Migori Youth vs Mathare United• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#121.0:1.00-0FT24/100.0:0.5#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.54AVGX2.81AVG22.75AVGMargin11.3%Books1Markets7Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L51.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Sep 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	2.50	2.80	2.80	11.4%
Best of all books	2.50	2.80	2.80	11.4%
Average	2.50	2.80	2.80	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 44 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Migori YouthMathare United

Last 10#12Table position#161.00Points per game0.679Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 50.5100Attack rating050Defence rating5050Form rating5020H2H rating80100Goals model040Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 21:01 UTC

Migori Youth

5W 4D 1L · goals 9:5 · per match 0.9 for, 0.5 against

24 Oct	H	Mathare United	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Kenya Police	1-1	D
13 Jun	A	3K	1-1	D
7 Jun	H	Equity Bank	2-1	W
1 Jun	A	Kisumu All Stars	1-0	W
27 May	H	MCF	2-1	W
23 May	H	Kibera Black Stars	1-0	W
17 May	A	Fortune Sacco	0-1	L
10 May	H	MOFA	1-0	W
3 May	A	Mombasa Elite	0-0	D

Mathare United

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	A	KCB	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	APS Bomet	0-0	D
31 May	H	Bandari	1-0	W
23 May	A	Ulinzi Stars	1-2	L
16 May	A	Mara Sugar	1-0	W
10 May	H	APS Bomet	0-2	L
2 May	A	Sofapaka	2-2	D
25 Apr	H	Nairobi United	1-2	L
18 Apr	H	Bidco United	3-0	W
14 Apr	H	Kenya Police	0-0	D

Head to head

0Migori Youth wins

1draws

1Mathare United wins

2 meetings · goals 0:2 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Migori Youth

6 Apr 2024Super League	Super League	Mathare United2-0Migori Youth
17 Sep 2023Super League	Super League	Migori Youth0-0Mathare United

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Migori Youth sit 12th with 2 points from 2 games, while Mathare United are 16th with 2 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	3	3	0	0	6:2	+4	9
2	3K	3	1	2	0	5:4	+1	5
3	Mara Sugar	3	1	2	0	4:3	+1	5
4	AFC Leopards	3	1	2	0	2:1	+1	5
5	Shabana	3	1	2	0	1:0	+1	5
6	Homeboyz	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
7	KCB	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
8	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
9	Murang'a SEAL	3	1	0	2	8:7	+1	3
10	Nairobi United	3	0	3	0	3:3	0	3
11	Posta Rangers FC	3	1	0	2	2:6	-4	3
12	Migori Youth	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
13	Kenya Police	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2
14	Bandari	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2
15	APS Bomet	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2
16	Mathare United	3	0	2	1	0:1	-1	2
17	Ulinzi Stars	3	0	2	1	1:3	-2	2
18	Mombasa Elite	3	0	1	2	1:3	-2	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.54X32%2.81233%2.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Best of all books	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Average	2.75	1.40	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Migori Youth 35%Draw 35%Mathare United 30%

The statistical model rated Migori Youth at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Mathare United at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.54 | 2.81 | 2.75, which imply roughly 39.4% for a Migori Youth win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Migori Youth are 12th (2 pts, 1-1 goals), Mathare United 16th (2 pts, 0-1).

Over their last five matches, Migori Youth averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Mathare United averaged 0 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Migori Youth or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.50	2.80	2.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.44	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.80	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
3.40	1.83	3.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.10	5.50	2.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	2.75	1.40

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	1.80	2.00

Next FKF Premier League matches

28 Oct	Bandari – Posta Rangers FC
28 Oct	Homeboyz – GOR Mahia
28 Oct	KCB – Mombasa Elite
28 Oct	Murang'a SEAL – Nairobi United
28 Oct	APS Bomet – 3K
28 Oct	Mara Sugar – AFC Leopards

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

25 Oct	AFC Leopards 0-0 Shabana
25 Oct	Nairobi United 1-1 APS Bomet
25 Oct	Mombasa Elite 0-0 Police
25 Oct	3K 2-1 Murang'a SEAL
24 Oct	GOR Mahia 1-0 Bandari
23 Oct	Posta Rangers FC 1-0 KCB