NEC vs Ntugasaze• Premier League, Uganda

#31.4:0.613:00Today · MTN Omondi Stadium0.6:2.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.26BTNX5.04PIN212.71XBMargin at best7.1%Books9Markets57Rating80 · 20Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.24	5.00	11.0	9.7%
1xBet	1.21	4.95	12.7	10.7%
Betano	1.26	4.75	9.50	10.9%
Bet365	1.25	4.75	10.0	11.1%
William Hill	1.22	5.00	11.0	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.20	4.95	11.8	12.0%
Pinnacle	1.24	5.04	8.56	12.2%
Betfair	1.20	5.00	11.0	12.4%
BetVictor	1.20	4.10	8.00	20.2%
Best of all books	1.26	5.04	12.7	7.1%
Average	1.22	4.84	10.4	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NECNtugasaze

Last 10#3Table position#162.00Points per game0.508Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 50.60.6Goals against · last 52.470Attack rating3080Defence rating2073Form rating270H2H rating096Goals model480Overall rating20

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

NEC

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

21 Oct	A	BUL	1-2	L
14 Oct	A	Kigezi HomeBoyz	2-0	W
8 Oct	H	Express	0-0	D
15 Sep	H	URA	4-1	W
11 Sep	A	Mbarara City	0-0	D
1 Sep	H	Lugazi	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	KCCA	2-0	W
23 May	A	Calvary	0-2	L
20 May	H	SC Villa	1-4	L
13 May	H	Buhimba Saints	3-0	W

Ntugasaze

1W 0D 5L · goals 3:13 · per match 0.5 for, 2.2 against

13 Oct	H	KCCA	0-2	L
7 Oct	H	Mbarara City	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Vipers	0-3	L
8 Sep	A	BUL	1-4	L
2 Sep	H	Maroons	1-3	L
29 Aug	A	Blacks Power	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between NEC and Ntugasaze on record.

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

In the Premier League table, NEC sit 3rd with 14 points from 7 games, while Ntugasaze are 16th with 3 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	BUL	7	6	1	0	15:4	+11	19
2	SC Villa	7	5	2	0	16:3	+13	17
3	NEC	7	4	2	1	12:4	+8	14
4	Entebbe UPPC	7	4	2	1	7:2	+5	14
5	Blacks Power	7	4	0	3	9:11	-2	12
6	Vipers	6	3	2	1	13:2	+11	11
7	Maroons	7	3	1	3	13:8	+5	10
8	KCCA	6	3	1	2	4:4	0	10
9	Kitara	4	2	2	0	5:3	+2	8
10	UPDF	6	2	2	2	4:5	-1	8
11	Lugazi	7	2	2	3	4:9	-5	8
12	Police	7	2	2	3	4:10	-6	8
13	Express	7	1	3	3	4:6	-2	6
14	Mbarara City	6	1	2	3	2:5	-3	5
15	URA	6	1	1	4	5:10	-5	4
16	Ntugasaze	6	1	0	5	3:13	-10	3
17	Kataka	7	0	2	5	4:17	-13	2
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	6	0	1	5	1:9	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg173%1.22X18%4.8429%10.4

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.21 → 1.22 +0.8%X4.74 → 4.84 +2.1%212.0 → 10.4 -13.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Pinnacle	1.63	2.11	8.7%
1xBet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Betano	1.70	1.95	10.1%
BetVictor	1.50	1.85	20.7%
Best of all books	1.95	2.11	-1.3%
Average	1.69	1.98	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
William Hill	2.15	1.60	9.0%
1xBet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.53	10.0%
BetVictor	1.93	1.47	19.8%
Best of all books	2.24	1.60	7.1%
Average	2.15	1.55	11.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NEC 50%Draw 50%Ntugasaze 0%

The statistical model rates NEC at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Ntugasaze at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.22 | 4.84 | 10.39, which imply roughly 82% for a NEC win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: NEC are 3rd (14 pts, 12-4 goals), Ntugasaze 16th (3 pts, 3-13).

Over their last five matches, NEC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Ntugasaze averaged 0.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : NEC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.22	4.84	10.4

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	3.46	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.05	6.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.15	1.55

1st half

1	X	2
1.66	2.41	9.25

2nd half

1	X	2
1.51	2.95	8.70

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.74	21.4	81.0
HT X	3.64	6.90	20.9
HT 2	25.2	23.8	20.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.24	10.8	4.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.9
1.5	1.19	3.95
2.5	1.69	1.98
3.5	2.68	1.38
4.5	5.03	1.12
5.5	9.53	1.02

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.09	5.40
1.75	1.22	3.51
2	1.28	3.11
2.25	1.46	2.41
2.75	1.78	1.80
3	2.09	1.61
3.25	2.36	1.48
3.75	3.09	1.29
4	4.10	1.16
4.25	4.46	1.14
4.75	6.05	1.06
5	8.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.57	1.40
-2	2.27	1.51
-1.75	1.92	1.71
-1.5	1.73	1.87
-1.25	1.55	2.23
-1	1.34	2.79

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.75	6.95	1.04
-3.5	5.40	1.09
-3.25	5.00	1.10
-3	4.65	1.12
-2.75	3.42	1.23
-2.5	2.83	1.33
-0.75	1.27	3.16
-0.25	1.11	4.95
0	1.06	8.30

Next Premier League matches

27 Oct	UPDF – URA
27 Oct	Express – Kataka

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

23 Oct	Vipers 0-0 Police
22 Oct	SC Villa 2-0 Mbarara City
21 Oct	Lugazi 0-0 Express
21 Oct	BUL 2-1 NEC
20 Oct	Maroons 4-1 Kataka
18 Oct	UPDF 0-2 BUL