Kataka vs URA• Premier League, Uganda

#171.0:3.013:00Today · BCS Sports complex Bukedea, Bukedea0.8:0.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50DAFX3.60BFR21.73B365Margin at best7.8%Books7Markets49Rating29 · 72Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 01:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.50	3.60	1.66	10.2%
Betfair	4.40	3.60	1.67	10.4%
Betano	4.30	3.50	1.70	10.7%
1xBet	4.32	3.46	1.70	10.9%
Bet365	4.20	3.40	1.73	11.0%
Marathonbet	4.20	3.46	1.68	12.2%
BetVictor	3.90	3.10	1.62	19.6%
Best of all books	4.50	3.60	1.73	7.8%
Average	4.26	3.45	1.68	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KatakaURA

Last 10#17Table position#110.33Points per game1.251Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 50.83.0Goals against · last 50.856Attack rating4421Defence rating7913Form rating880H2H rating025Goals model7529Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 01:40 UTC

Kataka

0W 3D 6L · goals 7:21 · per match 0.8 for, 2.3 against

30 Oct	H	Police	1-2	L
27 Oct	A	Express	2-2	D
20 Oct	A	Maroons	1-4	L
15 Oct	H	Vipers	0-5	L
10 Oct	H	Kitara	1-2	L
7 Oct	H	SC Villa	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	KCCA	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	BUL	1-4	L
29 Aug	A	UPDF	0-0	D

URA

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

31 Oct	H	Vipers	1-0	W
27 Oct	A	UPDF	1-0	W
24 Oct	A	Blacks Power	2-3	L
15 Oct	H	Entebbe UPPC	0-0	D
9 Oct	H	KCCA	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	NEC	1-4	L
4 Sep	H	SC Villa	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Maroons	2-1	W
22 May	A	Buhimba Saints	3-0	W
19 May	H	KCCA	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Kataka and URA on record.

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 4 Nov 01:40 UTC

In the Premier League table, Kataka sit 17th with 3 points from 9 games, while URA are 11th with 10 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	NEC	10	7	2	1	19:5	+14	23
2	BUL	9	7	2	0	18:6	+12	23
3	SC Villa	10	6	3	1	19:6	+13	21
4	Entebbe UPPC	9	4	4	1	8:3	+5	16
5	KCCA	8	5	1	2	9:6	+3	16
6	Police	10	4	3	3	10:13	-3	15
7	Blacks Power	9	4	1	4	9:12	-3	13
8	Kitara	6	3	3	0	7:4	+3	12
9	Vipers	8	3	2	3	13:4	+9	11
10	Maroons	8	3	2	3	13:8	+5	11
11	URA	8	3	1	4	7:10	-3	10
12	Express	9	1	5	3	7:9	-2	8
13	Mbarara City	8	2	2	4	4:8	-4	8
14	UPDF	9	2	2	5	4:8	-4	8
15	Lugazi	9	2	2	5	6:13	-7	8
16	Ntugasaze	8	1	1	6	5:19	-14	4
17	Kataka	9	0	3	6	7:21	-14	3
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	7	0	1	6	2:12	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.26X26%3.45253%1.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Betfair	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Betano	1.83	1.80	10.2%
BetVictor	1.71	1.63	19.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Average	1.86	1.77	10.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
BetVictor	1.65	1.70	19.4%
Best of all books	1.85	1.88	7.2%
Average	1.77	1.82	11.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kataka 10%Draw 45%URA 45%

The statistical model rates Kataka at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and URA at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.26 | 3.45 | 1.68, which imply roughly 29% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Kataka are 17th (3 pts, 7-21 goals), URA 11th (10 pts, 7-10).

Over their last five matches, Kataka averaged 1 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; URA averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or URA.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.26	3.45	1.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.93	1.14	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
3.04	1.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
4.67	2.12	2.25

2nd half

1	X	2
4.36	2.48	2.05

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.44	15.3	23.0
HT X	9.39	5.32	4.43
HT 2	42.6	15.2	2.61

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.74	9.00	1.56

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.67
1.5	1.26	3.29
2.5	1.86	1.77
3.5	3.19	1.28
4.5	6.33	1.06
5.5	13.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.65
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.13	4.51
1.75	1.32	2.93
2	1.40	2.56
2.25	1.63	2.07
2.75	2.09	1.61
3	2.49	1.42
3.25	2.84	1.34
3.75	3.86	1.18
4	5.30	1.09
4.25	5.65	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.33	1.48
+0.5	2.00	1.65
+0.75	1.73	1.87
+1	1.52	2.29
+1.25	1.38	2.62
+1.5	1.30	2.97

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	8.90	1.01
-0.75	5.45	1.08
-0.25	3.58	1.21
0	3.14	1.27
+1.75	1.20	3.70
+2	1.10	5.20
+2.25	1.08	5.65
+2.5	1.06	6.05
+2.75	1.02	7.90

Next Premier League matches

4 Nov

KCCA – Maroons

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

3 Nov	BUL 2-1 SC Villa
3 Nov	Police 1-1 Kitara
3 Nov	NEC 1-0 UPDF
1 Nov	Ntugasaze 1-1 Express
30 Oct	Kataka 1-2 Police
28 Oct	KCCA 2-1 Lugazi