Vipers vs Lugazi• Premier League, Uganda

#101.2:0.617:00Today · Kitende0.4:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.17B365X6.50BFR217.8MARMargin at best6.5%Books9Markets61Rating79 · 21Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 08:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.17	6.00	15.0	8.8%
William Hill	1.15	5.80	21.0	9.0%
Dafabet	1.15	6.00	15.0	10.3%
Betfair	1.12	6.50	16.0	10.9%
Betano	1.16	5.60	14.0	11.2%
Pinnacle	1.13	6.44	12.8	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.11	6.05	17.8	12.3%
1xBet	1.11	6.05	17.5	12.3%
BetVictor	1.10	4.80	12.0	20.1%
Best of all books	1.17	6.50	17.8	6.5%
Average	1.13	5.92	15.7	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VipersLugazi

Last 10#10Table position#151.38Points per game0.895Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 50.40.6Goals against · last 51.475Attack rating2570Defence rating3071Form rating2991H2H rating982Goals model1879Overall rating21

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 01:10 UTC

Vipers

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:5 · per match 1.4 for, 0.5 against

31 Oct	A	URA	0-1	L
28 Oct	A	Mbarara City	0-1	L
23 Oct	H	Police	0-0	D
15 Oct	A	Kataka	5-0	W
11 Oct	H	Maroons	1-1	D
8 Oct	A	Blacks Power	4-0	W
19 Sep	H	Ntugasaze	3-0	W
13 Sep	A	Nouadhibou	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Nouadhibou	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Entebbe UPPC	0-1	L

Lugazi

2W 2D 6L · goals 6:14 · per match 0.6 for, 1.4 against

31 Oct	H	SC Villa	1-2	L
28 Oct	A	KCCA	1-2	L
21 Oct	H	Express	0-0	D
13 Oct	H	BUL	0-0	D
7 Oct	A	Maroons	0-3	L
16 Sep	H	Police	0-2	L
9 Sep	A	Entebbe UPPC	1-0	W
1 Sep	A	NEC	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Kigezi HomeBoyz	2-1	W
23 May	H	Maroons	0-1	L

Head to head

3Vipers wins

1draws

0Lugazi wins

4 meetings · goals 6:1 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Vipers

3 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Vipers3-0Lugazi
17 Dec 2025Premier League	Premier League	Lugazi1-2Vipers
3 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Vipers1-0Lugazi
26 Sep 2024Premier League	Premier League	Lugazi0-0Vipers

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 5 Nov 01:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Vipers sit 10th with 11 points from 8 games, while Lugazi are 15th with 8 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	NEC	10	7	2	1	19:5	+14	23
2	BUL	9	7	2	0	18:6	+12	23
3	SC Villa	10	6	3	1	19:6	+13	21
4	KCCA	9	6	1	2	12:6	+6	19
5	Entebbe UPPC	9	4	4	1	8:3	+5	16
6	Police	10	4	3	3	10:13	-3	15
7	URA	9	4	1	4	11:13	-2	13
8	Blacks Power	9	4	1	4	9:12	-3	13
9	Kitara	6	3	3	0	7:4	+3	12
10	Vipers	8	3	2	3	13:4	+9	11
11	Maroons	9	3	2	4	13:11	+2	11
12	Express	9	1	5	3	7:9	-2	8
13	Mbarara City	8	2	2	4	4:8	-4	8
14	UPDF	9	2	2	5	4:8	-4	8
15	Lugazi	9	2	2	5	6:13	-7	8
16	Ntugasaze	8	1	1	6	5:19	-14	4
17	Kataka	10	0	3	7	10:25	-15	3
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	7	0	1	6	2:12	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg179%1.13X15%5.9226%15.7

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.17 → 1.13 -3.4%X6.00 → 5.92 -1.3%215.0 → 15.7 +4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.62	2.12	8.9%
1xBet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Betano	1.67	2.00	9.9%
BetVictor	1.53	1.83	20.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.12	2.7%
Average	1.65	2.02	9.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.88	1.36	8.3%
1xBet	2.83	1.36	8.9%
William Hill	2.60	1.40	9.9%
Marathonbet	2.83	1.34	10.0%
BetVictor	2.50	1.25	20.0%
Best of all books	2.88	1.40	6.2%
Average	2.73	1.34	11.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vipers 50%Draw 50%Lugazi 0%

The statistical model rates Vipers at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Lugazi at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.13 | 5.92 | 15.67, which imply roughly 88.5% for a Vipers win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Vipers are 10th (11 pts, 13-4 goals), Lugazi 15th (8 pts, 6-13).

Over their last five matches, Vipers averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Lugazi averaged 0.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Vipers or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.13	5.92	15.7

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	4.47	1.08

Draw no bet

1	2
1.03	7.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.73	1.34

1st half

1	X	2
1.52	2.58	12.7

2nd half

1	X	2
1.38	3.22	12.4

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.56	27.8	117.6
HT X	3.57	8.10	29.0
HT 2	28.0	30.6	31.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.17	11.4	5.95

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.0
1.5	1.18	4.10
2.5	1.65	2.02
3.5	2.58	1.41
4.5	4.83	1.12
5.5	8.53	1.02

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.65
1	–	9.20
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.28	3.11
2.25	1.45	2.43
2.75	1.76	1.82
3	2.03	1.64
3.25	2.29	1.51
3.75	2.98	1.31
4	3.84	1.18
4.25	4.20	1.16
4.75	5.60	1.08
5	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.69	1.37
-2.5	2.30	1.50
-2.25	2.07	1.62
-2	1.82	1.81
-1.75	1.63	2.05
-1.5	1.50	2.30

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	7.70	1.03
-4	6.95	1.04
-3.75	5.05	1.10
-3.5	4.00	1.17
-3.25	3.72	1.20
-3	3.34	1.24
-1.25	1.35	2.77
-1	1.19	3.80
-0.75	1.15	4.25
-0.25	1.05	6.70
0	1.03	9.10

Next Premier League matches

5 Nov

Ntugasaze – Entebbe UPPC

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

4 Nov	KCCA 3-0 Maroons
4 Nov	Kataka 3-4 URA
3 Nov	NEC 1-0 UPDF
3 Nov	Police 1-1 Kitara
3 Nov	BUL 2-1 SC Villa
1 Nov	Ntugasaze 1-1 Express