Gudja United vs Fgura United• Challenge League, Malta

#160.0:1.812:00Today2.0:0.3#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.321XBX4.20B36521.57BTNMargin at best3.3%Books6Markets41Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 23:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.60	3.80	1.57	7.9%
Betfair	6.00	4.20	1.44	9.9%
Betano	5.10	3.65	1.57	10.7%
1xBet	6.32	3.82	1.45	11.0%
Bet365	5.00	4.20	1.48	11.4%
Marathonbet	6.00	3.90	1.43	12.2%
Best of all books	6.32	4.20	1.57	3.3%
Average	5.67	3.93	1.49	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gudja UnitedFgura United

Last 10#16Table position#40.00Points per game2.003Form pts · last 590.0Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 50.30Attack rating10013Defence rating880Form rating10064H2H rating360Goals model10044Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 17:31 UTC

Gudja United

3W 1D 6L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Zurrieq	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	St. Andrews	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Vittoriosa Stars	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Melita	0-3	L
18 Apr	A	Vittoriosa Stars	3-2	W
12 Apr	A	Mgarr United	2-0	W
4 Apr	H	Zebbug Rangers	1-2	L
19 Mar	H	Xewkija Tigers	2-3	L
15 Mar	H	Mtarfa	3-0	W
8 Mar	A	Marsa	3-3	D

Fgura United

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Santa Lucía	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Victoria Hotspurs	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Sirens	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Zebbug Rangers	4-0	W
19 Apr	A	Swieqi United	1-1	D
11 Apr	A	Melita	1-0	W
4 Apr	H	Pietà Hotspurs	0-4	L
15 Mar	A	Sirens	2-3	L
10 Mar	H	Balzan FC	1-2	L
1 Mar	H	St. Andrews	2-0	W

Head to head

2Gudja United wins

1draws

1Fgura United wins

4 meetings · goals 7:6 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Gudja United

24 Jan 2026FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Gudja United2-1Fgura United
11 Jan 2026Challenge League	Challenge League	Fgura United1-1Gudja United
22 Feb 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	Gudja United2-3Fgura United
24 Nov 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	Fgura United1-2Gudja United

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 23 Oct 21:50 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Gudja United sit 16th with 0 points from 4 games, while Fgura United are 4th with 8 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	4	4	0	0	11:4	+7	12
2	Naxxar Lions	4	3	0	1	9:6	+3	9
3	Mgarr United	4	3	0	1	7:4	+3	9
4	Fgura United	4	2	2	0	8:1	+7	8
5	Swieqi United	4	2	1	1	9:8	+1	7
6	Melita	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
7	Pietà Hotspurs	4	2	0	2	8:8	0	6
8	Victoria Hotspurs	4	2	0	2	5:5	0	6
9	Vittoriosa Stars	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
10	Santa Lucía	4	0	4	0	2:2	0	4
11	Sirens	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4
12	Zurrieq	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
13	St. Andrews	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
14	Attard	4	0	3	1	6:8	-2	3
15	Zebbug Rangers	5	1	0	4	4:11	-7	3
16	Gudja United	4	0	0	4	0:7	-7	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.67X23%3.93261%1.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.26 → 5.67 +7.8%X3.86 → 3.93 +1.8%21.52 → 1.49 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Betano	1.72	1.91	10.5%
Best of all books	1.74	2.20	2.9%
Average	1.71	2.00	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.81	9.9%
Best of all books	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Average	1.83	1.83	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gudja United 10%Draw 45%Fgura United 45%

The statistical model rates Gudja United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Fgura United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.67 | 3.93 | 1.49, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Gudja United are 16th (0 pts, 0-7 goals), Fgura United 4th (8 pts, 8-1).

Over their last five matches, Gudja United averaged 0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Fgura United averaged 2 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Fgura United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.67	3.93	1.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.34	1.09	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
3.83	1.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
5.61	2.24	2.03

2nd half

1	X	2
5.31	2.65	1.80

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	8.63	17.3	21.5
HT X	10.3	6.00	4.17
HT 2	45.5	16.0	2.39

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.20	12.5	1.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.20	3.70
2.5	1.71	2.00
3.5	2.83	1.33
4.5	5.40	1.10

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.20
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.32	2.88
2.25	1.53	2.26
2.75	1.92	1.73
3	2.24	1.52
3.25	2.53	1.42
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.63	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	3.05	1.29
+0.75	2.13	1.58
+1	1.85	1.83
+1.25	1.62	2.07
+1.5	1.48	2.33
+1.75	1.34	2.78

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.0	1.01
-0.25	5.28	1.09
0	4.65	1.12
+2	1.21	3.58
+2.5	1.14	4.43
+3	1.01	8.45

Next Challenge League matches

24 Oct	Sirens – Tarxien Rainbows
24 Oct	Santa Lucía – Naxxar Lions
25 Oct	Victoria Hotspurs – Swieqi United
25 Oct	Pietà Hotspurs – Vittoriosa Stars
25 Oct	Mgarr United – Zurrieq

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

23 Oct	Attard 0-1 St. Andrews
23 Oct	Zebbug Rangers 1-2 Melita
18 Oct	Swieqi United 3-2 Sirens
18 Oct	Tarxien Rainbows 2-1 Zebbug Rangers
18 Oct	Vittoriosa Stars 2-2 Attard
18 Oct	Naxxar Lions 1-0 Victoria Hotspurs