KCCA vs 
Lugazi• Premier League, Uganda
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 09:41 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 4.33 | 13.7 | 9.8% |
| Dafabet | 1.26 | 4.80 | 10.0 | 10.2% |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 4.33 | 13.0 | 10.8% |
| Betano | 1.29 | 4.45 | 9.25 | 10.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 4.50 | 8.50 | 10.9% |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.00 | 13.0 | 11.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.22 | 4.81 | 9.61 | 13.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 4.10 | 9.00 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.30 | 5.00 | 13.0 | 4.6% |
| Average | 1.25 | 4.54 | 10.8 | 11.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 09:01 UTC
KCCA
6W 2D 2L · goals 13:6 · per match 1.3 for, 0.6 against
| 13 Oct | A | Ntugasaze | 2-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | URA | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Kataka | 1-0 | W |
| 8 Sep | A | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 0-0 | D |
| 3 Sep | A | Express | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | NEC | 0-2 | L |
| 23 May | H | Mbarara City | 4-1 | W |
| 19 May | A | URA | 0-0 | D |
| 13 May | A | UPDF | 2-1 | W |
| 7 May | H | Maroons | 3-0 | W |
Lugazi
2W 4D 4L · goals 4:10 · per match 0.4 for, 1.0 against
| 21 Oct | H | Express | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Oct | H | BUL | 0-0 | D |
| 7 Oct | A | Maroons | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Police | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Sep | A | Entebbe UPPC | 1-0 | W |
| 1 Sep | A | NEC | 1-3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 2-1 | W |
| 23 May | H | Maroons | 0-1 | L |
| 19 May | A | Express | 0-0 | D |
| 12 May | A | BUL | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 9:1 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for KCCA
| 14 Mar 2026Premier League | Premier League | Lugazi0-3KCCA |
| 16 Oct 2025Premier League | Premier League | KCCA0-0Lugazi |
| 14 May 2025Premier League | Premier League | KCCA5-0Lugazi |
| 30 Nov 2024Premier League | Premier League | Lugazi1-1KCCA |
Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 28 Oct 09:01 UTC
In the Premier League table, KCCA sit 9th with 10 points from 6 games, while Lugazi are 12th with 8 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | NEC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | +12 | 17 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Vipers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 | Police | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 9 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | UPDF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Express | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | URA | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Kataka | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:19 | -13 | 3 |
| 17 | Ntugasaze | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:18 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 1.81 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 1.75 | 9.5% |
| Betano | 1.85 | 1.78 | 10.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.72 | 1.62 | 19.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.86 | 1.76 | 10.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 1.42 | 8.6% |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 1.40 | 9.6% |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 1.30 | 20.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.62 | 1.42 | 8.6% |
| Average | 2.51 | 1.37 | 12.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated KCCA at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lugazi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.24 | 4.54 | 10.76, which imply roughly 80.6% for a KCCA win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: KCCA are 9th (10 pts, 4-4 goals), Lugazi 12th (8 pts, 4-9).
Over their last five matches, KCCA averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Lugazi averaged 0.2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : KCCA or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | 4.54 | 10.8 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | 3.36 | 1.15 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.06 | 5.72 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.51 | 1.37 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 2.31 | 9.75 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | 2.67 | 9.53 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.83 | 22.0 | 87.0 |
| HT X | 3.65 | 6.37 | 18.5 |
| HT 2 | 25.0 | 22.0 | 17.7 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | 9.00 | 4.33 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.06 | 8.00 |
| 1.5 | 1.29 | 3.10 |
| 2.5 | 1.86 | 1.76 |
| 3.5 | 3.30 | 1.25 |
| 4.5 | 6.50 | 1.08 |
| 5.5 | 15.0 | 1.02 |
6 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.33 | 2.87 |
| 2 | 1.45 | 2.50 |
| 2.25 | 1.66 | 2.05 |
| 2.75 | 2.13 | 1.61 |
| 3 | 2.59 | 1.42 |
| 3.25 | 2.82 | 1.34 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2.94 | 1.33 |
| -2.25 | 2.58 | 1.40 |
| -2 | 2.32 | 1.53 |
| -1.75 | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| -1.5 | 1.77 | 1.86 |
| -1.25 | 1.51 | 2.29 |
5 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 6.15 | 1.09 |
| -3 | 5.10 | 1.12 |
| -1 | 1.33 | 2.95 |
| -0.75 | 1.27 | 3.22 |
| 0 | 1.07 | 6.85 |
Latest Premier League results
| 28 Oct | Mbarara City 1-0 Vipers |
| 28 Oct | Entebbe UPPC 0-0 Maroons |
| 27 Oct | Express 2-2 Kataka |
| 27 Oct | NEC 5-1 Ntugasaze |
| 27 Oct | UPDF 0-1 URA |
| 23 Oct | Vipers 0-0 Police |