Llantwit Major vs 
Newport City• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 02:18 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.87 | 3.64 | 2.06 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 11.0% |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.05 | 11.2% |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.12 | 11.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.80 | 3.64 | 2.04 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.87 | 3.75 | 2.12 | 8.7% |
| Average | 2.79 | 3.67 | 2.07 | 11.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 03:01 UTC
Llantwit Major
3W 2D 5L · goals 11:22 · per match 1.1 for, 2.2 against
| 23 Oct | A | Caerau (Ely) | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Trefelin | 1-4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Pontardawe Town | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Oct | A | Pontypridd Town | 1-4 | L |
| 2 Oct | A | Carmarthen Town | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | llanelli AFC | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Treowen Stars | 1-1 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | Aberystwyth Town | 1-5 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Baglan Dragons | 0-1 | L |
| 7 Aug | A | Afan Lido | 0-5 | L |
Newport City
3W 3D 4L · goals 21:17 · per match 2.1 for, 1.7 against
| 23 Oct | H | Pontypridd Town | 4-4 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Carmarthen Town | 5-4 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Caerphilly Athletic | 2-3 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Cardiff Draconians | 1-1 | D |
| 25 Sep | A | Afan Lido | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Ynyshir Albions | 0-1 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Baglan Dragons | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Pontardawe Town | 4-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | Carmarthen Town | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Jul | A | llanelli AFC | 4-1 | W |
Head to head
5 meetings · goals 7:7 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Llantwit Major
| 20 Feb 2026FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Newport City2-1Llantwit Major |
| 8 Nov 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Llantwit Major2-2Newport City |
| 28 Mar 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Newport City2-1Llantwit Major |
| 12 Oct 2024FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Llantwit Major1-1Newport City |
| 20 Jul 2024League Cup | League Cup | Llantwit Major2-0Newport City |
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 29 Oct 03:10 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 27:10 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:5 | +15 | 24 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 21 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:23 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 | Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 24:17 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:16 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25:21 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:27 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5:34 | -29 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.7% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 2.30 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 2.30 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| Average | 1.50 | 2.33 | 9.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 2.53 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 2.47 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.44 | 2.53 | 9.0% |
| Average | 1.44 | 2.50 | 9.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Llantwit Major at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Newport City at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.79 | 3.67 | 2.07, which imply roughly 35.8% for a Llantwit Major win versus the model's 35%.
Over their last five matches, Llantwit Major averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Newport City averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Llantwit Major or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.79 | 3.67 | 2.07 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | 1.34 | 1.21 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.13 | 1.62 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.44 | 2.50 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.27 | 2.36 | 2.60 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.04 | 2.69 | 2.39 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.44 | 14.2 | 20.0 |
| HT X | 7.20 | 6.50 | 5.90 |
| HT 2 | 23.7 | 14.2 | 3.33 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 18.1 | 1.76 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 17.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.13 | 4.80 |
| 2.5 | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| 3.5 | 2.28 | 1.52 |
| 4.5 | 4.00 | 1.17 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.18 | 3.90 |
| 2.25 | 1.33 | 2.83 |
| 2.75 | 1.62 | 2.09 |
| 3 | 1.80 | 1.82 |
| 3.25 | 2.04 | 1.63 |
| 3.75 | 2.67 | 1.37 |
| 4 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
| 4.25 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| 5 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 2.47 | 1.44 |
| 0 | 2.15 | 1.59 |
| +0.25 | 1.84 | 1.85 |
| +0.5 | 1.62 | 2.05 |
| +0.75 | 1.47 | 2.38 |
| +1 | 1.29 | 3.04 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5.85 | 1.07 |
| -1 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| -0.75 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| +1.25 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| +1.5 | 1.19 | 3.82 |
| +2 | 1.03 | 7.20 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 8.10 |