Nairobi United vs APS Bomet• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#111.0:1.01-1FT25/100.0:0.5#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00B365X3.25DAF24.70DAFMargin at best2.0%Books9Markets40Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L51.3

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 11:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.79	3.25	4.70	7.9%
Betfair	2.00	3.00	3.75	10.0%
1xBet	1.77	3.12	4.46	11.0%
Bet365	2.00	3.00	3.60	11.1%
Pinnacle	1.76	3.14	4.45	11.1%
Betano	1.83	3.10	4.10	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.75	3.12	4.33	12.3%
William Hill	1.83	2.90	4.20	12.9%
BetVictor	1.67	2.80	4.10	20.0%
Best of all books	2.00	3.25	4.70	2.0%
Average	1.82	3.05	4.19	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nairobi UnitedAPS Bomet

Last 10#11Table position#171.00Points per game0.507Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 50.5100Attack rating033Defence rating6767Form rating3350H2H rating500Goals model050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:40 UTC

Nairobi United

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	Shabana	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	KCB	2-2	D
31 May	A	GOR Mahia	1-0	W
24 May	H	Kenya Police	0-0	D
16 May	H	Posta Rangers FC	2-2	D
10 May	A	Kariobangi Sharks	0-2	L
6 May	H	Tusker	1-0	W
3 May	H	KCB	0-1	L
25 Apr	A	Mathare United	2-1	W
19 Apr	A	Murang'a SEAL	4-2	W

APS Bomet

7W 2D 1L · goals 13:3 · per match 1.3 for, 0.3 against

17 Oct	H	GOR Mahia	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Mathare United	0-0	D
31 May	A	Tusker	1-1	D
24 May	H	AFC Leopards	2-1	W
20 May	A	Bandari	2-0	W
10 May	A	Mathare United	2-0	W
6 May	H	KCB	1-0	W
26 Apr	H	Sofapaka	1-0	W
19 Apr	A	Posta Rangers FC	3-0	W
4 Apr	A	Ulinzi Stars	1-0	W

Head to head

1Nairobi United wins

2draws

1APS Bomet wins

4 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Nairobi United

29 Mar 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	APS Bomet0-0Nairobi United
4 Feb 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Nairobi United1-2APS Bomet
16 Mar 2025Super League	Super League	APS Bomet0-0Nairobi United
17 Nov 2024Super League	Super League	Nairobi United1-0APS Bomet

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 25 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Nairobi United sit 11th with 2 points from 2 games, while APS Bomet are 17th with 1 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	3	3	0	0	6:2	+4	9
2	3K	3	1	2	0	5:4	+1	5
3	Mara Sugar	3	1	2	0	4:3	+1	5
4	AFC Leopards	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
5	Homeboyz	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
6	Shabana	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
7	KCB	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
8	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
9	Murang'a SEAL	3	1	0	2	8:7	+1	3
10	Posta Rangers FC	3	1	0	2	2:6	-4	3
11	Nairobi United	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
12	Migori Youth	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
13	Bandari	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2
14	Mathare United	3	0	2	1	0:1	-1	2
15	Ulinzi Stars	3	0	2	1	1:3	-2	2
16	Kenya Police	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
17	APS Bomet	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
18	Mombasa Elite	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.82X29%3.05221%4.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.01 → 1.82 -9.5%X3.00 → 3.05 +1.7%23.65 → 4.19 +14.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Betfair	2.55	1.45	8.2%
Pinnacle	2.42	1.49	8.4%
1xBet	2.38	1.49	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.38	1.49	9.1%
Betano	2.37	1.47	10.2%
BetVictor	2.06	1.40	20.0%
Best of all books	2.55	1.50	5.9%
Average	2.38	1.47	10.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
William Hill	2.10	1.62	9.3%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.58	9.8%
BetVictor	1.95	1.45	20.2%
Best of all books	2.15	1.65	7.1%
Average	2.09	1.58	11.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nairobi United 45%Draw 45%APS Bomet 10%

The statistical model rated Nairobi United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and APS Bomet at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.05 | 4.19, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Nairobi United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Nairobi United are 11th (2 pts, 2-2 goals), APS Bomet 17th (1 pts, 0-1).

Over their last five matches, Nairobi United averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; APS Bomet averaged 0 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Nairobi United or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.82	3.05	4.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.79	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	2.70

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.09	1.58

1st half

1	X	2
2.52	1.91	4.86

2nd half

1	X	2
2.22	2.20	4.62

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.25	14.6	44.5
HT X	4.49	4.34	7.69
HT 2	28.3	15.4	6.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.70	6.35	2.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.13
1.5	1.44	2.40
2.5	2.38	1.47
3.5	4.50	1.12
4.5	8.58	1.02
5.5	26.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.35
1.25	1.27	3.20
1.75	1.55	2.11
2	1.77	1.82
2.25	2.04	1.60
2.75	2.85	1.34
3	3.76	1.19
3.25	4.15	1.16
4	8.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.92	1.32
-1	2.43	1.41
-0.75	1.95	1.65
-0.5	1.80	1.83
-0.25	1.49	2.25
0	1.26	3.11

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.40	1.03
-2	6.50	1.05
-1.5	3.29	1.25
+0.25	1.20	3.74
+0.75	1.07	5.80
+1	1.04	7.45
+1.5	1.02	9.65

Latest FKF Premier League results

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24 Oct	GOR Mahia 1-0 Bandari
24 Oct	Migori Youth 0-0 Mathare United
23 Oct	Posta Rangers FC 1-0 KCB