Ntugasaze vs 
Express• Premier League, Uganda
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 07:42 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 9.1% |
| Dafabet | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.78 | 10.3% |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.30 | 1.70 | 10.9% |
| 1xBet | 4.32 | 3.30 | 1.74 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 4.10 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 10.9% |
| Pinnacle | 4.43 | 3.22 | 1.71 | 12.1% |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.20 | 1.75 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.72 | 12.3% |
| BetVictor | 3.80 | 3.00 | 1.65 | 20.3% |
| Best of all books | 4.60 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 5.9% |
| Average | 4.21 | 3.28 | 1.73 | 12.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 07:50 UTC
Ntugasaze
1W 0D 6L · goals 4:18 · per match 0.6 for, 2.6 against
| 27 Oct | A | NEC | 1-5 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | KCCA | 0-2 | L |
| 7 Oct | H | Mbarara City | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Vipers | 0-3 | L |
| 8 Sep | A | BUL | 1-4 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | Maroons | 1-3 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Blacks Power | 0-1 | L |
Express
1W 5D 4L · goals 6:10 · per match 0.6 for, 1.0 against
| 27 Oct | H | Kataka | 2-2 | D |
| 21 Oct | A | Lugazi | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Oct | H | UPDF | 1-2 | L |
| 8 Oct | A | NEC | 0-0 | D |
| 17 Sep | H | Kitara | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Sep | A | SC Villa | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Sep | H | KCCA | 2-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | BUL | 0-1 | L |
| 23 May | A | Vipers | 0-2 | L |
| 19 May | H | Lugazi | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Ntugasaze and Express on record.
Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 1 Nov 07:50 UTC
In the Premier League table, Ntugasaze sit 17th with 3 points from 7 games, while Express are 15th with 7 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Villa | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | +14 | 21 |
| 2 | NEC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:5 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 | BUL | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:5 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 | KCCA | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Police | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Blacks Power | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Vipers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:4 | +9 | 11 |
| 9 | Maroons | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 11 |
| 10 | Kitara | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 | URA | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | UPDF | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Lugazi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Express | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Kataka | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 3 |
| 17 | Ntugasaze | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:18 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 1.68 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 1.65 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 1.65 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 2.02 | 1.65 | 10.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.53 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 1.70 | 6.4% |
| Average | 2.02 | 1.64 | 10.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.8% |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 1.75 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 1.73 | 9.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 1.60 | 19.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.75 | 7.1% |
| Average | 1.91 | 1.71 | 10.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Ntugasaze at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Express at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.21 | 3.28 | 1.73, which imply roughly 23.8% for a Ntugasaze win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Ntugasaze are 17th (3 pts, 4-18 goals), Express 15th (7 pts, 6-8).
Over their last five matches, Ntugasaze averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Express averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ntugasaze or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.21 | 3.28 | 1.73 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 1.17 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.94 | 1.29 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.71 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 2.05 | 2.31 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.41 | 2.33 | 2.15 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 6.78 | 16.2 | 27.8 |
| HT X | 8.51 | 4.78 | 4.64 |
| HT 2 | 44.0 | 15.9 | 2.93 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.59 | 7.55 | 1.69 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 8.10 |
| 1.5 | 1.32 | 2.90 |
| 2.5 | 2.02 | 1.64 |
| 3.5 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| 4.5 | 7.30 | 1.03 |
| 5.5 | 17.0 | 1.02 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.03 | 7.40 |
| 1 | 1.05 | 6.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.18 | 3.87 |
| 1.75 | 1.41 | 2.56 |
| 2 | 1.57 | 2.10 |
| 2.25 | 1.77 | 1.81 |
| 2.75 | 2.35 | 1.48 |
| 3 | 2.94 | 1.31 |
| 3.25 | 3.35 | 1.25 |
| 3.75 | 4.66 | 1.12 |
| 4 | 6.55 | 1.05 |
| 4.25 | 6.95 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.11 | 1.60 |
| +0.5 | 1.92 | 1.70 |
| +0.75 | 1.68 | 1.91 |
| +1 | 1.48 | 2.42 |
| +1.25 | 1.34 | 2.78 |
| +1.5 | 1.28 | 3.11 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 8.82 | 1.01 |
| -1.25 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
| -0.75 | 5.50 | 1.08 |
| -0.25 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 0 | 3.15 | 1.27 |
| +1.75 | 1.17 | 4.00 |
| +2 | 1.07 | 5.85 |
| +2.25 | 1.06 | 6.25 |
| +2.5 | 1.04 | 6.75 |
| +2.75 | 1.01 | 8.80 |
Latest Premier League results
| 30 Oct | Kataka 1-2 Police |
| 28 Oct | Mbarara City 1-0 Vipers |
| 28 Oct | KCCA 2-1 Lugazi |
| 28 Oct | Entebbe UPPC 0-0 Maroons |
| 27 Oct | Express 2-2 Kataka |
| 27 Oct | NEC 5-1 Ntugasaze |