Castellanzese vs Varesina• Serie D - Girone D, Italy

#32.6:0.413:30Tomorrow0.8:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.581XBX3.80B36525.60DAFMargin at best7.5%Books5Markets40Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.53	3.75	5.60	9.9%
1xBet	1.58	3.78	4.76	10.8%
Betano	1.55	3.60	5.30	11.2%
Bet365	1.53	3.80	5.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.57	3.80	4.50	12.2%
Best of all books	1.58	3.80	5.60	7.5%
Average	1.55	3.75	5.03	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CastellanzeseVaresina

Last 10#3Table position#142.25Points per game0.8815Form pts · last 532.6Goals for · last 50.80.4Goals against · last 51.476Attack rating2478Defence rating2283Form rating1750H2H rating5085Goals model1570Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 06:02 UTC

Castellanzese

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

18 Oct	A	Correggese	2-0	W
11 Oct	H	Arconatese	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Sant'Angelo	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Crema	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	Solbiatese	4-1	W
16 Sep	H	Oltrepò	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Lentigione	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Pontedera	3-1	W
10 May	H	Varesina	1-2	L
3 May	A	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	1-1	D

Varesina

2W 5D 3L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

18 Oct	H	Pro Sesto	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Pavia	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Pro Patria	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	USD Casatese	2-4	L
20 Sep	H	Pistoiese	0-1	L
16 Sep	A	Correggese	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Sant'Angelo	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Cittadella Vis Modena	3-2	W
10 May	A	Castellanzese	2-1	W
3 May	A	Caldiero Terme	2-2	D

Head to head

1Castellanzese wins

3draws

4Varesina wins

8 meetings · goals 7:13 · last 8: 1W 3D 4L for Castellanzese

10 May 2026Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Castellanzese1-2Varesina
18 Mar 2026Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Varesina2-2Castellanzese
2 Nov 2025Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Castellanzese2-1Varesina
6 Apr 2025Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Varesina1-1Castellanzese
24 Nov 2024Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Castellanzese0-0Varesina
13 Jan 2024Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Varesina2-0Castellanzese
18 Oct 2023Coppa Italia Serie D	Coppa Italia Serie D	Castellanzese0-2Varesina
17 Sep 2023Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Castellanzese1-3Varesina

Serie D - Girone D tableSerie D: Group Dupdated 24 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone D table, Castellanzese sit 3rd with 18 points from 8 games, while Varesina are 14th with 7 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	8	8	0	0	19:1	+18	24
2	Pro Patria	8	6	1	1	13:5	+8	19
3	Castellanzese	8	6	0	2	16:5	+11	18
4	Lentigione	8	5	2	1	13:8	+5	17
5	Pro Sesto	8	4	3	1	18:6	+12	15
6	USD Casatese	8	4	1	3	12:11	+1	13
7	Città di Varese	8	3	3	2	14:8	+6	12
8	Cittadella Vis Modena	8	3	2	3	7:5	+2	11
9	Sant'Angelo	8	3	2	3	9:8	+1	11
10	Solbiatese	8	2	4	2	7:10	-3	10
11	Correggese	8	3	1	4	7:12	-5	10
12	Pavia	8	1	5	2	7:6	+1	8
13	Crema	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8
14	Varesina	8	1	4	3	9:12	-3	7
15	Coriano	8	1	2	5	5:10	-5	5
16	Oltrepò	8	1	1	6	4:16	-12	4
17	Arconatese	8	0	3	5	5:19	-14	3
18	Pontedera	8	1	0	7	6:22	-16	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.55X24%3.75218%5.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.54 → 1.55 +0.6%X3.68 → 3.75 +1.9%25.44 → 5.03 -7.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Betano	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.82	2.05	3.7%
Average	1.75	1.96	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Average	1.72	1.94	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Castellanzese 45%Draw 45%Varesina 10%

The statistical model rates Castellanzese at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Varesina at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 3.75 | 5.03, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Castellanzese win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone D table: Castellanzese are 3rd (18 pts, 16-5 goals), Varesina 14th (7 pts, 9-12).

Over their last five matches, Castellanzese averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Varesina averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Castellanzese.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.55	3.75	5.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.14	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.24	3.63

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
2.12	2.23	5.00

2nd half

1	X	2
1.91	2.61	4.71

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.46	16.3	42.7
HT X	4.45	5.87	10.4
HT 2	21.0	16.8	8.13

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	12.8	2.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.20	3.70
2.5	1.75	1.96
3.5	2.72	1.36
4.5	5.10	1.12

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.31	2.92
2.25	1.51	2.30
2.75	1.87	1.77
3	2.17	1.55
3.25	2.45	1.44
3.75	3.24	1.25
4	4.28	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	3.11	1.27
-1.5	2.59	1.39
-1.25	2.29	1.50
-1	1.98	1.68
-0.75	1.75	1.93
-0.25	1.40	2.58

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.95	1.01
-2.5	4.93	1.11
-2	4.22	1.15
0	1.23	3.46
+0.25	1.17	3.93
+1	1.01	8.95
+1.5	1.02	8.90

Next Serie D - Girone D matches

25 Oct	Pro Sesto – Sant'Angelo
25 Oct	Coriano – Arconatese
25 Oct	Cittadella Vis Modena – Pistoiese
25 Oct	Lentigione – Crema
25 Oct	Pavia – USD Casatese
25 Oct	Pro Patria – Correggese

All Serie D - Girone D fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone D results

14 Oct	Coriano 1-2 Pontedera
4 Oct	Correggese 2-1 Pavia
4 Oct	Varesina 0-0 Pro Patria
4 Oct	Sant'Angelo 1-2 Castellanzese
4 Oct	Oltrepò 1-2 Lentigione
4 Oct	Arconatese 1-1 Pro Sesto