Fátima vs 
Nazarenos• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 4.50 | 8.80 | 5.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.08 | 7.01 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 4.50 | 8.50 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 1.35 | 4.20 | 7.50 | 11.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 3.95 | 8.50 | 12.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 3.95 | 7.03 | 12.5% |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 3.70 | 8.00 | 13.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 4.50 | 8.80 | 5.0% |
| Average | 1.36 | 4.13 | 7.91 | 10.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:50 UTC
Fátima
5W 2D 3L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against
| 25 Oct | A | Sertanense | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Academico Viseu | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Nazarenos | 1-3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Vinhais | 4-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Oliveira Hospital | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep | A | Os Marialvas | 0-3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Benfica Castelo Branco | 3-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Atlético Malveira | 5-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | O Elvas | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | Benfica Castelo Branco | 4-1 | W |
Nazarenos
2W 1D 6L · goals 6:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.8 against
| 25 Oct | H | Oliveira Hospital | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Fátima | 3-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Os Marialvas | 0-3 | L |
| 6 Sep | A | Atlético Malveira | 0-3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Vitória de Sernache | 0-3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | O Elvas | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Mortágua | 1-3 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Pacos Ferreira | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Sourense | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Fátima and Nazarenos on record.
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C tableII Divisao: Group Cupdated 31 Oct 19:02 UTC
In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table, Fátima sit 11th with 5 points from 6 games, while Nazarenos are 13th with 4 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Mortágua | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | O Elvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Os Marialvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | UD da Serra | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atlético Malveira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Naval 1893 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | AD Nogueirense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Alverca II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 6 |
| 11 | Fátima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 1.81 | 7.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 1.78 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 1.78 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 1.87 | 1.78 | 9.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.90 | 1.80 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 1.58 | 9.2% |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 1.62 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 1.56 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.18 | 1.62 | 7.6% |
| Average | 2.15 | 1.59 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Fátima at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Nazarenos at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.36 | 4.13 | 7.91, which imply roughly 73.5% for a Fátima win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table: Fátima are 11th (5 pts, 9-10 goals), Nazarenos 13th (4 pts, 5-12).
Over their last five matches, Fátima averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Nazarenos averaged 0.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Fátima.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 4.13 | 7.91 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | 2.74 | 1.17 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.11 | 5.80 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.15 | 1.59 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | 2.19 | 7.78 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.42 | 8.45 | 3.53 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 8.80 |
| 1.5 | 1.26 | 3.20 |
| 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4.5 | 6.00 | 1.10 |
| 5.5 | 13.0 | 1.03 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 7.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.17 | 3.98 |
| 1.75 | 1.32 | 2.91 |
| 2 | 1.42 | 2.52 |
| 2.25 | 1.66 | 2.04 |
| 2.75 | 2.13 | 1.60 |
| 3 | 2.55 | 1.41 |
| 3.25 | 2.86 | 1.33 |
| 3.75 | 3.95 | 1.17 |
| 4 | 5.45 | 1.08 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.43 | 1.45 |
| -1.5 | 2.03 | 1.67 |
| -1.25 | 1.86 | 1.82 |
| -1 | 1.69 | 2.04 |
| -0.75 | 1.53 | 2.33 |
| -0.5 | 1.36 | 2.78 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 8.00 | 1.02 |
| -3 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
| -2.5 | 3.86 | 1.18 |
| -2.25 | 2.80 | 1.34 |
| -2 | 3.06 | 1.29 |
| -0.25 | 1.20 | 3.68 |
| 0 | 1.05 | 6.40 |
| +0.25 | 1.03 | 7.20 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 9.5 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C matches
| 1 Nov | Atlético Malveira – Benfica Castelo Branco |
| 1 Nov | Fátima – Fazendense |
| 1 Nov | Nazarenos – Sertanense |
| 1 Nov | Oliveira Hospital – AD Nogueirense |
All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C fixtures and the table