Maroons vs Kataka• Premier League, Uganda

#101.6:1.04-1FTToday · Mutesa II Stadium, Kampala0.6:2.6#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57B365X3.80BFR26.001XBMargin at best6.7%Books9Markets52Rating78 · 23Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 09:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.53	3.80	5.50	9.9%
Dafabet	1.56	3.65	5.40	10.0%
1xBet	1.50	3.62	6.00	11.0%
Bet365	1.57	3.50	5.25	11.3%
Betano	1.57	3.55	5.10	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.49	3.62	5.70	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.50	3.66	5.44	12.4%
William Hill	1.53	3.30	5.80	12.9%
BetVictor	1.44	3.25	5.00	20.2%
Best of all books	1.57	3.80	6.00	6.7%
Average	1.52	3.55	5.47	12.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MaroonsKataka

Last 10#10Table position#171.17Points per game0.337Form pts · last 511.6Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 52.673Attack rating2772Defence rating2888Form rating130H2H rating0100Goals model078Overall rating23

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 02:30 UTC

Maroons

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	A	Vipers	1-1	D
7 Oct	H	Lugazi	3-0	W
17 Sep	A	UPDF	0-1	L
8 Sep	H	Blacks Power	1-2	L
2 Sep	A	Ntugasaze	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	URA	1-2	L
23 May	A	Lugazi	1-0	W
19 May	H	Vipers	0-3	L
12 May	H	Entebbe UPPC	0-0	D
7 May	A	KCCA	0-3	L

Kataka

0W 2D 4L · goals 3:13 · per match 0.5 for, 2.2 against

15 Oct	H	Vipers	0-5	L
10 Oct	H	Kitara	1-2	L
7 Oct	H	SC Villa	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	KCCA	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	BUL	1-4	L
29 Aug	A	UPDF	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Maroons and Kataka on record.

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 20 Oct 02:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, Maroons sit 10th with 7 points from 6 games, while Kataka are 17th with 2 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	BUL	6	5	1	0	13:3	+10	16
2	SC Villa	6	4	2	0	14:3	+11	14
3	NEC	6	4	2	0	11:2	+9	14
4	Entebbe UPPC	6	3	2	1	6:2	+4	11
5	Vipers	5	3	1	1	13:2	+11	10
6	KCCA	6	3	1	2	4:4	0	10
7	Blacks Power	6	3	0	3	6:9	-3	9
8	Kitara	4	2	2	0	5:3	+2	8
9	UPDF	6	2	2	2	4:5	-1	8
10	Maroons	6	2	1	3	9:7	+2	7
11	Lugazi	6	2	1	3	4:9	-5	7
12	Police	6	2	1	3	4:10	-6	7
13	Mbarara City	5	1	2	2	2:3	-1	5
14	Express	6	1	2	3	4:6	-2	5
15	URA	5	1	1	3	3:7	-4	4
16	Ntugasaze	6	1	0	5	3:13	-10	3
17	Kataka	6	0	2	4	3:13	-10	2
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	5	0	1	4	1:8	-7	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.46X24%3.71215%5.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.54 → 1.52 -1.3%X3.61 → 3.56 -1.4%25.11 → 5.45 +6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Pinnacle	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Betano	1.87	1.78	9.7%
BetVictor	1.80	1.55	20.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.93	1.72	9.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	1.95	1.73	9.1%
1xBet	2.01	1.68	9.3%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.66	10.0%
BetVictor	1.83	1.53	20.0%
Best of all books	2.01	1.73	7.6%
Average	1.96	1.67	11.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Maroons 50%Draw 50%Kataka 0%

The statistical model rated Maroons at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Kataka at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 3.71 | 5.95, which imply roughly 68.5% for a Maroons win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Maroons are 10th (7 pts, 9-7 goals), Kataka 17th (2 pts, 3-13).

Over their last five matches, Maroons averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Kataka averaged 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Maroons or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.52	3.55	5.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.23	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	3.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.96	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
2.08	2.12	5.63

2nd half

1	X	2
1.89	2.45	5.39

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.33	16.1	49.6
HT X	4.12	5.30	11.5
HT 2	24.0	17.0	9.84

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	8.20	3.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.27
1.5	1.30	3.09
2.5	1.93	1.72
3.5	3.43	1.24
4.5	6.53	1.06
5.5	15.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.40
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.17	4.00
1.75	1.37	2.68
2	1.49	2.33
2.25	1.71	1.87
2.75	2.24	1.53
3	2.74	1.36
3.25	3.04	1.29
3.75	4.14	1.16
4	5.65	1.08
4.25	5.95	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.49	1.43
-1.25	2.20	1.56
-1	1.89	1.74
-0.75	1.64	2.05
-0.5	1.48	2.38
-0.25	1.32	2.90

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.70	1.01
-2.75	6.05	1.06
-2.5	4.75	1.12
-2.25	4.39	1.14
-2	3.98	1.17
-1.75	3.01	1.30
0	1.15	4.30
+0.25	1.11	4.85
+0.75	1.03	7.20

Latest Premier League results

18 Oct	UPDF 0-2 BUL
15 Oct	URA 0-0 Entebbe UPPC
15 Oct	Express 1-2 UPDF
15 Oct	Kataka 0-5 Vipers
14 Oct	Police 1-6 SC Villa
13 Oct	Lugazi 0-0 BUL