Rhyl vs Newtown AFC• FAW Championship, Wales

#111.8:2.42-2FT24/10 · Belle Vue, Rhyl0.8:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.401XBX3.80B36521.841XBMargin at best10.1%Books6Markets42Rating27 · 73Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 10:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.45	3.85	1.87	8.4%
Betfair	3.40	3.75	1.85	10.1%
1xBet	3.40	3.68	1.84	10.9%
Betano	3.25	3.80	1.85	11.1%
Bet365	3.25	3.80	1.83	11.7%
Marathonbet	3.32	3.68	1.82	12.2%
Best of all books	3.45	3.85	1.87	8.4%
Average	3.35	3.76	1.84	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RhylNewtown AFC

Last 10#11Table position#21.00Points per game2.183Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 50.82.4Goals against · last 50.469Attack rating3114Defence rating8623Form rating7720H2H rating8011Goals model8927Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 03:01 UTC

Rhyl

2W 4D 4L · goals 19:21 · per match 1.9 for, 2.1 against

24 Oct	H	Newtown AFC	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	Ruthin Town	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Brickfield Rangers	2-3	L
26 Sep	A	Gresford Athletic	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Buckley Town	3-3	D
5 Sep	A	Bangor City 1876 FC	2-2	D
31 Aug	A	Denbigh Town	3-1	W
28 Aug	H	Bala Town	1-3	L
15 Aug	H	Caersws	4-2	W
8 Aug	A	Porthmadog	0-1	L

Newtown AFC

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:5 · per match 1.9 for, 0.5 against

24 Oct	A	Rhyl	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Llanuwchllyn	7-0	W
10 Oct	H	Bangor City 1876 FC	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Mold Alexandra	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Porthmadog	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Holyhead Hotspur	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Denbigh Town	1-0	W
31 Aug	A	Bala Town	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Llanuwchllyn	4-0	W
15 Aug	H	Guilsfield	1-1	D

Head to head

2Rhyl wins

3draws

12Newtown AFC wins

17 meetings · goals 19:42 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Rhyl

24 Mar 2026FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Newtown AFC6-1Rhyl
13 Sep 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Rhyl2-5Newtown AFC
25 Jan 2020Welsh Cup	Welsh Cup	Newtown AFC4-1Rhyl
8 Dec 2018Welsh Cup	Welsh Cup	Newtown AFC1-2Rhyl
26 Mar 2017Premier League	Premier League	Rhyl0-2Newtown AFC
11 Feb 2017Premier League	Premier League	Newtown AFC3-2Rhyl
10 Dec 2016Premier League	Premier League	Rhyl1-3Newtown AFC
17 Sep 2016Premier League	Premier League	Newtown AFC3-3Rhyl
21 Nov 2015Premier League	Premier League	Rhyl1-1Newtown AFC
12 Sep 2015Premier League	Premier League	Newtown AFC1-2Rhyl

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 29 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the FAW Championship table, Rhyl sit 11th with 12 points from 12 games, while Newtown AFC are 2nd with 24 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	12	10	0	2	27:10	+17	30
2	Newtown AFC	11	7	3	1	20:5	+15	24
3	Porthmadog	12	7	2	3	18:12	+6	23
4	Mold Alexandra	11	6	3	2	28:14	+14	21
5	Bala Town	12	6	2	4	25:23	+2	20
6	Caersws	11	5	4	2	24:17	+7	19
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	11	5	3	3	24:18	+6	18
8	Guilsfield	12	4	5	3	18:16	+2	17
9	Buckley Town	12	4	3	5	25:21	+4	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	12	4	3	5	20:27	-7	15
11	Rhyl	12	2	6	4	20:22	-2	12
12	Holyhead Hotspur	11	3	2	6	14:19	-5	11
13	Denbigh Town	11	3	1	7	20:23	-3	10
14	Ruthin Town	11	2	3	6	10:21	-11	9
15	Gresford Athletic	10	2	1	7	6:22	-16	7
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	5:34	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.39X24%3.75249%1.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.53	2.28	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.28	9.2%
Betano	1.55	2.22	9.6%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.54	2.28	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.31	10.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Average	1.50	2.33	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rhyl 10%Draw 45%Newtown AFC 45%

The statistical model rated Rhyl at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Newtown AFC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.39 | 3.75 | 1.83, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FAW Championship table: Rhyl are 11th (12 pts, 20-22 goals), Newtown AFC 2nd (24 pts, 20-5).

Over their last five matches, Rhyl averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Newtown AFC averaged 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Newtown AFC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.35	3.76	1.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.78	1.24	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
2.54	1.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.50	2.34

1st half

1	X	2
3.73	2.36	2.36

2nd half

1	X	2
3.47	2.70	2.16

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.47	14.8	19.3
HT X	8.23	6.50	5.30
HT 2	28.7	14.8	2.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.26	16.0	1.64

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.5
1.5	1.14	4.45
2.5	1.55	2.28
3.5	2.30	1.49
4.5	3.98	1.17
5.5	8.00	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
1.75	1.17	4.05
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.37	2.70
2.75	1.65	2.01
3	1.84	1.78
3.25	2.09	1.61
3.75	2.70	1.36
4	3.34	1.24

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.52	1.41
+0.25	2.06	1.62
+0.5	1.87	1.84
+0.75	1.62	2.05
+1	1.44	2.50
+1.25	1.33	2.81

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.60	1.05
-1	5.80	1.07
-0.25	2.83	1.33
+1.5	1.27	3.14
+1.75	1.18	3.86
+2	1.09	5.30
+2.5	1.06	6.00

Next FAW Championship matches

30 Oct	Pontypridd Town – llanelli AFC
31 Oct	Brickfield Rangers – Bala Town
31 Oct	Caersws – Bangor City 1876 FC
31 Oct	Gresford Athletic – Ruthin Town
31 Oct	Guilsfield – Porthmadog
31 Oct	Llanuwchllyn – Denbigh Town

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

24 Oct	Porthmadog 0-1 Brickfield Rangers
24 Oct	Llanuwchllyn 3-3 Bala Town
24 Oct	Caersws 2-2 Guilsfield
23 Oct	Trethomas Bluebirds 3-1 Cardiff Draconians
23 Oct	Caerau (Ely) 0-2 Llantwit Major
23 Oct	Newport City 4-4 Pontypridd Town