AFC Leopards vs
Shabana• FKF Premier League, Kenya
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 11:08 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 2.75 | 3.65 | 8.2% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.75 | 10.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 2.66 | 3.66 | 10.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 2.80 | 3.75 | 11.2% |
| Betano | 2.15 | 2.67 | 3.65 | 11.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 2.66 | 3.54 | 12.1% |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 2.67 | 3.64 | 12.5% |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.62 | 3.50 | 13.3% |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 2.63 | 3.00 | 20.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.75 | 4.4% |
| Average | 2.12 | 2.72 | 3.57 | 11.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC
AFC Leopards
4W 2D 4L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against
| 25 Oct | H | Shabana | 0-0 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Kenya Police | 2-1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Bandari | 0-0 | D |
| 31 May | H | Bidco United | 1-2 | L |
| 24 May | A | APS Bomet | 1-2 | L |
| 16 May | A | Homeboyz | 2-1 | W |
| 13 May | A | Ulinzi Stars | 2-0 | W |
| 9 May | H | Mara Sugar | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | GOR Mahia | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | Kenya Police | 0-3 | L |
Shabana
2W 5D 3L · goals 4:5 · per match 0.4 for, 0.5 against
| 25 Oct | A | AFC Leopards | 0-0 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Nairobi United | 0-0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Posta Rangers FC | 1-0 | W |
| 31 May | H | KCB | 1-2 | L |
| 24 May | A | Sofapaka | 1-1 | D |
| 17 May | A | Bidco United | 1-0 | W |
| 13 May | A | Mara Sugar | 0-1 | L |
| 9 May | H | Ulinzi Stars | 0-0 | D |
| 2 May | H | Police | 0-1 | L |
| 25 Apr | H | Kenya Police | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 14:10 · last 7: 3W 2D 2L for AFC Leopards
| 1 Mar 2026FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | AFC Leopards5-1Shabana |
| 29 Oct 2025FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | Shabana1-2AFC Leopards |
| 16 Mar 2025FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | AFC Leopards1-1Shabana |
| 27 Nov 2024FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | Shabana2-1AFC Leopards |
| 15 Jun 2024FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | Shabana4-3AFC Leopards |
| 31 Mar 2024Shield Cup | Shield Cup | Shabana0-1AFC Leopards |
| 1 Oct 2023FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | AFC Leopards1-1Shabana |
FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC
In the FKF Premier League table, AFC Leopards sit 4th with 5 points from 3 games, while Shabana are 5th with 5 points from 3.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 | 3K | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 | Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 | AFC Leopards | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 | Shabana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 | Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | KCB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Murang'a SEAL | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Posta Rangers FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Kenya Police | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | APS Bomet | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa Elite | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Pinnacle | 2.67 | 1.38 | 9.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.59 | 1.39 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 2.59 | 1.39 | 10.6% |
| BetVictor | 2.18 | 1.35 | 19.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.67 | 1.44 | 6.9% |
| Average | 2.53 | 1.39 | 11.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.20 | 1.57 | 9.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.16 | 1.59 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 1.57 | 10.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 1.47 | 19.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.20 | 1.59 | 8.3% |
| Average | 2.11 | 1.55 | 11.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated AFC Leopards at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Shabana at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 2.72 | 3.57, which imply roughly 47.2% for a AFC Leopards win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the FKF Premier League table: AFC Leopards are 4th (5 pts, 2-1 goals), Shabana 5th (5 pts, 1-0).
Over their last five matches, AFC Leopards averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Shabana averaged 0.5 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : AFC Leopards or draw and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.12 | 2.72 | 3.57 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | 1.56 | 1.33 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.50 | 2.21 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.11 | 1.55 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.89 | 1.82 | 4.34 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.58 | 2.06 | 3.99 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.43 | 13.8 | 44.0 |
| HT X | 4.77 | 4.03 | 7.57 |
| HT 2 | 30.7 | 15.8 | 6.37 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 5.60 | 2.59 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.08 | 4.80 |
| 1.5 | 1.52 | 2.21 |
| 2.5 | 2.53 | 1.39 |
| 3.5 | 4.53 | 1.10 |
| 4.5 | 8.90 | 1.02 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| 1 | 1.16 | 4.17 |
| 1.25 | 1.34 | 2.68 |
| 1.75 | 1.66 | 1.93 |
| 2 | 1.93 | 1.66 |
| 2.25 | 2.23 | 1.49 |
| 2.75 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 3 | 4.20 | 1.15 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.48 | 1.39 |
| -0.5 | 2.02 | 1.57 |
| -0.25 | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| 0 | 1.51 | 2.28 |
| +0.25 | 1.31 | 2.80 |
| +0.5 | 1.27 | 2.93 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.10 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 4.40 | 1.14 |
| -1.25 | 3.95 | 1.17 |
| -1 | 3.45 | 1.23 |
| +0.75 | 1.17 | 4.14 |
| +1 | 1.03 | 7.20 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 8.10 |
Next FKF Premier League matches
| 28 Oct | Homeboyz – GOR Mahia |
| 28 Oct | APS Bomet – 3K |
| 28 Oct | Bandari – Posta Rangers FC |
| 28 Oct | KCB – Mombasa Elite |
| 28 Oct | Murang'a SEAL – Nairobi United |
| 28 Oct | Mara Sugar – AFC Leopards |
Latest FKF Premier League results
| 25 Oct | Nairobi United 1-1 APS Bomet |
| 25 Oct | Mombasa Elite 0-0 Police |
| 25 Oct | 3K 2-1 Murang'a SEAL |
| 24 Oct | GOR Mahia 1-0 Bandari |
| 24 Oct | Migori Youth 0-0 Mathare United |
| 23 Oct | Posta Rangers FC 1-0 KCB |