Vittoriosa Stars vs Zebbug Rangers• Challenge League, Malta

#120.8:1.219:30Today0.8:2.2#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90DAFX3.65DAF23.60BFRMargin at best7.8%Books6Markets41Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.90	3.65	3.55	8.2%
1xBet	1.86	3.52	3.48	10.9%
Betfair	1.80	3.60	3.60	11.1%
Betano	1.88	3.45	3.45	11.2%
Bet365	1.83	3.60	3.40	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.84	3.52	3.40	12.2%
Best of all books	1.90	3.65	3.60	7.8%
Average	1.85	3.56	3.48	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Vittoriosa StarsZebbug Rangers

Last 10#12Table position#151.00Points per game0.605Form pts · last 530.8Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 52.250Attack rating5065Defence rating3563Form rating3850H2H rating5085Goals model1561Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 09:30 UTC

Vittoriosa Stars

2W 4D 4L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

25 Oct	A	Pietà Hotspurs	0-2	L
18 Oct	H	Attard	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Mgarr United	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Gudja United	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Santa Lucía	0-0	D
18 Apr	H	Gudja United	2-3	L
11 Apr	H	Zebbug Rangers	0-1	L
1 Apr	A	Mtarfa	1-0	W
15 Mar	A	Mgarr United	1-1	D
8 Mar	H	Santa Lucía	1-1	D

Zebbug Rangers

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:18 · per match 1.1 for, 1.8 against

23 Oct	H	Melita	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	Tarxien Rainbows	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	Swieqi United	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Naxxar Lions	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Fgura United	0-4	L
18 Apr	H	Marsa	1-1	D
11 Apr	A	Vittoriosa Stars	1-0	W
4 Apr	A	Gudja United	2-1	W
15 Mar	A	Zurrieq	3-3	D
8 Mar	H	Mgarr United	0-2	L

Head to head

5Vittoriosa Stars wins

3draws

3Zebbug Rangers wins

11 meetings · goals 19:10 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Vittoriosa Stars

11 Apr 2026Challenge League	Challenge League	Vittoriosa Stars0-1Zebbug Rangers
20 Dec 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	Zebbug Rangers0-4Vittoriosa Stars
7 Feb 2021Challenge League	Challenge League	Zebbug Rangers3-0Vittoriosa Stars
22 Oct 2020Challenge League	Challenge League	Vittoriosa Stars2-1Zebbug Rangers
15 Dec 2019Challenge League	Challenge League	Zebbug Rangers1-1Vittoriosa Stars
17 Feb 2019Challenge League	Challenge League	Zebbug Rangers1-1Vittoriosa Stars
30 Sep 2018Challenge League	Challenge League	Vittoriosa Stars1-2Zebbug Rangers
11 Mar 2018Challenge League	Challenge League	Zebbug Rangers0-2Vittoriosa Stars
18 Nov 2017Challenge League	Challenge League	Vittoriosa Stars4-0Zebbug Rangers
13 Jan 2017Challenge League	Challenge League	Vittoriosa Stars4-1Zebbug Rangers

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 30 Oct 09:40 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Vittoriosa Stars sit 12th with 5 points from 5 games, while Zebbug Rangers are 15th with 3 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	5	5	0	0	13:5	+8	15
2	Fgura United	5	3	2	0	10:2	+8	11
3	Naxxar Lions	5	3	1	1	10:7	+3	10
4	Swieqi United	5	3	1	1	11:9	+2	10
5	Pietà Hotspurs	5	3	0	2	10:8	+2	9
6	Mgarr United	5	3	0	2	7:5	+2	9
7	Melita	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
8	Zurrieq	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
9	St. Andrews	5	2	1	2	3:6	-3	7
10	Victoria Hotspurs	5	2	0	3	6:7	-1	6
11	Santa Lucía	5	0	5	0	3:3	0	5
12	Vittoriosa Stars	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5
13	Sirens	5	1	1	3	7:9	-2	4
14	Attard	5	0	3	2	6:9	-3	3
15	Zebbug Rangers	5	1	0	4	4:11	-7	3
16	Gudja United	5	0	0	5	1:9	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.85X25%3.58226%3.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.82 → 1.85 +1.6%X3.60 → 3.58 -0.6%23.56 → 3.49 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.67	2.05	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.58	2.19	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.15	9.8%
Best of all books	1.58	2.19	9.0%
Average	1.58	2.17	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vittoriosa Stars 45%Draw 45%Zebbug Rangers 10%

The statistical model rates Vittoriosa Stars at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zebbug Rangers at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.58 | 3.49, which imply roughly 54.1% for a Vittoriosa Stars win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Vittoriosa Stars are 12th (5 pts, 4-6 goals), Zebbug Rangers 15th (3 pts, 4-11).

Over their last five matches, Vittoriosa Stars averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Zebbug Rangers averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Vittoriosa Stars.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	3.56	3.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.78	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.43	2.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
2.39	2.24	3.92

2nd half

1	X	2
2.20	2.58	3.58

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.92	13.7	29.0
HT X	4.92	6.00	8.10
HT 2	20.3	14.7	5.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	13.4	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	13.0
1.5	1.17	4.00
2.5	1.67	2.05
3.5	2.66	1.37
4.5	5.00	1.10
5.5	10.0	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.27	3.14
2.25	1.47	2.38
2.75	1.82	1.82
3	2.10	1.59
3.25	2.38	1.47
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.30	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.67	1.39
-0.75	2.12	1.58
-0.5	1.85	1.85
-0.25	1.63	2.03
0	1.41	2.52
+0.25	1.31	2.92

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.20	1.03
-2	6.25	1.06
-1.75	4.30	1.14
-1.5	3.34	1.24
-1.25	3.04	1.29
+1	1.05	6.65
+1.5	1.02	7.70

Next Challenge League matches

30 Oct

Tarxien Rainbows – Victoria Hotspurs

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

25 Oct	Mgarr United 0-1 Zurrieq
25 Oct	Pietà Hotspurs 2-0 Vittoriosa Stars
25 Oct	Victoria Hotspurs 1-2 Swieqi United
24 Oct	Santa Lucía 1-1 Naxxar Lions
24 Oct	Sirens 1-2 Tarxien Rainbows
24 Oct	Gudja United 1-2 Fgura United