BUL vs NEC• Premier League, Uganda

#12.4:0.62-1LiveToday · FUFA Technical Centre1.8:0.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27DAFX2.90DAF24.55PINMargin at best0.5%Books9Markets44Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 09:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.27	2.90	3.20	9.8%
Betfair	2.15	2.63	3.90	10.2%
1xBet	2.05	2.56	4.35	10.8%
Betano	2.15	2.55	3.90	11.4%
Bet365	2.15	2.80	3.40	11.6%
Marathonbet	2.03	2.56	4.20	12.1%
Pinnacle	2.13	2.29	4.55	12.6%
William Hill	2.10	2.62	3.60	13.6%
BetVictor	1.95	2.63	3.25	20.1%
Best of all books	2.27	2.90	4.55	0.5%
Average	2.11	2.62	3.82	11.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BULNEC

Last 10#1Table position#32.67Points per game2.3313Form pts · last 5112.4Goals for · last 51.80.6Goals against · last 50.457Attack rating4340Defence rating6054Form rating4625H2H rating750Goals model10043Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 02:30 UTC

BUL

5W 4D 1L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

18 Oct	A	UPDF	2-0	W
13 Oct	A	Lugazi	0-0	D
15 Sep	H	Blacks Power	2-1	W
8 Sep	H	Ntugasaze	4-1	W
3 Sep	A	Kataka	4-1	W
30 Aug	H	Express	1-0	W
23 May	A	Entebbe UPPC	0-4	L
19 May	H	Kitara	1-1	D
12 May	H	Lugazi	0-0	D
8 May	A	SC Villa	0-0	D

NEC

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

14 Oct	A	Kigezi HomeBoyz	2-0	W
8 Oct	H	Express	0-0	D
15 Sep	H	URA	4-1	W
11 Sep	A	Mbarara City	0-0	D
1 Sep	H	Lugazi	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	KCCA	2-0	W
23 May	A	Calvary	0-2	L
20 May	H	SC Villa	1-4	L
13 May	H	Buhimba Saints	3-0	W
9 May	A	Kitara	1-0	W

Head to head

0BUL wins

4draws

2NEC wins

6 meetings · goals 4:6 · last 6: 0W 4D 2L for BUL

28 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	BUL0-1NEC
8 Nov 2025Premier League	Premier League	NEC1-1BUL
7 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	NEC1-1BUL
18 Dec 2024Premier League	Premier League	BUL1-1NEC
24 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	NEC1-0BUL
10 Dec 2023Premier League	Premier League	BUL1-1NEC

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 21 Oct 02:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, BUL sit 1st with 16 points from 6 games, while NEC are 3rd with 14 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	BUL	6	5	1	0	13:3	+10	16
2	SC Villa	6	4	2	0	14:3	+11	14
3	NEC	6	4	2	0	11:2	+9	14
4	Entebbe UPPC	6	3	2	1	6:2	+4	11
5	Vipers	5	3	1	1	13:2	+11	10
6	Maroons	7	3	1	3	13:8	+5	10
7	KCCA	6	3	1	2	4:4	0	10
8	Blacks Power	6	3	0	3	6:9	-3	9
9	Kitara	4	2	2	0	5:3	+2	8
10	UPDF	6	2	2	2	4:5	-1	8
11	Lugazi	6	2	1	3	4:9	-5	7
12	Police	6	2	1	3	4:10	-6	7
13	Mbarara City	5	1	2	2	2:3	-1	5
14	Express	6	1	2	3	4:6	-2	5
15	URA	5	1	1	3	3:7	-4	4
16	Ntugasaze	6	1	0	5	3:13	-10	3
17	Kataka	7	0	2	5	4:17	-13	2
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	5	0	1	4	1:8	-7	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.11X34%2.62223%3.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.22 → 2.11 -5.0%X2.79 → 2.62 -6.1%23.16 → 3.82 +20.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Betfair	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Pinnacle	2.78	1.36	9.5%
1xBet	2.59	1.39	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.59	1.39	10.6%
Best of all books	2.78	1.40	7.4%
Average	2.69	1.39	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
William Hill	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.55	10.0%
BetVictor	1.95	1.44	20.7%
Best of all books	2.20	1.73	3.3%
Average	2.11	1.57	11.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

BUL 10%Draw 45%NEC 45%

The statistical model rates BUL at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and NEC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.11 | 2.62 | 3.83, which imply roughly 38.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: BUL are 1st (16 pts, 13-3 goals), NEC 3rd (14 pts, 11-2).

Over their last five matches, BUL averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; NEC averaged 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or NEC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.11	2.62	3.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.58	1.36

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.11	1.57

1st half

1	X	2
2.86	1.77	4.67

2nd half

1	X	2
2.50	2.05	4.24

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.60	14.9	45.6
HT X	4.70	3.55	7.64
HT 2	33.6	15.6	7.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	4.97	2.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.10	5.63
1.5	1.51	2.24
2.5	2.69	1.39
3.5	5.13	1.11
4.5	12.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.13	4.50
1	1.18	3.91
1.25	1.36	2.77
1.75	1.66	1.93
2	1.98	1.68
2.25	2.33	1.50
2.75	3.14	1.27
3	4.20	1.15
3.25	4.60	1.13
3.75	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.24	1.26
-0.75	2.43	1.45
-0.5	2.09	1.61
-0.25	1.73	1.91
0	1.35	2.84
+0.25	1.22	3.51

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.80	1.01
-2.25	8.38	1.01
-2	7.90	1.02
-1.75	5.25	1.09
-1.5	4.00	1.17
-1.25	3.58	1.21
+0.5	1.15	4.40
+0.75	1.08	5.45
+1.25	1.01	9.57
+1.5	1.02	8.90

Latest Premier League results

20 Oct	Maroons 4-1 Kataka
18 Oct	UPDF 0-2 BUL
15 Oct	URA 0-0 Entebbe UPPC
15 Oct	Express 1-2 UPDF
15 Oct	Kataka 0-5 Vipers
14 Oct	Police 1-6 SC Villa