Juticalpa vs Estrella Roja• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#120.6:3.421:00Today · Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa1.8:1.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.75B365X3.60B36522.00WHMargin at best4.4%Books9Markets45Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.60	3.55	1.92	8.0%
Betfair	3.50	3.60	1.90	9.0%
BetVictor	3.50	3.60	1.87	9.8%
Betano	3.55	3.40	1.88	10.8%
1xBet	3.72	3.25	1.88	10.8%
Bet365	3.75	3.60	1.75	11.6%
William Hill	3.10	3.40	2.00	11.7%
Pinnacle	3.50	3.06	1.97	12.0%
Marathonbet	3.62	3.25	1.86	12.2%
Best of all books	3.75	3.60	2.00	4.4%
Average	3.54	3.41	1.89	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JuticalpaEstrella Roja

Last 10#12Table position#70.46Points per game1.230Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.83.4Goals against · last 51.625Attack rating7532Defence rating680Form rating1000H2H rating10031Goals model6929Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 10:01 UTC

Juticalpa

2W 0D 8L · goals 10:29 · per match 1.0 for, 2.9 against

5 Nov	A	CD Olimpia	0-8	L
31 Oct	A	Real Espana	1-3	L
25 Oct	A	CD Motagua	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Atlético Choloma	1-2	L
9 Oct	A	Platense FC	1-2	L
21 Sep	H	CD Marathon	3-2	W
14 Sep	A	Atletico Independiente	1-2	L
7 Sep	H	Génesis	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Lobos Upnfm	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Estrella Roja	2-5	L

Estrella Roja

3W 3D 4L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against

4 Nov	H	CD Motagua	1-2	L
31 Oct	H	Atletico Independiente	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	Olancho	3-3	D
18 Oct	A	Génesis	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Real Espana	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Atlético Choloma	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Platense FC	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	CD Marathon	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	CD Olimpia	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Juticalpa	5-2	W

Head to head

0Juticalpa wins

0draws

1Estrella Roja wins

1 meeting · goals 2:5 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Juticalpa

22 Aug 2026Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional

Estrella Roja5-2Juticalpa

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 7 Nov 10:01 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Juticalpa sit 12th with 6 points from 13 games, while Estrella Roja are 7th with 16 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CD Olimpia	13	10	2	1	34:8	+26	32
2	Real Espana	13	8	4	1	23:11	+12	28
3	CD Motagua	13	9	1	3	21:10	+11	28
4	CD Marathon	13	7	4	2	21:12	+9	25
5	Olancho	13	3	8	2	15:12	+3	17
6	Lobos Upnfm	13	4	4	5	15:16	-1	16
7	Estrella Roja	13	4	4	5	22:24	-2	16
8	Atlético Choloma	13	4	2	7	12:15	-3	14
9	Génesis	13	3	3	7	16:17	-1	12
10	Atletico Independiente	13	2	6	5	11:21	-10	12
11	Platense FC	13	2	2	9	13:32	-19	8
12	Juticalpa	13	2	0	11	11:36	-25	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.54X27%3.41248%1.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.74 → 3.54 -5.3%X3.51 → 3.41 -2.8%21.78 → 1.89 +6.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
BetVictor	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.66	2.07	8.6%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.66	2.07	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Average	1.57	2.24	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Juticalpa 0%Draw 50%Estrella Roja 50%

The statistical model rates Juticalpa at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Estrella Roja at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.54 | 3.41 | 1.89, which imply roughly 29.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Juticalpa are 12th (6 pts, 11-36 goals), Estrella Roja 7th (16 pts, 22-24).

Over their last five matches, Juticalpa averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3.4 conceded per game; Estrella Roja averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Estrella Roja and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.54	3.41	1.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.78	1.23	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
2.75	1.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.24

1st half

1	X	2
4.07	2.23	2.40

2nd half

1	X	2
3.57	2.57	2.23

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.10	14.3	19.8
HT X	8.68	5.95	5.00
HT 2	29.8	14.6	2.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.38	12.1	1.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.3
1.5	1.19	4.08
2.5	1.66	2.07
3.5	2.62	1.41
4.5	4.82	1.14
5.5	9.25	1.05

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.28	3.12
2.25	1.46	2.40
2.75	1.82	1.85
3	2.05	1.64
3.25	2.30	1.50
3.75	3.04	1.29
4	3.92	1.18
4.25	4.40	1.17
5	7.50	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.60	1.39
+0.25	2.04	1.64
+0.5	1.85	1.86
+0.75	1.58	2.16
+1	1.40	2.63
+1.25	1.31	2.94

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.70	1.03
-1	6.75	1.04
-0.75	4.70	1.15
-0.25	3.05	1.29
+1.5	1.26	3.20
+1.75	1.16	4.05
+2	1.08	5.65
+2.5	1.05	6.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.81	1.92

Next Liga Nacional matches

7 Nov	Lobos Upnfm – CD Motagua
8 Nov	CD Olimpia – Olancho
8 Nov	Platense FC – Génesis
8 Nov	Atletico Independiente – Real Espana
9 Nov	CD Marathon – Atlético Choloma

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

6 Nov	CD Marathon 3-1 Platense FC
5 Nov	Atlético Choloma 0-0 Atletico Independiente
5 Nov	Génesis 1-1 Real Espana
5 Nov	CD Olimpia 8-0 Juticalpa
4 Nov	Estrella Roja 1-2 CD Motagua
4 Nov	Olancho 0-0 Lobos Upnfm