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UPDF vs URA• Premier League, Uganda

#100.8:1.013:00Today · Hamz Stadium0.6:1.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.76PINX3.00B36522.55DAFMargin at best8.8%Books9Markets40Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.752.902.5510.1%
Betfair2.703.002.4511.2%
Betano2.722.902.5011.2%
Bet3652.603.002.5011.8%
1xBet2.692.952.4312.2%
Marathonbet2.692.952.4312.2%
Pinnacle2.762.832.4412.6%
William Hill2.752.752.4513.5%
BetVictor2.552.702.3019.7%
Best of all books2.763.002.558.8%
Average2.692.892.4512.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UPDFURA
Last 10#10Table position#151.33Points per game0.677Form pts · last 510.8Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 51.857Attack rating4364Defence rating3688Form rating1315H2H rating8542Goals model5850Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

UPDF

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:11 · per match 0.6 for, 1.1 against

18 OctHBUL0-2L
15 OctAExpress2-1W
17 SepHMaroons1-0W
10 SepAPolice0-0D
1 SepAEntebbe UPPC1-2L
29 AugHKataka0-0D
23 MayASC Villa1-2L
19 MayHCalvary0-0D
13 MayHKCCA1-2L
7 MayAEntebbe UPPC0-2L

URA

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

24 OctABlacks Power2-3L
15 OctHEntebbe UPPC0-0D
9 OctHKCCA0-1L
15 SepANEC1-4L
4 SepHSC Villa0-1L
30 AugAMaroons2-1W
22 MayABuhimba Saints3-0W
19 MayHKCCA0-0D
12 MayHCalvary1-1D
8 MayAVipers1-1D

Head to head

1UPDF wins
5draws
8URA wins

14 meetings · goals 9:17 · last 10: 0W 5D 5L for UPDF

24 Apr 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueUPDF0-0URA
29 Oct 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueURA3-2UPDF
7 Mar 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueURA2-1UPDF
24 Oct 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueUPDF0-0URA
6 Feb 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueURA1-0UPDF
17 Sep 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueUPDF0-0URA
12 May 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueURA1-1UPDF
6 Dec 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueUPDF1-1URA
29 Apr 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueUPDF0-1URA
29 Oct 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueURA3-1UPDF

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

In the Premier League table, UPDF sit 10th with 8 points from 6 games, while URA are 15th with 4 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1BUL761015:4+1119
2SC Villa752016:3+1317
3NEC742112:4+814
4Entebbe UPPC74217:2+514
5Blacks Power74039:11-212
6Vipers632113:2+1111
7Maroons731313:8+510
8KCCA63124:4010
9Kitara42205:3+28
10UPDF62224:5-18
11Lugazi72234:9-58
12Police72234:10-68
13Express71334:6-26
14Mbarara City61232:5-35
15URA61145:10-54
16Ntugasaze61053:13-103
17Kataka70254:17-132
18Kigezi HomeBoyz60151:9-81

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.69X31%2.89236%2.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Oct 01:4027 Oct 07:401 2.69X 2.892 2.45
12.62 → 2.69 +2.7%X2.89 → 2.89 0.0%22.51 → 2.45 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.501.506.7%
Betfair2.401.508.3%
Pinnacle2.271.558.6%
1xBet2.291.539.0%
Marathonbet2.291.539.0%
Betano2.271.529.8%
BetVictor2.051.4020.2%
Best of all books2.501.554.5%
Average2.301.5010.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.001.737.8%
1xBet1.921.759.2%
Marathonbet1.921.739.9%
William Hill1.851.7511.2%
BetVictor1.781.5719.9%
Best of all books2.001.757.1%
Average1.891.7111.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

UPDF 35%Draw 35%URA 30%

The statistical model rates UPDF at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and URA at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.69 | 2.89 | 2.45, which imply roughly 37.2% for a UPDF win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: UPDF are 10th (8 pts, 4-5 goals), URA 15th (4 pts, 5-10).

Over their last five matches, UPDF averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; URA averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : UPDF or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.692.892.45

Double chance

1XX212
1.431.351.30

Draw no bet

12
1.821.73

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.891.71

1st half

1X2
3.391.903.20

2nd half

1X2
3.132.182.87

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.5314.833.4
HT X6.024.275.74
HT 236.814.84.14

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.097.002.01

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.67
1.51.402.61
2.52.301.50
3.54.531.14
4.59.201.03
5.523.01.01
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.75
11.075.95
1.251.233.43
1.751.502.32
21.681.92
2.251.991.70
2.752.681.38
33.451.23
3.253.971.17
3.755.651.08
48.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.711.37
-0.252.311.51
01.901.74
+0.251.632.08
+0.51.472.41
+0.751.312.96
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.651.01
-1.56.351.06
-1.255.801.07
-15.201.10
-0.753.351.24
+11.144.40
+1.251.114.96
+1.51.085.50
+1.751.037.50

Next Premier League matches

27 OctNEC – Ntugasaze
27 OctExpress – Kataka

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

23 OctVipers 0-0 Police
22 OctSC Villa 2-0 Mbarara City
21 OctBUL 2-1 NEC
21 OctLugazi 0-0 Express
20 OctMaroons 4-1 Kataka
18 OctUPDF 0-2 BUL