Pro Patria vs Correggese• Serie D - Girone D, Italy

#21.2:0.413:30Tomorrow · Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio0.8:1.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57B365X3.80DAF26.00DAFMargin at best6.7%Books6Markets44Rating68 · 33Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.49	3.80	6.00	10.1%
1xBet	1.54	3.70	5.28	10.9%
Betano	1.52	3.65	5.60	11.0%
Bet365	1.57	3.60	5.00	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.52	3.70	5.15	12.2%
BetVictor	1.45	3.40	4.60	20.1%
Best of all books	1.57	3.80	6.00	6.7%
Average	1.51	3.64	5.27	12.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pro PatriaCorreggese

Last 10#2Table position#112.38Points per game1.2510Form pts · last 561.2Goals for · last 50.80.4Goals against · last 51.460Attack rating4078Defence rating2263Form rating380H2H rating070Goals model3068Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 06:02 UTC

Pro Patria

8W 1D 1L · goals 21:8 · per match 2.1 for, 0.8 against

18 Oct	A	USD Casatese	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Sant'Angelo	1-0	W
7 Oct	A	Città di Varese	5-2	W
4 Oct	A	Varesina	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Solbiatese	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Arconatese	3-0	W
16 Sep	H	Crema	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Pontedera	3-2	W
6 Sep	H	Oltrepò	2-1	W
12 Aug	H	Gozzano	3-1	W

Correggese

4W 3D 3L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	H	Castellanzese	0-2	L
11 Oct	A	Pistoiese	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Pavia	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Cittadella Vis Modena	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	USD Casatese	1-3	L
16 Sep	H	Varesina	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Arconatese	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Sant'Angelo	1-1	D
3 May	H	Pro Sesto	1-0	W
26 Apr	A	Crema	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Pro Patria and Correggese on record.

Serie D - Girone D tableSerie D: Group Dupdated 24 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone D table, Pro Patria sit 2nd with 19 points from 8 games, while Correggese are 11th with 10 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	8	8	0	0	19:1	+18	24
2	Pro Patria	8	6	1	1	13:5	+8	19
3	Castellanzese	8	6	0	2	16:5	+11	18
4	Lentigione	8	5	2	1	13:8	+5	17
5	Pro Sesto	8	4	3	1	18:6	+12	15
6	USD Casatese	8	4	1	3	12:11	+1	13
7	Città di Varese	8	3	3	2	14:8	+6	12
8	Cittadella Vis Modena	8	3	2	3	7:5	+2	11
9	Sant'Angelo	8	3	2	3	9:8	+1	11
10	Solbiatese	8	2	4	2	7:10	-3	10
11	Correggese	8	3	1	4	7:12	-5	10
12	Pavia	8	1	5	2	7:6	+1	8
13	Crema	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8
14	Varesina	8	1	4	3	9:12	-3	7
15	Coriano	8	1	2	5	5:10	-5	5
16	Oltrepò	8	1	1	6	4:16	-12	4
17	Arconatese	8	0	3	5	5:19	-14	3
18	Pontedera	8	1	0	7	6:22	-16	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.52X24%3.64217%5.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.49 → 1.52 +2.0%X3.73 → 3.64 -2.4%26.22 → 5.27 -15.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Betano	1.82	1.82	9.9%
BetVictor	1.63	1.70	20.2%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.78	1.85	10.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.82	9.9%
BetVictor	1.67	1.67	19.8%
Best of all books	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Average	1.77	1.78	12.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pro Patria 50%Draw 50%Correggese 0%

The statistical model rates Pro Patria at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Correggese at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 3.64 | 5.27, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Pro Patria win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone D table: Pro Patria are 2nd (19 pts, 13-5 goals), Correggese 11th (10 pts, 7-12).

Over their last five matches, Pro Patria averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Correggese averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Pro Patria or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.52	3.64	5.27

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.17	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	3.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
2.08	2.15	5.28

2nd half

1	X	2
1.86	2.59	5.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.35	16.8	50.3
HT X	4.23	5.63	11.4
HT 2	22.0	17.8	9.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	9.25	2.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	4.60
1.5	1.21	3.21
2.5	1.78	1.85
3.5	2.75	1.30
4.5	4.85	1.08

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.90
1.75	1.28	3.05
2	1.35	2.54
2.25	1.55	2.06
2.75	1.92	1.64
3	2.23	1.46
3.25	2.63	1.38
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.70	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.39	1.39
-1.25	2.13	1.50
-1	1.89	1.73
-0.75	1.63	1.91
-0.5	1.41	2.03
-0.25	1.36	2.70

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.50	1.01
-2.5	4.70	1.12
-2	3.98	1.17
-1.75	2.97	1.30
0	1.18	3.88
+0.25	1.14	4.40

Next Serie D - Girone D matches

25 Oct	Lentigione – Crema
25 Oct	Pro Sesto – Sant'Angelo
25 Oct	Coriano – Arconatese
25 Oct	Castellanzese – Varesina
25 Oct	Cittadella Vis Modena – Pistoiese
25 Oct	Pavia – USD Casatese

All Serie D - Girone D fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone D results

14 Oct	Coriano 1-2 Pontedera
4 Oct	Correggese 2-1 Pavia
4 Oct	Varesina 0-0 Pro Patria
4 Oct	Sant'Angelo 1-2 Castellanzese
4 Oct	Oltrepò 1-2 Lentigione
4 Oct	Arconatese 1-1 Pro Sesto