Llanuwchllyn vs 
Denbigh Town• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 02:18 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.80 | 2.38 | 10.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.90 | 2.35 | 11.7% |
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.80 | 2.31 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.80 | 2.31 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.38 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 9.7% |
| Average | 2.34 | 3.83 | 2.34 | 11.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 03:01 UTC
Llanuwchllyn
3W 2D 5L · goals 17:28 · per match 1.7 for, 2.8 against
| 24 Oct | H | Bala Town | 3-3 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Newtown AFC | 0-7 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Penrhyncoch | 4-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Guilsfield | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Caersws | 2-5 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Mold Alexandra | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Holyhead Hotspur | 4-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Gresford Athletic | 2-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Newtown AFC | 0-4 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Bangor City 1876 FC | 0-5 | L |
Denbigh Town
2W 1D 7L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against
| 16 Oct | H | Bangor City 1876 FC | 0-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Guilsfield | 2-0 | W |
| 2 Oct | H | Holyhead Hotspur | 2-4 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Brickfield Rangers | 0-2 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Bala Town | 5-2 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Newtown AFC | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Rhyl | 1-3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Penrhyncoch | 2-2 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | Porthmadog | 2-3 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Ruthin Town | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 3:11 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Llanuwchllyn
| 14 Dec 2024Welsh Cup | Welsh Cup | Denbigh Town7-1Llanuwchllyn |
| 14 Aug 2021Welsh Cup | Welsh Cup | Llanuwchllyn2-4Denbigh Town |
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 29 Oct 03:10 UTC
In the FAW Championship table, Llanuwchllyn sit 10th with 15 points from 12 games, while Denbigh Town are 13th with 10 points from 11.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 27:10 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:5 | +15 | 24 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 21 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:23 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 | Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 24:17 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:16 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25:21 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:27 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5:34 | -29 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.7% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 2.70 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 2.70 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| Average | 1.37 | 2.72 | 9.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 2.86 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 2.79 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.35 | 2.86 | 9.0% |
| Average | 1.35 | 2.83 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Llanuwchllyn at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Denbigh Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 3.83 | 2.34, which imply roughly 26.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the FAW Championship table: Llanuwchllyn are 10th (15 pts, 20-27 goals), Denbigh Town 13th (10 pts, 20-23).
Over their last five matches, Llanuwchllyn averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Denbigh Town averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Denbigh Town and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 3.83 | 2.34 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | 1.48 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.83 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.35 | 2.83 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.81 | 2.51 | 2.76 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.63 | 2.79 | 2.59 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.65 | 14.5 | 19.0 |
| HT X | 7.10 | 7.65 | 7.10 |
| HT 2 | 19.0 | 14.5 | 3.65 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 23.5 | 1.88 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 17.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.07 | 7.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.37 | 2.72 |
| 3.5 | 2.01 | 1.69 |
| 4.5 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.12 | 4.80 |
| 2.25 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 2.75 | 1.44 | 2.42 |
| 3 | 1.57 | 2.14 |
| 3.25 | 1.79 | 1.85 |
| 3.75 | 2.26 | 1.53 |
| 4 | 2.66 | 1.37 |
| 4.25 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| 5 | 5.15 | 1.10 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.74 | 1.35 |
| -0.25 | 2.09 | 1.61 |
| 0 | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| +0.25 | 1.63 | 2.04 |
| +0.75 | 1.36 | 2.71 |
| +1 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7.80 | 1.04 |
| -2 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -1.5 | 4.40 | 1.14 |
| -1 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| +1.25 | 1.18 | 3.88 |
| +1.5 | 1.15 | 4.25 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 7.80 |
| +2.5 | 1.04 | 7.80 |