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Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#61.6:0.823:15Today · Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca2.0:0.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.60B365X3.60B36521.97DAFMargin at best6.3%Books9Markets43Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.603.401.978.0%
BetVictor3.503.501.939.0%
Bet3653.603.601.859.6%
Betfair3.403.601.909.8%
1xBet3.583.301.9010.9%
Betano3.403.251.9511.5%
William Hill3.503.251.9111.7%
Pinnacle3.443.191.9412.0%
Marathonbet3.483.301.8812.2%
Best of all books3.603.601.976.3%
Average3.503.381.9110.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lobos UpnfmCD Motagua
Last 10#6Table position#31.23Points per game2.158Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 50.444Attack rating5633Defence rating6735Form rating6538H2H rating6232Goals model6837Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 10:01 UTC

Lobos Upnfm

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

4 NovAOlancho0-0D
31 OctHGénesis4-3W
25 OctHCD Olimpia0-1L
18 OctAAtletico Independiente4-0W
11 OctHCD Marathon0-0D
18 SepAPlatense FC2-0W
13 SepHAtlético Choloma1-0W
6 SepAReal Espana0-2L
29 AugAJuticalpa0-1L
22 AugACD Motagua1-4L

CD Motagua

6W 2D 2L · goals 12:5 · per match 1.2 for, 0.5 against

4 NovAEstrella Roja2-1W
1 NovHCD Marathon2-0W
30 OctALD Alajuelense1-2L
25 OctHJuticalpa2-0W
23 OctHLD Alajuelense0-0D
17 OctAPlatense FC2-0W
10 OctHAtlético Choloma2-1W
20 SepAReal Espana0-1L
17 SepAAlianza0-0D
13 SepHGénesis1-0W

Head to head

4Lobos Upnfm wins
10draws
26CD Motagua wins

40 meetings · goals 36:84 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Lobos Upnfm

22 Aug 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Motagua4-1Lobos Upnfm
1 May 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm2-1CD Motagua
11 Mar 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Motagua2-0Lobos Upnfm
28 Nov 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm0-0CD Motagua
14 Sep 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Motagua3-3Lobos Upnfm
8 Apr 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm2-1CD Motagua
7 Feb 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Motagua5-0Lobos Upnfm
28 Sep 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm0-2CD Motagua
27 Jul 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Motagua4-2Lobos Upnfm
14 Apr 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Motagua4-0Lobos Upnfm

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 7 Nov 10:01 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Lobos Upnfm sit 6th with 16 points from 13 games, while CD Motagua are 3rd with 28 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1CD Olimpia13102134:8+2632
2Real Espana1384123:11+1228
3CD Motagua1391321:10+1128
4CD Marathon1374221:12+925
5Olancho1338215:12+317
6Lobos Upnfm1344515:16-116
7Estrella Roja1344522:24-216
8Atlético Choloma1342712:15-314
9Génesis1333716:17-112
10Atletico Independiente1326511:21-1012
11Platense FC1322913:32-198
12Juticalpa13201111:36-256

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.50X27%3.38247%1.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 10:007 Nov 14:101 3.50X 3.382 1.91
13.65 → 3.50 -4.1%X3.55 → 3.38 -4.8%21.79 → 1.91 +6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.752.055.9%
Pinnacle1.831.887.8%
1xBet1.791.889.1%
Marathonbet1.791.889.1%
BetVictor1.781.899.1%
Betano1.751.8810.3%
Best of all books1.832.053.4%
Average1.781.918.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.702.057.6%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
1xBet1.662.059.0%
Marathonbet1.662.0110.0%
Best of all books1.702.057.6%
Average1.672.048.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lobos Upnfm 10%Draw 45%CD Motagua 45%

The statistical model rates Lobos Upnfm at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CD Motagua at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.50 | 3.38 | 1.91, which imply roughly 29.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Lobos Upnfm are 6th (16 pts, 15-16 goals), CD Motagua 3rd (28 pts, 21-10).

Over their last five matches, Lobos Upnfm averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; CD Motagua averaged 2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CD Motagua.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.503.381.91

Double chance

1XX212
1.751.231.24

Draw no bet

12
2.571.44

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.04

1st half

1X2
3.992.182.48

2nd half

1X2
3.622.472.28

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.8015.522.0
HT X8.175.505.02
HT 232.014.73.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.419.951.67

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.7
1.51.243.48
2.51.781.91
3.52.951.32
4.55.101.12
5.513.01.03
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.027.90
1.751.293.08
21.372.70
2.251.582.16
2.751.981.71
32.331.49
3.252.621.39
3.753.421.23
44.601.13
4.254.601.16

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.961.31
02.561.41
+0.252.021.65
+0.51.791.91
+0.751.572.16
+11.392.68
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.301.03
-16.501.05
-0.754.501.17
+1.251.302.99
+1.51.243.34
+1.751.154.20
+21.075.90
+2.51.056.65

Next Liga Nacional matches

7 NovJuticalpa – Estrella Roja
8 NovCD Olimpia – Olancho
8 NovPlatense FC – Génesis
8 NovAtletico Independiente – Real Espana
9 NovCD Marathon – Atlético Choloma

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

6 NovCD Marathon 3-1 Platense FC
5 NovAtlético Choloma 0-0 Atletico Independiente
5 NovGénesis 1-1 Real Espana
5 NovCD Olimpia 8-0 Juticalpa
4 NovEstrella Roja 1-2 CD Motagua
4 NovOlancho 0-0 Lobos Upnfm