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AFC Leopards vs Shabana• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#41.0:0.50-0FT25/100.5:0.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25DAFX3.00BFR23.75B365Margin at best4.4%Books9Markets38Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L51.0

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 11:08 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.252.753.658.2%
Betfair2.003.003.7510.0%
1xBet2.182.663.6610.8%
Bet3652.052.803.7511.2%
Betano2.152.673.6511.4%
Marathonbet2.162.663.5412.1%
Pinnacle2.102.673.6412.5%
William Hill2.152.623.5013.3%
BetVictor2.052.633.0020.1%
Best of all books2.253.003.754.4%
Average2.122.723.5711.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC LeopardsShabana
Last 10#4Table position#51.67Points per game1.675Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 50.50.5Goals against · last 50.067Attack rating330Defence rating10050Form rating5050H2H rating500Goals model056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC

AFC Leopards

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

25 OctHShabana0-0D
20 OctAKenya Police2-1W
14 OctHBandari0-0D
31 MayHBidco United1-2L
24 MayAAPS Bomet1-2L
16 MayAHomeboyz2-1W
13 MayAUlinzi Stars2-0W
9 MayHMara Sugar2-1W
26 AprHGOR Mahia0-1L
18 AprHKenya Police0-3L

Shabana

2W 5D 3L · goals 4:5 · per match 0.4 for, 0.5 against

25 OctAAFC Leopards0-0D
18 OctHNairobi United0-0D
10 OctAPosta Rangers FC1-0W
31 MayHKCB1-2L
24 MayASofapaka1-1D
17 MayABidco United1-0W
13 MayAMara Sugar0-1L
9 MayHUlinzi Stars0-0D
2 MayHPolice0-1L
25 AprHKenya Police0-0D

Head to head

3AFC Leopards wins
2draws
2Shabana wins

7 meetings · goals 14:10 · last 7: 3W 2D 2L for AFC Leopards

1 Mar 2026FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueAFC Leopards5-1Shabana
29 Oct 2025FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueShabana1-2AFC Leopards
16 Mar 2025FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueAFC Leopards1-1Shabana
27 Nov 2024FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueShabana2-1AFC Leopards
15 Jun 2024FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueShabana4-3AFC Leopards
31 Mar 2024Shield CupShield CupShabana0-1AFC Leopards
1 Oct 2023FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueAFC Leopards1-1Shabana

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, AFC Leopards sit 4th with 5 points from 3 games, while Shabana are 5th with 5 points from 3.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1GOR Mahia33006:2+49
23K31205:4+15
3Mara Sugar31204:3+15
4AFC Leopards31202:1+15
5Shabana31201:0+15
6Homeboyz21102:1+14
7KCB31113:304
8Tusker11002:0+23
9Murang'a SEAL31028:7+13
10Nairobi United30303:303
11Posta Rangers FC31022:6-43
12Migori Youth20201:102
13Kenya Police30212:3-12
14Bandari30211:2-12
15APS Bomet30211:2-12
16Mathare United30210:1-12
17Ulinzi Stars30211:3-22
18Mombasa Elite30121:3-21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.12X33%2.72225%3.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.621.447.6%
Pinnacle2.671.389.9%
1xBet2.591.3910.6%
Marathonbet2.591.3910.6%
BetVictor2.181.3519.9%
Best of all books2.671.446.9%
Average2.531.3911.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill2.201.579.1%
1xBet2.161.599.2%
Marathonbet2.161.5710.0%
BetVictor1.931.4719.8%
Best of all books2.201.598.3%
Average2.111.5511.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Leopards 35%Draw 35%Shabana 30%

The statistical model rated AFC Leopards at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Shabana at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 2.72 | 3.57, which imply roughly 47.2% for a AFC Leopards win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: AFC Leopards are 4th (5 pts, 2-1 goals), Shabana 5th (5 pts, 1-0).

Over their last five matches, AFC Leopards averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Shabana averaged 0.5 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : AFC Leopards or draw and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.122.723.57

Double chance

1XX212
1.241.561.33

Draw no bet

12
1.502.21

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.111.55

1st half

1X2
2.891.824.34

2nd half

1X2
2.582.063.99

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.4313.844.0
HT X4.774.037.57
HT 230.715.86.37

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.835.602.59

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.084.80
1.51.522.21
2.52.531.39
3.54.531.10
4.58.901.02
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.124.70
11.164.17
1.251.342.68
1.751.661.93
21.931.66
2.252.231.49
2.753.141.27
34.201.15

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.481.39
-0.52.021.57
-0.251.821.80
01.512.28
+0.251.312.80
+0.51.272.93
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.101.01
-28.701.01
-1.54.401.14
-1.253.951.17
-13.451.23
+0.751.174.14
+11.037.20
+1.51.028.10

Next FKF Premier League matches

28 OctHomeboyz – GOR Mahia
28 OctAPS Bomet – 3K
28 OctBandari – Posta Rangers FC
28 OctKCB – Mombasa Elite
28 OctMurang'a SEAL – Nairobi United
28 OctMara Sugar – AFC Leopards

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

25 OctNairobi United 1-1 APS Bomet
25 OctMombasa Elite 0-0 Police
25 Oct3K 2-1 Murang'a SEAL
24 OctGOR Mahia 1-0 Bandari
24 OctMigori Youth 0-0 Mathare United
23 OctPosta Rangers FC 1-0 KCB