Mombasa Elite vs Police• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#180.5:1.50-0FT25/101.0:1.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.48AVGX2.98AVG22.06AVGMargin10.8%Books1Markets7Rating42 · 59Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Sep 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	3.60	3.00	2.00	11.1%
Best of all books	3.60	3.00	2.00	11.1%
Average	3.60	3.00	2.00	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 45 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mombasa ElitePolice

Last 107Form pts · last 570.5Goals for · last 51.01.5Goals against · last 51.533Attack rating6750Defence rating500Form rating1000H2H rating00Goals model10042Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC

Mombasa Elite

4W 3D 3L · goals 8:6 · per match 0.8 for, 0.6 against

25 Oct	H	Kenya Police	0-0	D
19 Oct	A	Mara Sugar	1-2	L
14 Oct	H	Homeboyz	0-1	L
6 Oct	A	Kariobangi Sharks	2-0	W
1 Oct	H	Kariobangi Sharks	2-1	W
13 Jun	A	Naivas	1-1	D
7 Jun	H	Nzoia Sugar	1-0	W
1 Jun	A	Luanda Villa	0-1	L
27 May	H	3K	0-0	D
24 May	A	Mwatate United	1-0	W

Police

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

14 Jun	A	Tusker	1-2	L
16 May	H	Bandari	0-0	D
2 May	A	Shabana	1-0	W
10 Apr	H	BB Bread	1-0	W
24 Oct	A	Al Hilal Omdurman	1-3	L
17 Oct	H	Al Hilal Omdurman	0-1	L
28 Sep	H	Mogadishu City	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Mogadishu City	3-1	W
8 Sep	A	Ethiopia Bunna	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Singida Black Stars	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Mombasa Elite and Police on record.

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	3	3	0	0	6:2	+4	9
2	3K	3	1	2	0	5:4	+1	5
3	Mara Sugar	3	1	2	0	4:3	+1	5
4	AFC Leopards	3	1	2	0	2:1	+1	5
5	Shabana	3	1	2	0	1:0	+1	5
6	Homeboyz	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
7	KCB	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
8	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
9	Murang'a SEAL	3	1	0	2	8:7	+1	3
10	Nairobi United	3	0	3	0	3:3	0	3
11	Posta Rangers FC	3	1	0	2	2:6	-4	3
12	Migori Youth	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
13	Kenya Police	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2
14	Bandari	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2
15	APS Bomet	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2
16	Mathare United	3	0	2	1	0:1	-1	2
17	Ulinzi Stars	3	0	2	1	1:3	-2	2
18	Mombasa Elite	3	0	1	2	1:3	-2	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.48X30%2.98244%2.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.62	1.44	7.6%
Best of all books	2.62	1.44	7.6%
Average	2.62	1.44	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mombasa Elite 10%Draw 45%Police 45%

The statistical model rated Mombasa Elite at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Police at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.48 | 2.98 | 2.06, which imply roughly 33.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Mombasa Elite averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Police averaged 1 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kenya Police and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.60	3.00	2.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.67	1.22	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
2.50	1.50

1st half

1	X	2
4.33	1.91	2.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	2.62	1.44

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	1.98	1.82

Next FKF Premier League matches

28 Oct	Homeboyz – GOR Mahia
28 Oct	APS Bomet – 3K
28 Oct	Bandari – Posta Rangers FC
28 Oct	KCB – Mombasa Elite
28 Oct	Murang'a SEAL – Nairobi United
28 Oct	Mara Sugar – AFC Leopards

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

25 Oct	AFC Leopards 0-0 Shabana
25 Oct	Nairobi United 1-1 APS Bomet
25 Oct	3K 2-1 Murang'a SEAL
24 Oct	GOR Mahia 1-0 Bandari
24 Oct	Migori Youth 0-0 Mathare United
23 Oct	Posta Rangers FC 1-0 KCB