Benfica Castelo Branco vs O Elvas• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, Portugal

#61.6:1.81-3FT25/101.4:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.70DAFX3.25B36522.15B365Margin at best4.3%Books7Markets41Rating36 · 65Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.70	3.25	2.11	5.2%
1xBet	3.37	3.15	2.02	10.9%
Betano	3.15	3.10	2.12	11.2%
Bet365	2.90	3.25	2.15	11.8%
Marathonbet	3.28	3.15	2.00	12.2%
William Hill	3.40	2.90	2.05	12.7%
Pinnacle	3.37	2.75	2.04	15.1%
Best of all books	3.70	3.25	2.15	4.3%
Average	3.31	3.08	2.07	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Benfica Castelo BrancoO Elvas

Last 10#6Table position#31.50Points per game2.176Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 51.41.8Goals against · last 50.853Attack rating4731Defence rating6947Form rating530H2H rating10011Goals model8936Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 19:02 UTC

Benfica Castelo Branco

4W 0D 6L · goals 14:21 · per match 1.4 for, 2.1 against

25 Oct	H	O Elvas	1-3	L
11 Oct	A	Mortágua	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	AD Nogueirense	2-3	L
6 Sep	A	FC Alverca II	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Fátima	1-3	L
23 Aug	H	Naval 1893	1-4	L
16 Aug	A	Oliveira Hospital	3-2	W
18 Apr	A	Fátima	1-4	L
12 Apr	H	Samora Correir	1-2	L
4 Apr	A	Peniche	2-0	W

O Elvas

5W 3D 2L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

11 Oct	H	UD da Serra	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Sertanense	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	União de Leiria	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Fazendense	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	São Roque (Açores)	9-0	W
23 Aug	A	Nazarenos	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	Fátima	1-1	D
18 Apr	H	Moncarapachense	0-0	D
12 Apr	A	Comércio Indústria	0-0	D
4 Apr	H	FC Serpa	3-2	W

Head to head

0Benfica Castelo Branco wins

0draws

2O Elvas wins

2 meetings · goals 0:5 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Benfica Castelo Branco

1 Feb 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C	Benfica Castelo Branco0-2O Elvas
15 Sep 2024Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C	O Elvas3-0Benfica Castelo Branco

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C tableII Divisao: Group Cupdated 31 Oct 19:02 UTC

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table, Benfica Castelo Branco sit 6th with 9 points from 6 games, while O Elvas are 3rd with 13 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oliveira Hospital	6	4	1	1	10:6	+4	13
2	Mortágua	6	4	1	1	11:5	+6	13
3	O Elvas	6	4	1	1	10:5	+5	13
4	Os Marialvas	6	4	1	1	10:3	+7	13
5	UD da Serra	6	3	3	0	9:6	+3	12
6	Benfica Castelo Branco	6	3	0	3	9:12	-3	9
7	Atlético Malveira	6	2	2	2	8:9	-1	8
8	Naval 1893	6	2	1	3	6:6	0	7
9	AD Nogueirense	6	1	4	1	8:10	-2	7
10	FC Alverca II	6	2	0	4	10:7	+3	6
11	Fátima	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5
12	Sertanense	6	0	4	2	5:9	-4	4
13	Nazarenos	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4
14	Fazendense	6	0	1	5	7:17	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.31X29%3.08244%2.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
1xBet	2.11	1.62	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.11	1.62	9.1%
Betano	2.02	1.65	10.1%
Pinnacle	2.10	1.60	10.1%
Best of all books	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Average	2.10	1.63	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.78	9.9%
Best of all books	1.91	1.81	7.6%
Average	1.88	1.78	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Benfica Castelo Branco 10%Draw 45%O Elvas 45%

The statistical model rated Benfica Castelo Branco at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and O Elvas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.31 | 3.08 | 2.07, which imply roughly 32.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table: Benfica Castelo Branco are 6th (9 pts, 9-12 goals), O Elvas 3rd (13 pts, 10-5).

Over their last five matches, Benfica Castelo Branco averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; O Elvas averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or O Elvas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.31	3.08	2.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.61	1.26	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.23	1.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.88	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
3.95	2.01	2.72

2nd half

1	X	2
3.65	2.28	2.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.90	16.5	27.3
HT X	7.57	4.67	5.02
HT 2	38.7	16.2	3.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.20	7.95	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.34
1.5	1.33	2.83
2.5	2.10	1.63
3.5	3.82	1.18
4.5	8.00	1.06
5.5	19.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.55
1.25	1.19	3.78
1.75	1.43	2.47
2	1.57	2.15
2.25	1.84	1.81
2.75	2.42	1.44
3	3.04	1.28
3.25	3.42	1.23
4	6.90	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.81	1.33
0	2.27	1.59
+0.25	1.90	1.79
+0.5	1.63	2.03
+0.75	1.47	2.36
+1	1.28	3.06

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.70	1.02
-1	6.60	1.05
-0.75	4.20	1.15
-0.5	3.29	1.23
+1.25	1.26	3.22
+1.5	1.17	4.00
+2	1.02	8.00
+2.5	1.01	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.86	1.91

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C matches

1 Nov	Atlético Malveira – Benfica Castelo Branco
1 Nov	Fátima – Fazendense
1 Nov	Nazarenos – Sertanense
1 Nov	Oliveira Hospital – AD Nogueirense

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C results

25 Oct	Nazarenos 1-1 Oliveira Hospital
25 Oct	Fazendense 1-2 Os Marialvas
25 Oct	Sertanense 2-2 Fátima
11 Oct	Mortágua 0-1 Benfica Castelo Branco
11 Oct	Os Marialvas 0-0 Sertanense
11 Oct	Atlético Malveira 3-1 Fazendense