Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#61.6:1.623:15Today1.6:0.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90BVCX3.70BVC21.78BTNMargin at best8.8%Books6Markets43Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	3.90	3.70	1.75	9.8%
Betano	3.90	3.45	1.78	10.8%
1xBet	3.90	3.64	1.73	10.9%
Bet365	3.70	3.60	1.75	11.9%
Marathonbet	3.80	3.64	1.71	12.3%
Betfair	3.90	3.60	–	–
Best of all books	3.90	3.70	1.78	8.8%
Average	3.85	3.61	1.74	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Estrella RojaCD Motagua

Last 10#6Table position#31.33Points per game2.087Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 50.450Attack rating5020Defence rating8037Form rating63100H2H rating038Goals model6236Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 16:30 UTC

Estrella Roja

3W 4D 3L · goals 19:21 · per match 1.9 for, 2.1 against

31 Oct	H	Atletico Independiente	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	Olancho	3-3	D
18 Oct	A	Génesis	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Real Espana	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Atlético Choloma	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Platense FC	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	CD Marathon	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	CD Olimpia	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Juticalpa	5-2	W
15 Aug	A	Lobos Upnfm	2-2	D

CD Motagua

6W 2D 2L · goals 13:4 · per match 1.3 for, 0.4 against

1 Nov	H	CD Marathon	2-0	W
30 Oct	A	LD Alajuelense	1-2	L
25 Oct	H	Juticalpa	2-0	W
23 Oct	H	LD Alajuelense	0-0	D
17 Oct	A	Platense FC	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Atlético Choloma	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Real Espana	0-1	L
17 Sep	A	Alianza	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Génesis	1-0	W
10 Sep	H	Alianza	3-0	W

Head to head

1Estrella Roja wins

0draws

0CD Motagua wins

1 meeting · goals 2:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Estrella Roja

9 Aug 2026Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional

CD Motagua0-2Estrella Roja

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 3 Nov 16:30 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Estrella Roja sit 6th with 16 points from 12 games, while CD Motagua are 3rd with 25 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CD Olimpia	12	9	2	1	26:8	+18	29
2	Real Espana	12	8	3	1	22:10	+12	27
3	CD Motagua	12	8	1	3	19:9	+10	25
4	CD Marathon	12	6	4	2	18:11	+7	22
5	Olancho	12	3	7	2	15:12	+3	16
6	Estrella Roja	12	4	4	4	21:22	-1	16
7	Lobos Upnfm	12	4	3	5	15:16	-1	15
8	Atlético Choloma	12	4	1	7	12:15	-3	13
9	Génesis	12	3	2	7	15:16	-1	11
10	Atletico Independiente	12	2	5	5	11:21	-10	11
11	Platense FC	12	2	2	8	12:29	-17	8
12	Juticalpa	12	2	0	10	11:28	-17	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%3.84X25%3.61252%1.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Betano	1.70	1.95	10.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.67	2.05	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.09	10.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Average	1.61	2.14	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estrella Roja 10%Draw 45%CD Motagua 45%

The statistical model rates Estrella Roja at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CD Motagua at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.84 | 3.61 | 1.74, which imply roughly 27.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Estrella Roja are 6th (16 pts, 21-22 goals), CD Motagua 3rd (25 pts, 19-9).

Over their last five matches, Estrella Roja averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; CD Motagua averaged 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CD Motagua.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.85	3.61	1.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.88	1.19	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
2.91	1.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
4.27	2.24	2.32

2nd half

1	X	2
3.93	2.59	2.08

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.40	14.6	19.0
HT X	8.95	5.93	4.94
HT 2	31.0	14.9	2.74

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.43	13.9	1.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.4
1.5	1.19	4.11
2.5	1.67	2.05
3.5	2.73	1.38
4.5	5.13	1.12
5.5	10.3	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.95
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.27	3.14
2.25	1.47	2.38
2.75	1.82	1.83
3	2.10	1.59
3.25	2.38	1.47
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.25	1.15
4.25	4.40	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.88	1.32
+0.25	2.24	1.52
+0.5	1.95	1.75
+0.75	1.69	1.95
+1	1.49	2.36
+1.25	1.36	2.70

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.00	1.01
-1	7.90	1.02
-0.75	4.70	1.15
-0.25	3.28	1.25
+1.5	1.28	3.05
+1.75	1.19	3.82
+2	1.09	5.40
+2.5	1.06	6.25

Next Liga Nacional matches

4 Nov	Olancho – Lobos Upnfm
5 Nov	CD Olimpia – Juticalpa

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

2 Nov	Olancho 4-1 Platense FC
1 Nov	CD Motagua 2-0 CD Marathon
1 Nov	Atlético Choloma 0-3 CD Olimpia
31 Oct	Real Espana 3-1 Juticalpa
31 Oct	Lobos Upnfm 4-3 Génesis
31 Oct	Estrella Roja 3-1 Atletico Independiente