Arconatese vs Pro Sesto• Serie D - Girone D, Italy

#170.6:2.41-1FT04/103.2:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.101XBX4.241XB21.621XBMargin at best4.9%Books2Markets15Rating26 · 74Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	5.20	4.26	1.60	5.2%
Betano	4.85	3.55	1.60	11.3%
Best of all books	5.20	4.26	1.60	5.2%
Average	5.03	3.90	1.60	8.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArconatesePro Sesto

Last 10#17Table position#50.38Points per game1.882Form pts · last 590.6Goals for · last 53.22.4Goals against · last 50.816Attack rating8425Defence rating7514Form rating8636H2H rating640Goals model10026Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 06:02 UTC

Arconatese

1W 3D 6L · goals 8:24 · per match 0.8 for, 2.4 against

18 Oct	H	Città di Varese	1-5	L
11 Oct	A	Castellanzese	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Pro Sesto	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Pavia	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Pro Patria	0-3	L
16 Sep	A	Pistoiese	0-5	L
12 Sep	H	Correggese	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	USD Casatese	1-2	L
4 May	A	Breno	1-4	L
27 Apr	H	Chievo	2-1	W

Pro Sesto

5W 3D 2L · goals 20:7 · per match 2.0 for, 0.7 against

18 Oct	A	Varesina	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Solbiatese	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Arconatese	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Oltrepò	6-1	W
20 Sep	A	Crema	3-0	W
16 Sep	H	Pontedera	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	Città di Varese	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Lentigione	2-3	L
3 May	A	Correggese	0-1	L
26 Apr	H	Tuttocuoio	2-0	W

Head to head

1Arconatese wins

1draws

2Pro Sesto wins

4 meetings · goals 6:9 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Arconatese

29 Jan 2025Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Pro Sesto1-1Arconatese
2 Oct 2024Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Arconatese0-3Pro Sesto
5 Jan 2020Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Arconatese4-2Pro Sesto
1 Sep 2019Serie D - Girone B	Serie D - Girone B	Pro Sesto3-1Arconatese

Serie D - Girone D tableSerie D: Group Dupdated 24 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone D table, Arconatese sit 17th with 3 points from 8 games, while Pro Sesto are 5th with 15 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	8	8	0	0	19:1	+18	24
2	Pro Patria	8	6	1	1	13:5	+8	19
3	Castellanzese	8	6	0	2	16:5	+11	18
4	Lentigione	8	5	2	1	13:8	+5	17
5	Pro Sesto	8	4	3	1	18:6	+12	15
6	USD Casatese	8	4	1	3	12:11	+1	13
7	Città di Varese	8	3	3	2	14:8	+6	12
8	Cittadella Vis Modena	8	3	2	3	7:5	+2	11
9	Sant'Angelo	8	3	2	3	9:8	+1	11
10	Solbiatese	8	2	4	2	7:10	-3	10
11	Correggese	8	3	1	4	7:12	-5	10
12	Pavia	8	1	5	2	7:6	+1	8
13	Crema	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8
14	Varesina	8	1	4	3	9:12	-3	7
15	Coriano	8	1	2	5	5:10	-5	5
16	Oltrepò	8	1	1	6	4:16	-12	4
17	Arconatese	8	0	3	5	5:19	-14	3
18	Pontedera	8	1	0	7	6:22	-16	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%4.97X24%3.85258%1.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.03 → 4.98 -1.0%X3.91 → 3.84 -1.8%21.60 → 1.58 -1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.83	1.97	5.4%
Betano	1.70	1.90	11.5%
Best of all books	1.83	1.97	5.4%
Average	1.77	1.94	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.89	1.91	5.3%
Best of all books	1.89	1.91	5.3%
Average	1.89	1.91	5.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arconatese 0%Draw 50%Pro Sesto 50%

The statistical model rated Arconatese at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Pro Sesto at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.97 | 3.85 | 1.58, which imply roughly 26% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone D table: Arconatese are 17th (3 pts, 5-19 goals), Pro Sesto 5th (15 pts, 18-6).

Over their last five matches, Arconatese averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Pro Sesto averaged 3.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Pro Sesto.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.03	3.91	1.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.05	1.16	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
3.35	1.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
4.90	2.15	2.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.25	3.60
2.5	1.77	1.94
2.75	1.90	1.75
3.5	2.92	1.38
4.5	5.58	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	3.60	1.23
+0.75	1.90	1.72
+1.5	1.43	2.49

Next Serie D - Girone D matches

25 Oct	Pro Sesto – Sant'Angelo
25 Oct	Coriano – Arconatese
25 Oct	Castellanzese – Varesina
25 Oct	Cittadella Vis Modena – Pistoiese
25 Oct	Lentigione – Crema
25 Oct	Pavia – USD Casatese

All Serie D - Girone D fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone D results

14 Oct	Coriano 1-2 Pontedera
4 Oct	Correggese 2-1 Pavia
4 Oct	Varesina 0-0 Pro Patria
4 Oct	Sant'Angelo 1-2 Castellanzese
4 Oct	Oltrepò 1-2 Lentigione
4 Oct	USD Casatese 0-3 Pistoiese