Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese• Serie D - Girone D, Italy

#80.8:0.413:30Tomorrow1.8:0.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.061XBX3.55DAF21.65BTNMargin at best5.3%Books6Markets41Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.00	3.55	1.62	9.9%
Betano	4.80	3.40	1.65	10.9%
1xBet	6.06	3.44	1.53	10.9%
Bet365	5.50	3.50	1.55	11.3%
Marathonbet	5.85	3.46	1.51	12.2%
BetVictor	5.00	3.20	1.45	20.2%
Best of all books	6.06	3.55	1.65	5.3%
Average	5.37	3.42	1.55	12.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cittadella Vis ModenaPistoiese

Last 10#8Table position#11.38Points per game3.004Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 51.80.4Goals against · last 50.031Attack rating690Defence rating10032Form rating6836H2H rating646Goals model9425Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 06:02 UTC

Cittadella Vis Modena

3W 2D 5L · goals 8:8 · per match 0.8 for, 0.8 against

18 Oct	A	Oltrepò	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	USD Casatese	0-1	L
7 Oct	A	Sasso Marconi Zola	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	Pontedera	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Correggese	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Lentigione	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Città di Varese	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Coriano	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Varesina	2-3	L
1 Aug	A	Livorno	1-2	L

Pistoiese

8W 1D 1L · goals 19:2 · per match 1.9 for, 0.2 against

18 Oct	H	Pavia	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Correggese	1-0	W
7 Oct	A	Sestri Levante	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	USD Casatese	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Sant'Angelo	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Varesina	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Arconatese	5-0	W
13 Sep	A	Crema	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	Solbiatese	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Seravezza	0-0	D

Head to head

1Cittadella Vis Modena wins

1draws

2Pistoiese wins

4 meetings · goals 2:8 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Cittadella Vis Modena

3 May 2026Serie D - Girone D	Serie D - Girone D	Pistoiese5-0Cittadella Vis Modena
21 Dec 2025Serie D - Girone D	Serie D - Girone D	Cittadella Vis Modena0-0Pistoiese
12 Jan 2025Serie D - Girone D	Serie D - Girone D	Cittadella Vis Modena0-2Pistoiese
15 Sep 2024Serie D - Girone D	Serie D - Girone D	Pistoiese1-2Cittadella Vis Modena

Serie D - Girone D tableSerie D: Group Dupdated 24 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone D table, Cittadella Vis Modena sit 8th with 11 points from 8 games, while Pistoiese are 1st with 24 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	8	8	0	0	19:1	+18	24
2	Pro Patria	8	6	1	1	13:5	+8	19
3	Castellanzese	8	6	0	2	16:5	+11	18
4	Lentigione	8	5	2	1	13:8	+5	17
5	Pro Sesto	8	4	3	1	18:6	+12	15
6	USD Casatese	8	4	1	3	12:11	+1	13
7	Città di Varese	8	3	3	2	14:8	+6	12
8	Cittadella Vis Modena	8	3	2	3	7:5	+2	11
9	Sant'Angelo	8	3	2	3	9:8	+1	11
10	Solbiatese	8	2	4	2	7:10	-3	10
11	Correggese	8	3	1	4	7:12	-5	10
12	Pavia	8	1	5	2	7:6	+1	8
13	Crema	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8
14	Varesina	8	1	4	3	9:12	-3	7
15	Coriano	8	1	2	5	5:10	-5	5
16	Oltrepò	8	1	1	6	4:16	-12	4
17	Arconatese	8	0	3	5	5:19	-14	3
18	Pontedera	8	1	0	7	6:22	-16	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.37X26%3.43257%1.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.91 → 5.37 +9.4%X3.48 → 3.43 -1.4%21.63 → 1.55 -4.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Betano	2.02	1.65	10.1%
BetVictor	1.89	1.49	20.0%
Best of all books	2.25	1.65	5.1%
Average	2.08	1.60	10.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.11	1.60	9.9%
BetVictor	1.93	1.47	19.8%
Best of all books	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Average	2.06	1.56	12.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cittadella Vis Modena 0%Draw 50%Pistoiese 50%

The statistical model rates Cittadella Vis Modena at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Pistoiese at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.37 | 3.43 | 1.55, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone D table: Cittadella Vis Modena are 8th (11 pts, 7-5 goals), Pistoiese 1st (24 pts, 19-1).

Over their last five matches, Cittadella Vis Modena averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Pistoiese averaged 1.8 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pistoiese and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.37	3.43	1.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.15	1.10	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
3.63	1.19

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.06	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
5.95	1.99	2.17

2nd half

1	X	2
5.44	2.41	1.92

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	9.50	19.2	25.3
HT X	11.1	4.80	4.08
HT 2	57.0	18.7	2.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.32	7.50	1.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	4.33
1.5	1.32	2.64
2.5	2.08	1.60
3.5	3.63	1.17
4.5	5.68	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.48
1.25	1.19	3.76
1.75	1.42	2.33
2	1.56	2.03
2.25	1.80	1.74
2.75	2.34	1.42
3	3.11	1.27
3.25	3.50	1.22
4	7.20	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.82	1.33
+0.5	2.05	1.51
+0.75	1.91	1.64
+1	1.68	1.95
+1.25	1.46	2.22
+1.5	1.35	2.52

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	5.05	1.10
0	4.40	1.14
+1.75	1.25	3.28
+2	1.13	4.63
+2.5	1.08	5.50

Next Serie D - Girone D matches

25 Oct	Pro Sesto – Sant'Angelo
25 Oct	Coriano – Arconatese
25 Oct	Castellanzese – Varesina
25 Oct	Lentigione – Crema
25 Oct	Pavia – USD Casatese
25 Oct	Pro Patria – Correggese

All Serie D - Girone D fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone D results

14 Oct	Coriano 1-2 Pontedera
4 Oct	Correggese 2-1 Pavia
4 Oct	Varesina 0-0 Pro Patria
4 Oct	Sant'Angelo 1-2 Castellanzese
4 Oct	Oltrepò 1-2 Lentigione
4 Oct	Arconatese 1-1 Pro Sesto