Kataka vs Police• Premier League, Uganda

#161.0:2.813:00Today · BCS Sports complex Bukedea, Bukedea1.2:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.781XBX3.60BFR21.75BTNMargin at best5.8%Books8Markets50Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 06:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.30	3.45	1.73	10.0%
Betfair	4.60	3.60	1.65	10.1%
Betano	4.15	3.40	1.75	10.7%
1xBet	4.78	3.38	1.66	10.7%
Bet365	4.33	3.50	1.67	11.5%
Pinnacle	4.38	3.46	1.66	12.0%
William Hill	4.40	3.40	1.67	12.0%
BetVictor	4.00	3.20	1.57	19.9%
Best of all books	4.78	3.60	1.75	5.8%
Average	4.37	3.42	1.67	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KatakaPolice

Last 10#16Table position#90.38Points per game1.382Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.22.8Goals against · last 52.045Attack rating5542Defence rating5822Form rating780H2H rating030Goals model7035Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 09:10 UTC

Kataka

0W 3D 5L · goals 6:19 · per match 0.8 for, 2.4 against

27 Oct	A	Express	2-2	D
20 Oct	A	Maroons	1-4	L
15 Oct	H	Vipers	0-5	L
10 Oct	H	Kitara	1-2	L
7 Oct	H	SC Villa	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	KCCA	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	BUL	1-4	L
29 Aug	A	UPDF	0-0	D

Police

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

27 Oct	H	Kigezi HomeBoyz	3-1	W
23 Oct	A	Vipers	0-0	D
14 Oct	H	SC Villa	1-6	L
9 Oct	A	Entebbe UPPC	0-3	L
16 Sep	A	Lugazi	2-0	W
10 Sep	H	UPDF	0-0	D
2 Sep	A	Blacks Power	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Mbarara City	1-0	W
23 May	A	Kitara	2-2	D
19 May	H	Entebbe UPPC	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Kataka and Police on record.

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 30 Oct 09:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Kataka sit 16th with 3 points from 8 games, while Police are 9th with 11 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	BUL	7	6	1	0	15:4	+11	19
2	SC Villa	8	5	3	0	16:3	+13	18
3	NEC	8	5	2	1	17:5	+12	17
4	Entebbe UPPC	8	4	3	1	7:2	+5	15
5	KCCA	7	4	1	2	6:5	+1	13
6	Blacks Power	8	4	1	3	9:11	-2	13
7	Vipers	7	3	2	2	13:3	+10	11
8	Maroons	8	3	2	3	13:8	+5	11
9	Police	8	3	2	3	7:11	-4	11
10	Kitara	4	2	2	0	5:3	+2	8
11	UPDF	7	2	2	3	4:6	-2	8
12	Mbarara City	7	2	2	3	3:5	-2	8
13	Lugazi	8	2	2	4	5:11	-6	8
14	Express	8	1	4	3	6:8	-2	7
15	URA	7	2	1	4	6:10	-4	7
16	Kataka	8	0	3	5	6:19	-13	3
17	Ntugasaze	7	1	0	6	4:18	-14	3
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	7	0	1	6	2:12	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.37X26%3.42253%1.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Pinnacle	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Betano	1.80	1.85	9.6%
BetVictor	1.64	1.69	20.1%
Best of all books	1.85	2.00	4.1%
Average	1.79	1.86	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
BetVictor	1.62	1.73	19.5%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.74	1.86	11.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kataka 10%Draw 45%Police 45%

The statistical model rates Kataka at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Police at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.37 | 3.42 | 1.67, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Kataka are 16th (3 pts, 6-19 goals), Police 9th (11 pts, 7-11).

Over their last five matches, Kataka averaged 1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Police averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Police.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.37	3.42	1.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.99	1.13	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
3.08	1.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
4.68	2.15	2.20

2nd half

1	X	2
4.41	2.48	2.03

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.70	14.5	22.3
HT X	9.61	5.40	4.40
HT 2	39.5	14.9	2.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.62	11.0	1.53

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.0
1.5	1.23	3.57
2.5	1.79	1.86
3.5	3.09	1.30
4.5	6.08	1.08
5.5	12.0	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.40
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.13	4.60
1.75	1.30	3.02
2	1.39	2.62
2.25	1.62	2.12
2.75	1.96	1.64
3	2.42	1.46
3.25	2.73	1.37
3.75	3.59	1.22
4	4.90	1.11
4.25	5.30	1.09
5	8.90	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.45	1.44
+0.5	2.01	1.67
+0.75	1.81	1.81
+1	1.59	2.19
+1.25	1.44	2.48
+1.5	1.35	2.78

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	8.30	1.02
-0.75	5.95	1.07
-0.25	3.58	1.22
0	3.38	1.24
+1.75	1.23	3.42
+2	1.12	4.70
+2.25	1.10	5.10
+2.5	1.08	5.50
+2.75	1.04	7.10

Latest Premier League results

28 Oct	Mbarara City 1-0 Vipers
28 Oct	KCCA 2-1 Lugazi
28 Oct	Entebbe UPPC 0-0 Maroons
27 Oct	Express 2-2 Kataka
27 Oct	UPDF 0-1 URA
27 Oct	NEC 5-1 Ntugasaze