Pietà Hotspurs vs Vittoriosa Stars• Challenge League, Malta

#72.0:2.016:00Tomorrow1.0:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67BTNX3.90DAF24.621XBMargin at best7.2%Books6Markets40Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 00:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.66	3.90	4.60	7.6%
Betfair	1.65	3.80	4.40	9.6%
Betano	1.67	3.60	4.35	10.6%
1xBet	1.62	3.64	4.62	10.8%
Bet365	1.65	3.60	4.33	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.60	3.64	4.50	12.2%
Best of all books	1.67	3.90	4.62	7.2%
Average	1.64	3.70	4.47	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pietà HotspursVittoriosa Stars

Last 10#7Table position#91.50Points per game1.257Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.067Attack rating3333Defence rating6755Form rating45100H2H rating0100Goals model060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:02 UTC

Pietà Hotspurs

5W 2D 3L · goals 21:16 · per match 2.1 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	A	Melita	2-0	W
11 Oct	H	Tarxien Rainbows	1-3	L
18 Sep	A	Swieqi United	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Naxxar Lions	3-2	W
19 Apr	H	St. Andrews	2-2	D
12 Apr	A	Sirens	4-3	W
4 Apr	A	Fgura United	4-0	W
17 Mar	H	Melita	0-1	L
14 Mar	A	Birzebbuga	2-2	D
8 Mar	H	Melita	1-0	W

Vittoriosa Stars

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	H	Attard	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Mgarr United	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Gudja United	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Santa Lucía	0-0	D
18 Apr	H	Gudja United	2-3	L
11 Apr	H	Zebbug Rangers	0-1	L
1 Apr	A	Mtarfa	1-0	W
15 Mar	A	Mgarr United	1-1	D
8 Mar	H	Santa Lucía	1-1	D
3 Mar	A	Gudja United	1-2	L

Head to head

5Pietà Hotspurs wins

0draws

3Vittoriosa Stars wins

8 meetings · goals 15:9 · last 8: 5W 0D 3L for Pietà Hotspurs

21 Sep 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	Pietà Hotspurs2-0Vittoriosa Stars
20 Dec 2020Challenge League	Challenge League	Pietà Hotspurs2-1Vittoriosa Stars
4 Mar 2020Challenge League	Challenge League	Vittoriosa Stars1-2Pietà Hotspurs
13 Oct 2019Challenge League	Challenge League	Pietà Hotspurs3-0Vittoriosa Stars
2 Mar 2018Challenge League	Challenge League	Pietà Hotspurs3-0Vittoriosa Stars
30 Oct 2017Challenge League	Challenge League	Vittoriosa Stars2-1Pietà Hotspurs
12 Feb 2017Challenge League	Challenge League	Vittoriosa Stars2-0Pietà Hotspurs
15 Oct 2016Challenge League	Challenge League	Pietà Hotspurs2-3Vittoriosa Stars

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 23 Oct 21:50 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Pietà Hotspurs sit 7th with 6 points from 4 games, while Vittoriosa Stars are 9th with 5 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	4	4	0	0	11:4	+7	12
2	Naxxar Lions	4	3	0	1	9:6	+3	9
3	Mgarr United	4	3	0	1	7:4	+3	9
4	Fgura United	4	2	2	0	8:1	+7	8
5	Swieqi United	4	2	1	1	9:8	+1	7
6	Melita	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
7	Pietà Hotspurs	4	2	0	2	8:8	0	6
8	Victoria Hotspurs	4	2	0	2	5:5	0	6
9	Vittoriosa Stars	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
10	Santa Lucía	4	0	4	0	2:2	0	4
11	Sirens	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4
12	Zurrieq	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
13	St. Andrews	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
14	Attard	4	0	3	1	6:8	-2	3
15	Zebbug Rangers	5	1	0	4	4:11	-7	3
16	Gudja United	4	0	0	4	0:7	-7	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.64X24%3.70220%4.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
1xBet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Betano	1.67	1.98	10.4%
Best of all books	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Average	1.69	2.02	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	1.99	9.8%
Best of all books	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Average	1.68	2.00	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pietà Hotspurs 45%Draw 45%Vittoriosa Stars 10%

The statistical model rates Pietà Hotspurs at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vittoriosa Stars at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.70 | 4.47, which imply roughly 61% for a Pietà Hotspurs win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Pietà Hotspurs are 7th (6 pts, 8-8 goals), Vittoriosa Stars 9th (5 pts, 4-4).

Over their last five matches, Pietà Hotspurs averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Vittoriosa Stars averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Pietà Hotspurs or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.64	3.70	4.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.04	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.28	3.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.23	4.68

2nd half

1	X	2
1.96	2.62	4.37

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.54	14.5	37.0
HT X	4.53	6.05	9.50
HT 2	21.0	16.0	7.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	12.6	2.66

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.18	3.84
2.5	1.69	2.02
3.5	2.66	1.37
4.5	4.90	1.11

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.80
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.29	3.04
2.25	1.49	2.34
2.75	1.84	1.80
3	2.13	1.57
3.25	2.41	1.45
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.20	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.70	1.36
-1.25	2.38	1.46
-1	2.11	1.62
-0.75	1.81	1.87
-0.5	1.62	2.02
-0.25	1.42	2.49

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.20	1.10
-2	4.45	1.14
-1.75	3.28	1.25
0	1.24	3.34
+0.25	1.18	3.88
+1.5	1.02	9.05

Next Challenge League matches

24 Oct	Gudja United – Fgura United
24 Oct	Sirens – Tarxien Rainbows
24 Oct	Santa Lucía – Naxxar Lions
25 Oct	Victoria Hotspurs – Swieqi United
25 Oct	Mgarr United – Zurrieq

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

23 Oct	Attard 0-1 St. Andrews
23 Oct	Zebbug Rangers 1-2 Melita
18 Oct	Swieqi United 3-2 Sirens
18 Oct	Tarxien Rainbows 2-1 Zebbug Rangers
18 Oct	Vittoriosa Stars 2-2 Attard
18 Oct	Naxxar Lions 1-0 Victoria Hotspurs