Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido• FAW Championship, Wales

1.4:2.014:00Tomorrow1.8:1.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40BFRX3.80BFR22.42BTNMargin at best9.3%Books5Markets37Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 02:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	2.40	3.80	2.38	10.0%
Betano	2.35	3.75	2.42	10.5%
Bet365	2.35	3.75	2.38	11.2%
1xBet	2.38	3.58	2.38	12.0%
Marathonbet	2.38	3.58	2.38	12.0%
Best of all books	2.40	3.80	2.42	9.3%
Average	2.37	3.69	2.39	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cardiff DraconiansAfan Lido

Last 105Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 51.444Attack rating5641Defence rating5938Form rating62100H2H rating055Goals model4551Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 03:01 UTC

Cardiff Draconians

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

23 Oct	A	Trethomas Bluebirds	1-3	L
17 Oct	A	Radnor Valley	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	Carmarthen Town	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Newport City	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Caerau (Ely)	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Baglan Dragons	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	llanelli AFC	4-2	W
15 Aug	H	Pontypridd Town	1-4	L
7 Aug	A	Caerphilly Athletic	0-0	D
1 Aug	A	Ynyshir Albions	0-1	L

Afan Lido

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

23 Oct	A	llanelli AFC	3-0	W
18 Oct	H	Penybont	2-3	L
9 Oct	H	Swansea University	5-5	D
2 Oct	A	Caerau (Ely)	0-2	L
25 Sep	H	Newport City	0-0	D
11 Sep	A	Pontypridd Town	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Baglan Dragons	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Ynyshir Albions	0-0	D
28 Aug	A	Trethomas Bluebirds	2-5	L
21 Aug	H	Pontardawe Town	1-0	W

Head to head

2Cardiff Draconians wins

0draws

0Afan Lido wins

2 meetings · goals 7:2 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Cardiff Draconians

18 Apr 2026FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Cardiff Draconians4-1Afan Lido
16 Sep 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Afan Lido1-3Cardiff Draconians

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 29 Oct 03:10 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	12	10	0	2	27:10	+17	30
2	Newtown AFC	11	7	3	1	20:5	+15	24
3	Porthmadog	12	7	2	3	18:12	+6	23
4	Mold Alexandra	11	6	3	2	28:14	+14	21
5	Bala Town	12	6	2	4	25:23	+2	20
6	Caersws	11	5	4	2	24:17	+7	19
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	11	5	3	3	24:18	+6	18
8	Guilsfield	12	4	5	3	18:16	+2	17
9	Buckley Town	12	4	3	5	25:21	+4	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	12	4	3	5	20:27	-7	15
11	Rhyl	12	2	6	4	20:22	-2	12
12	Holyhead Hotspur	11	3	2	6	14:19	-5	11
13	Denbigh Town	11	3	1	7	20:23	-3	10
14	Ruthin Town	11	2	3	6	10:21	-11	9
15	Gresford Athletic	10	2	1	7	6:22	-16	7
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	5:34	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.37X24%3.69238%2.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Average	1.42	2.55	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.38	2.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.67	9.9%
Best of all books	1.38	2.74	9.0%
Average	1.38	2.71	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cardiff Draconians 35%Draw 35%Afan Lido 30%

The statistical model rates Cardiff Draconians at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Afan Lido at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.37 | 3.69 | 2.39, which imply roughly 42.2% for a Cardiff Draconians win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Cardiff Draconians averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Afan Lido averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cardiff Draconians or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.37	3.69	2.39

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.47	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.82	1.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.38	2.71

1st half

1	X	2
2.83	2.41	2.85

2nd half

1	X	2
2.60	2.76	2.63

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.68	13.3	20.7
HT X	6.53	6.93	6.57
HT 2	20.3	14.0	3.77

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.85	19.5	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	17.0
1.5	1.11	5.50
2.5	1.42	2.55
3.5	2.08	1.63
4.5	3.34	1.24

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.15	4.30
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.52	2.28
3	1.64	2.02
3.25	1.86	1.78
3.75	2.33	1.48
4	2.81	1.33
4.25	3.08	1.28
5	5.35	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.58	1.21
-0.75	2.74	1.35
-0.25	2.08	1.62
0	1.85	1.86
+0.25	1.62	2.08
+0.75	1.35	2.75

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.20	1.03
-2	7.70	1.02
-1.5	4.30	1.15
+1	1.21	3.58
+1.25	1.17	3.94
+1.5	1.15	4.30
+2	1.03	7.70
+2.5	1.03	8.20

Next FAW Championship matches

30 Oct	Pontypridd Town – llanelli AFC
31 Oct	Brickfield Rangers – Bala Town
31 Oct	Caersws – Bangor City 1876 FC
31 Oct	Gresford Athletic – Ruthin Town
31 Oct	Guilsfield – Porthmadog
31 Oct	Llanuwchllyn – Denbigh Town

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

24 Oct	Porthmadog 0-1 Brickfield Rangers
24 Oct	Llanuwchllyn 3-3 Bala Town
24 Oct	Rhyl 2-2 Newtown AFC
24 Oct	Caersws 2-2 Guilsfield
23 Oct	Trethomas Bluebirds 3-1 Cardiff Draconians
23 Oct	Caerau (Ely) 0-2 Llantwit Major