Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC• FAW Championship, Wales

2.4:2.019:30Today · USW Sports Park, Pontypridd0.6:3.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.20B365X7.50BFR211.0DAFMargin at best5.8%Books8Markets50Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.18	7.20	11.0	7.7%
Pinnacle	1.18	7.17	8.98	9.8%
Bet365	1.20	6.50	9.00	9.8%
Betfair	1.12	7.50	13.0	10.3%
Betano	1.19	6.20	9.00	11.3%
William Hill	1.18	6.00	10.0	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.14	6.75	10.8	11.8%
1xBet	1.14	6.75	10.7	11.9%
Best of all books	1.20	7.50	11.0	5.8%
Average	1.17	6.76	10.3	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pontypridd Townllanelli AFC

Last 108Form pts · last 502.4Goals for · last 50.62.0Goals against · last 53.280Attack rating2062Defence rating38100Form rating060H2H rating4087Goals model1371Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 06:01 UTC

Pontypridd Town

5W 3D 2L · goals 25:19 · per match 2.5 for, 1.9 against

23 Oct	A	Newport City	4-4	D
10 Oct	A	Baglan Dragons	1-1	D
6 Oct	H	Llantwit Major	4-1	W
3 Oct	H	Aberystwyth Town	1-3	L
25 Sep	A	Caerphilly Athletic	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Afan Lido	0-1	L
28 Aug	A	Swansea University	4-4	D
21 Aug	H	Trethomas Bluebirds	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Cardiff Draconians	4-1	W
7 Aug	H	Pontardawe Town	3-2	W

llanelli AFC

0W 1D 9L · goals 7:34 · per match 0.7 for, 3.4 against

23 Oct	H	Afan Lido	0-3	L
16 Oct	A	Caerau (Ely)	0-6	L
10 Oct	A	Ynyshir Albions	2-6	L
2 Oct	H	Baglan Dragons	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Llantwit Major	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	Caerau (Ely)	0-3	L
4 Sep	H	Treowen Stars	0-2	L
31 Aug	A	Aberystwyth Town	0-4	L
28 Aug	H	Carmarthen Town	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Cardiff Draconians	2-4	L

Head to head

4Pontypridd Town wins

1draws

2llanelli AFC wins

7 meetings · goals 16:9 · last 7: 4W 1D 2L for Pontypridd Town

21 Mar 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Pontypridd Town1-2llanelli AFC
26 Aug 2024FAW Championship	FAW Championship	llanelli AFC3-0Pontypridd Town
4 Aug 2023League Cup	League Cup	llanelli AFC1-4Pontypridd Town
2 Apr 2022FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Pontypridd Town4-1llanelli AFC
13 Aug 2021FAW Championship	FAW Championship	llanelli AFC0-4Pontypridd Town
29 Nov 2019FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Pontypridd Town2-1llanelli AFC
16 Aug 2019FAW Championship	FAW Championship	llanelli AFC1-1Pontypridd Town

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 30 Oct 03:10 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	12	10	0	2	27:10	+17	30
2	Newtown AFC	11	7	3	1	20:5	+15	24
3	Porthmadog	12	7	2	3	18:12	+6	23
4	Mold Alexandra	11	6	3	2	28:14	+14	21
5	Bala Town	12	6	2	4	25:23	+2	20
6	Caersws	11	5	4	2	24:17	+7	19
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	11	5	3	3	24:18	+6	18
8	Guilsfield	12	4	5	3	18:16	+2	17
9	Buckley Town	12	4	3	5	25:21	+4	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	12	4	3	5	20:27	-7	15
11	Rhyl	12	2	6	4	20:22	-2	12
12	Holyhead Hotspur	11	3	2	6	14:19	-5	11
13	Denbigh Town	11	3	1	7	20:23	-3	10
14	Ruthin Town	11	2	3	6	10:21	-11	9
15	Gresford Athletic	10	2	1	7	6:22	-16	7
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	5:34	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg178%1.17X13%6.7629%10.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.17 → 1.17 0.0%X6.28 → 6.76 +7.6%210.3 → 10.3 +0.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.25	3.75	6.7%
1xBet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Best of all books	1.25	3.75	6.7%
Average	1.22	3.64	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.11	9.9%
Best of all books	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Average	1.58	2.17	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pontypridd Town 50%Draw 50%llanelli AFC 0%

The statistical model rates Pontypridd Town at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and llanelli AFC at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.17 | 6.76 | 10.30, which imply roughly 85.5% for a Pontypridd Town win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Pontypridd Town averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; llanelli AFC averaged 0.6 scored and 3.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Pontypridd Town and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.17	6.76	10.3

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	4.08	1.07

Draw no bet

1	2
1.08	6.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
1.48	3.18	8.03

2nd half

1	X	2
1.37	3.81	7.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.58	22.7	62.0
HT X	4.33	12.0	23.0
HT 2	15.5	24.3	17.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.23	33.5	3.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.05	8.50
2.5	1.22	3.64
3.5	1.60	2.14
4.5	2.31	1.50
5.5	3.70	1.23

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.04	6.90
2.75	1.24	3.34
3	1.31	2.97
3.25	1.45	2.47
3.75	1.72	1.96
4	1.90	1.76
4.25	2.11	1.61
4.75	2.63	1.39
5	3.08	1.28

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.37	1.48
-2.5	2.10	1.61
-2.25	1.93	1.77
-2	1.74	1.96
-1.75	1.57	2.16
-1.5	1.48	2.37

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	5.10	1.10
-3.5	3.28	1.25
-3.25	3.05	1.28
-3	2.82	1.34
-1.25	1.39	2.65
-1	1.25	3.37
-0.75	1.25	3.28
0	1.05	7.32

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.91	1.86

Next FAW Championship matches

31 Oct	Brickfield Rangers – Bala Town
31 Oct	Caersws – Bangor City 1876 FC
31 Oct	Gresford Athletic – Ruthin Town
31 Oct	Llanuwchllyn – Denbigh Town
31 Oct	Cardiff Draconians – Afan Lido
31 Oct	Llantwit Major – Newport City

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

24 Oct	Porthmadog 0-1 Brickfield Rangers
24 Oct	Llanuwchllyn 3-3 Bala Town
24 Oct	Rhyl 2-2 Newtown AFC
24 Oct	Caersws 2-2 Guilsfield
23 Oct	Trethomas Bluebirds 3-1 Cardiff Draconians
23 Oct	Caerau (Ely) 0-2 Llantwit Major