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Sant'Angelo vs Castellanzese• Serie D - Girone D, Italy

#90.8:1.21-2FT04/102.2:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.271XBX3.641XB22.991XBMargin at best5.0%Books2Markets15Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.323.632.934.8%
Betano2.273.152.8710.6%
Best of all books2.323.632.934.8%
Average2.293.392.907.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sant'AngeloCastellanzese
Last 10#9Table position#31.38Points per game2.256Form pts · last 5150.8Goals for · last 52.21.2Goals against · last 50.827Attack rating7340Defence rating6040Form rating6050H2H rating5031Goals model6940Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 06:02 UTC

Sant'Angelo

3W 4D 3L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

18 OctHCoriano2-0W
11 OctAPro Patria0-1L
7 OctAPavia3-1W
4 OctHCastellanzese1-2L
27 SepAPistoiese0-3L
20 SepHPavia0-0D
16 SepAUSD Casatese2-1W
13 SepHVaresina1-1D
6 SepACorreggese1-1D
3 MayALentigione2-2D

Castellanzese

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

18 OctACorreggese2-0W
11 OctHArconatese1-0W
4 OctASant'Angelo2-1W
27 SepHCrema4-0W
20 SepASolbiatese4-1W
16 SepHOltrepò0-1L
12 SepALentigione0-1L
6 SepHPontedera3-1W
10 MayHVaresina1-2L
3 MayAVirtus Ciserano Bergamo1-1D

Head to head

1Sant'Angelo wins
0draws
1Castellanzese wins

2 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Sant'Angelo

17 Apr 2025Serie D - Girone BSerie D - Girone BSant'Angelo0-2Castellanzese
8 Dec 2024Serie D - Girone BSerie D - Girone BCastellanzese1-3Sant'Angelo

Serie D - Girone D tableSerie D: Group Dupdated 24 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone D table, Sant'Angelo sit 9th with 11 points from 8 games, while Castellanzese are 3rd with 18 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pistoiese880019:1+1824
2Pro Patria861113:5+819
3Castellanzese860216:5+1118
4Lentigione852113:8+517
5Pro Sesto843118:6+1215
6USD Casatese841312:11+113
7Città di Varese833214:8+612
8Cittadella Vis Modena83237:5+211
9Sant'Angelo83239:8+111
10Solbiatese82427:10-310
11Correggese83147:12-510
12Pavia81527:6+18
13Crema82248:15-78
14Varesina81439:12-37
15Coriano81255:10-55
16Oltrepò81164:16-124
17Arconatese80355:19-143
18Pontedera81076:22-163

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.24X28%3.31232%2.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 01:114 Oct 08:311 2.25X 3.332 2.89
12.30 → 2.25 -2.2%X3.39 → 3.33 -1.8%22.90 → 2.89 -0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.951.855.3%
Betano1.911.7011.2%
Best of all books1.951.855.3%
Average1.931.778.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.812.005.2%
Best of all books1.812.005.2%
Average1.812.005.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sant'Angelo 10%Draw 45%Castellanzese 45%

The statistical model rated Sant'Angelo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Castellanzese at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.24 | 3.31 | 2.90, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone D table: Sant'Angelo are 9th (11 pts, 9-8 goals), Castellanzese 3rd (18 pts, 16-5).

Over their last five matches, Sant'Angelo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Castellanzese averaged 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Castellanzese.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.303.392.90

Double chance

1XX212
1.341.521.30

Draw no bet

12
1.622.02

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.812.00

1st half

1X2
2.872.003.50

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.303.26
2.251.721.93
2.51.931.78
3.53.241.31
4.56.521.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.54.101.18
-0.251.901.72
01.622.11

Next Serie D - Girone D matches

25 OctPro Sesto – Sant'Angelo
25 OctCoriano – Arconatese
25 OctCastellanzese – Varesina
25 OctCittadella Vis Modena – Pistoiese
25 OctLentigione – Crema
25 OctPavia – USD Casatese

All Serie D - Girone D fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone D results

14 OctCoriano 1-2 Pontedera
4 OctCorreggese 2-1 Pavia
4 OctVaresina 0-0 Pro Patria
4 OctOltrepò 1-2 Lentigione
4 OctArconatese 1-1 Pro Sesto
4 OctUSD Casatese 0-3 Pistoiese