Express vs 
Kataka• Premier League, Uganda
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.44 | 3.80 | 7.00 | 10.0% |
| Dafabet | 1.46 | 3.85 | 6.40 | 10.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 3.56 | 8.75 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 1.47 | 3.65 | 6.30 | 11.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.25 | 7.00 | 11.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 3.56 | 8.20 | 12.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 3.72 | 7.39 | 12.4% |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 3.40 | 8.00 | 13.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 3.30 | 6.00 | 20.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 3.85 | 8.75 | 4.1% |
| Average | 1.42 | 3.57 | 7.23 | 12.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC
Express
2W 4D 4L · goals 7:10 · per match 0.7 for, 1.0 against
| 21 Oct | A | Lugazi | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Oct | H | UPDF | 1-2 | L |
| 8 Oct | A | NEC | 0-0 | D |
| 17 Sep | H | Kitara | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Sep | A | SC Villa | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Sep | H | KCCA | 2-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | BUL | 0-1 | L |
| 23 May | A | Vipers | 0-2 | L |
| 19 May | H | Lugazi | 0-0 | D |
| 12 May | H | Kitara | 3-2 | W |
Kataka
0W 2D 5L · goals 4:17 · per match 0.6 for, 2.4 against
| 20 Oct | A | Maroons | 1-4 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Vipers | 0-5 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Kitara | 1-2 | L |
| 7 Oct | H | SC Villa | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Sep | A | KCCA | 0-1 | L |
| 3 Sep | H | BUL | 1-4 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | UPDF | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Express and Kataka on record.
Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC
In the Premier League table, Express sit 13th with 6 points from 7 games, while Kataka are 17th with 2 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 | NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Vipers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 | Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | UPDF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Express | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | URA | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | Kataka | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 1.56 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 1.56 | 9.1% |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 1.51 | 9.5% |
| Betano | 2.07 | 1.62 | 10.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 1.45 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.31 | 1.67 | 3.2% |
| Average | 2.15 | 1.56 | 10.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 1.45 | 9.0% |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 1.44 | 9.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 1.43 | 9.9% |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 1.36 | 21.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.50 | 1.45 | 9.0% |
| Average | 2.40 | 1.42 | 12.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Express at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kataka at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 3.57 | 7.23, which imply roughly 70.4% for a Express win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Express are 13th (6 pts, 4-6 goals), Kataka 17th (2 pts, 4-17).
Over their last five matches, Express averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Kataka averaged 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Express or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.42 | 3.57 | 7.23 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | 2.45 | 1.20 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.13 | 4.13 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.40 | 1.42 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.99 | 2.03 | 7.39 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | 2.39 | 7.03 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.16 | 19.8 | 76.8 |
| HT X | 3.72 | 4.78 | 14.3 |
| HT 2 | 30.5 | 20.8 | 13.7 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | 7.05 | 3.88 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| 1.5 | 1.40 | 2.59 |
| 2.5 | 2.15 | 1.56 |
| 3.5 | 4.15 | 1.16 |
| 4.5 | 8.60 | 1.01 |
| 5.5 | 23.0 | 1.01 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.06 | 6.35 |
| 1 | 1.08 | 5.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.24 | 3.37 |
| 1.75 | 1.51 | 2.31 |
| 2 | 1.70 | 1.98 |
| 2.25 | 1.92 | 1.67 |
| 2.75 | 2.64 | 1.39 |
| 3 | 3.14 | 1.28 |
| 3.25 | 3.76 | 1.19 |
| 3.75 | 5.30 | 1.09 |
| 4 | 7.80 | 1.02 |
| 4.25 | 8.20 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.79 | 1.34 |
| -1.5 | 2.31 | 1.49 |
| -1.25 | 2.02 | 1.65 |
| -1 | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| -0.75 | 1.51 | 2.29 |
| -0.5 | 1.37 | 2.71 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 8.45 | 1.02 |
| -3.25 | 8.00 | 1.02 |
| -2.75 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| -2.5 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
| -2.25 | 4.14 | 1.16 |
| -2 | 3.66 | 1.20 |
| -0.25 | 1.23 | 3.46 |
| 0 | 1.06 | 6.15 |
| +0.25 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| +0.75 | 1.01 | 8.60 |
Next Premier League matches
| 27 Oct | NEC – Ntugasaze |
| 27 Oct | UPDF – URA |
Latest Premier League results
| 23 Oct | Vipers 0-0 Police |
| 22 Oct | SC Villa 2-0 Mbarara City |
| 21 Oct | BUL 2-1 NEC |
| 21 Oct | Lugazi 0-0 Express |
| 20 Oct | Maroons 4-1 Kataka |
| 18 Oct | UPDF 0-2 BUL |