.631.271.25

Draw no bet

12
2.341.52

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.741.96

1st half

1X2
3.792.092.66

2nd half

1X2
3.422.422.41

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.4315.023.3
HT X7.705.235.18
HT 230.314.43.19

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.239.301.78

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.3
1.51.273.27
2.51.891.81
3.53.271.27
4.55.951.11
5.515.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.027.80
1.751.322.88
21.422.49
2.251.652.01
2.752.131.59
32.561.40
3.252.891.33
3.753.961.17
45.451.08
4.254.901.14

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.631.38
02.271.53
+0.251.891.80
+0.51.751.97
+0.751.442.42
+11.273.14
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.751.04
-15.801.07
-0.753.841.18
+1.251.213.58
+1.51.174.00
+1.751.194.20
+21.027.80
+2.51.018.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.742.01
92.001.80

Next Liga Nacional matches

5 NovAtlético Choloma – Atletico Independiente
6 NovCD Marathon – Platense FC

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

5 NovCD Olimpia 8-0 Juticalpa
4 NovEstrella Roja 1-2 CD Motagua
4 NovOlancho 0-0 Lobos Upnfm
2 NovOlancho 4-1 Platense FC
1 NovCD Motagua 2-0 CD Marathon
1 NovAtlético Choloma 0-3 CD Olimpia