Correggese vs 
Pavia• Serie D - Girone D, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.38 | 3.19 | 5.0% |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 10.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.27 | 3.38 | 3.19 | 5.0% |
| Average | 2.27 | 3.24 | 3.04 | 7.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 06:02 UTC
Correggese
4W 3D 3L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against
| 18 Oct | H | Castellanzese | 0-2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Pistoiese | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | Pavia | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Cittadella Vis Modena | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | USD Casatese | 1-3 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Varesina | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Arconatese | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Sant'Angelo | 1-1 | D |
| 3 May | H | Pro Sesto | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | Crema | 0-0 | D |
Pavia
1W 5D 4L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against
| 18 Oct | A | Pistoiese | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Varesina | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Oct | H | Sant'Angelo | 1-3 | L |
| 4 Oct | A | Correggese | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Arconatese | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Sant'Angelo | 0-0 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Solbiatese | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Oltrepò | 3-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Crema | 0-0 | D |
| 25 Jul | H | Albinoleffe | 0-4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Correggese and Pavia on record.
Serie D - Girone D tableSerie D: Group Dupdated 24 Oct 06:10 UTC
In the Serie D - Girone D table, Correggese sit 11th with 10 points from 8 games, while Pavia are 12th with 8 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16:5 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:6 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Città di Varese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 12 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Solbiatese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Correggese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 8 |
| 13 | Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Coriano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Oltrepò | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:16 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Arconatese | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 3 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 1.62 | 5.8% |
| Betano | 2.15 | 1.55 | 11.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.27 | 1.62 | 5.8% |
| Average | 2.21 | 1.58 | 8.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 1.78 | 5.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.03 | 1.78 | 5.4% |
| Average | 2.03 | 1.78 | 5.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Correggese at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pavia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.36 | 3.01 | 2.76, which imply roughly 42.4% for a Correggese win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie D - Girone D table: Correggese are 11th (10 pts, 7-12 goals), Pavia 12th (8 pts, 7-6).
Over their last five matches, Correggese averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Pavia averaged 0.3 scored and 0.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Correggese or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.27 | 3.24 | 3.05 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.34 | 1.50 | 1.31 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.62 | 2.02 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.03 | 1.78 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 1.95 | 3.60 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 7.95 |
| 1.5 | 1.44 | 2.68 |
| 2.25 | 1.95 | 1.70 |
| 2.5 | 2.21 | 1.59 |
| 3.5 | 4.20 | 1.18 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4.40 | 1.16 |
| -0.25 | 1.90 | 1.72 |
| 0 | 1.65 | 2.06 |
Next Serie D - Girone D matches
| 25 Oct | Lentigione – Crema |
| 25 Oct | Pro Sesto – Sant'Angelo |
| 25 Oct | Coriano – Arconatese |
| 25 Oct | Castellanzese – Varesina |
| 25 Oct | Cittadella Vis Modena – Pistoiese |
| 25 Oct | Pavia – USD Casatese |
Latest Serie D - Girone D results
| 14 Oct | Coriano 1-2 Pontedera |
| 4 Oct | Varesina 0-0 Pro Patria |
| 4 Oct | Sant'Angelo 1-2 Castellanzese |
| 4 Oct | Oltrepò 1-2 Lentigione |
| 4 Oct | Arconatese 1-1 Pro Sesto |
| 4 Oct | USD Casatese 0-3 Pistoiese |