Express vs Blacks Power• Premier League, Uganda

#120.8:1.016:00Today · Mutesa II Stadium, Kampala0.8:1.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.041XBX3.07PIN23.88PINMargin at best7.4%Books8Markets45Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 12:51 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.99	3.05	3.70	10.1%
Betano	2.00	3.00	3.65	10.7%
1xBet	2.04	3.00	3.50	10.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.00	3.60	11.1%
Pinnacle	1.86	3.07	3.88	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.02	3.00	3.40	12.3%
William Hill	2.00	2.80	3.70	12.7%
BetVictor	1.87	2.80	3.25	20.0%
Best of all books	2.04	3.07	3.88	7.4%
Average	1.97	2.97	3.58	12.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ExpressBlacks Power

Last 10#12Table position#80.89Points per game1.444Form pts · last 540.8Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.850Attack rating5064Defence rating3650Form rating5020H2H rating8057Goals model4344Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 14:50 UTC

Express

1W 5D 4L · goals 7:11 · per match 0.7 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	A	Ntugasaze	1-1	D
27 Oct	H	Kataka	2-2	D
21 Oct	A	Lugazi	0-0	D
15 Oct	H	UPDF	1-2	L
8 Oct	A	NEC	0-0	D
17 Sep	H	Kitara	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	SC Villa	0-2	L
3 Sep	H	KCCA	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	BUL	0-1	L
23 May	A	Vipers	0-2	L

Blacks Power

5W 1D 4L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	NEC	0-1	L
27 Oct	A	SC Villa	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	URA	3-2	W
11 Oct	A	Mbarara City	1-2	L
8 Oct	H	Vipers	0-4	L
15 Sep	A	BUL	1-2	L
8 Sep	A	Maroons	2-1	W
2 Sep	H	Police	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Ntugasaze	1-0	W
27 May	H	Express	3-1	W

Head to head

0Express wins

1draws

1Blacks Power wins

2 meetings · goals 1:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Express

27 May 2023Premier League	Premier League	Blacks Power3-1Express
21 Dec 2022Premier League	Premier League	Express0-0Blacks Power

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the Premier League table, Express sit 12th with 8 points from 9 games, while Blacks Power are 8th with 13 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	NEC	10	7	2	1	19:5	+14	23
2	BUL	9	7	2	0	18:6	+12	23
3	SC Villa	10	6	3	1	19:6	+13	21
4	KCCA	9	6	1	2	12:6	+6	19
5	Entebbe UPPC	9	4	4	1	8:3	+5	16
6	Police	10	4	3	3	10:13	-3	15
7	URA	9	4	1	4	11:13	-2	13
8	Blacks Power	9	4	1	4	9:12	-3	13
9	Kitara	6	3	3	0	7:4	+3	12
10	Vipers	8	3	2	3	13:4	+9	11
11	Maroons	9	3	2	4	13:11	+2	11
12	Express	9	1	5	3	7:9	-2	8
13	Mbarara City	8	2	2	4	4:8	-4	8
14	UPDF	9	2	2	5	4:8	-4	8
15	Lugazi	9	2	2	5	6:13	-7	8
16	Ntugasaze	8	1	1	6	5:19	-14	4
17	Kataka	10	0	3	7	10:25	-15	3
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	7	0	1	6	2:12	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%1.97X30%2.97225%3.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.26	1.55	8.8%
1xBet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Betano	2.27	1.52	9.8%
BetVictor	2.00	1.44	19.4%
Best of all books	2.38	1.55	6.5%
Average	2.26	1.51	10.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
William Hill	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.67	9.6%
BetVictor	1.80	1.55	20.1%
Best of all books	2.01	1.73	7.6%
Average	1.94	1.66	11.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Express 10%Draw 45%Blacks Power 45%

The statistical model rates Express at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Blacks Power at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.97 | 2.97 | 3.59, which imply roughly 33.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Express are 12th (8 pts, 7-9 goals), Blacks Power 8th (13 pts, 9-12).

Over their last five matches, Express averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Blacks Power averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Blacks Power.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.97	2.97	3.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.64	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.42	2.41

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.66

1st half

1	X	2
2.64	1.94	4.27

2nd half

1	X	2
2.40	2.19	3.99

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.29	15.1	41.3
HT X	4.80	4.29	7.53
HT 2	30.8	15.8	5.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	6.68	2.49

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	6.85
1.5	1.40	2.56
2.5	2.26	1.51
3.5	4.40	1.14
4.5	9.00	1.01
5.5	23.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.20
1	1.08	5.50
1.25	1.25	3.28
1.75	1.52	2.25
2	1.70	1.89
2.25	2.01	1.68
2.75	2.71	1.37
3	3.51	1.22
3.25	4.01	1.17
3.75	5.65	1.08
4	8.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.02	1.30
-0.75	2.30	1.52
-0.5	1.85	1.71
-0.25	1.70	1.94
0	1.42	2.57
+0.25	1.30	3.03

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	8.78	1.01
-2	8.50	1.01
-1.75	5.41	1.09
-1.5	4.15	1.16
-1.25	3.46	1.24
+0.75	1.14	4.41
+1	1.03	7.20
+1.25	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.02	8.30

Next Premier League matches

5 Nov

Vipers – Lugazi

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

5 Nov	Ntugasaze 1-3 Entebbe UPPC
4 Nov	Kataka 3-4 URA
4 Nov	KCCA 3-0 Maroons
3 Nov	BUL 2-1 SC Villa
3 Nov	Police 1-1 Kitara
3 Nov	NEC 1-0 UPDF