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Academica vs Amarante• Segunda Liga, Portugal

#61.6:1.815:30Tomorrow · Estádio Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra1.2:1.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.13DAFX3.40DAF23.60B365Margin at best4.1%Books6Markets78Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.123.343.485.8%
1xBet2.063.303.447.9%
Marathonbet2.043.303.428.6%
BetVictor2.053.303.309.4%
Bet3651.953.253.609.8%
William Hill2.053.103.3011.3%
Best of all books2.123.343.604.9%
Average2.043.273.428.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AcademicaAmarante
Last 10#6Table position#141.67Points per game0.8912Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 51.857Attack rating4350Defence rating5060Form rating4050H2H rating5073Goals model2757Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:03 UTC

Academica

6W 0D 4L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

1 NovAVizela1-2L
24 OctHLeixoes4-0W
17 OctHAmarante3-2W
11 OctAUnião de Leiria2-0W
18 SepAReal4-1W
11 SepHBenfica B0-3L
5 SepAPenafiel1-4L
29 AugHLusitânia Lourosa0-2L
21 AugATondela2-0W
14 AugHFeirense1-0W

Amarante

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

31 OctHFC Porto B2-1W
26 OctATorreense0-1L
17 OctAAcademica2-3L
10 OctHPortimonense1-2L
20 SepAPonte da Barca2-0W
13 SepHUnião de Leiria2-2D
6 SepALeixoes1-3L
30 AugHBenfica B1-0W
22 AugAVizela0-0D
16 AugHLusitânia Lourosa0-1L

Head to head

1Academica wins
2draws
1Amarante wins

4 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Academica

17 Oct 2026Taça de PortugalTaça de PortugalAcademica3-2Amarante
12 Apr 2026Liga 3Liga 3Academica1-1Amarante
29 Mar 2026Liga 3Liga 3Amarante1-1Academica
22 Oct 2023Taça de PortugalTaça de PortugalAmarante1-0Academica

Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Segunda Liga table, Academica sit 6th with 15 points from 9 games, while Amarante are 14th with 8 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sporting CP B970215:7+821
2Penafiel961219:8+1119
3Lusitânia Lourosa954015:8+719
4Benfica B952211:6+517
5Farense943215:11+415
6Academica950415:12+315
7Tondela950412:10+215
8Vizela942310:9+114
9União de Leiria942313:11+214
10AVS933311:10+112
11Portimonense93246:10-411
12Torreense92438:10-210
13Leixoes931510:14-410
14Amarante92258:12-48
15Chaves92259:18-98
16FC Porto B92258:17-98
17Felgueiras 193291449:12-37
18Feirense90272:11-92

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.05X28%3.25227%3.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 00:015 Nov 15:001 2.05X 3.252 3.39
11.97 → 2.05 +4.1%X3.31 → 3.25 -1.8%23.56 → 3.39 -4.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.031.795.1%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
1xBet1.981.767.3%
Marathonbet1.981.767.3%
BetVictor1.931.759.0%
Best of all books2.031.804.8%
Average1.981.776.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.801.917.9%
1xBet1.781.938.0%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.781.908.8%
Best of all books1.801.956.8%
Average1.771.938.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Academica 45%Draw 45%Amarante 10%

The statistical model rates Academica at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Amarante at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.39, which imply roughly 48.8% for a Academica win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda Liga table: Academica are 6th (15 pts, 15-12 goals), Amarante 14th (8 pts, 8-12).

Over their last five matches, Academica averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Amarante averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Academica or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.053.273.42

Double chance

1XX212
1.271.691.30

Draw no bet

12
1.492.49

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.771.93

1st half

1X2
2.672.114.10

2nd half

1X2
2.412.383.69

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.1714.338.7
HT X4.975.007.73
HT 227.715.15.83

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.759.202.33

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.059.35
1.51.293.24
2.51.981.77
3.53.471.26
4.57.051.06
5.514.31.02
6.529.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.50
11.027.70
1.251.154.31
1.751.352.80
21.482.42
2.251.741.99
2.752.241.57
32.721.39
3.253.071.29
3.754.301.15
46.001.06
4.256.401.05
510.51.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.171.30
-0.752.401.50
-0.52.081.70
-0.251.781.96
01.512.45
+0.251.362.89
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.801.01
-2.258.301.01
-27.801.02
-1.755.151.12
-1.53.951.20
-1.253.561.25
+0.51.323.38
+0.751.184.31
+11.076.58
+1.251.057.13
+1.51.027.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.046.64
6.51.174.01
7.51.382.71
8.51.692.04
9.52.151.60
10.52.871.33
11.54.081.16
12.56.201.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.67
61.036.37
6.251.104.88
6.751.183.82
71.203.61
7.251.293.06
7.751.432.55
81.492.40
8.251.602.18
8.751.791.91
91.901.85
9.252.031.70
9.752.321.52
102.551.42
10.252.701.38
10.753.181.27
113.691.19
11.253.871.17
11.754.721.10
125.761.05
12.255.981.05

Next Segunda Liga matches

6 NovAVS – Vizela
7 NovFelgueiras 1932 – Leixoes
7 NovChaves – Penafiel
8 NovFC Porto B – Portimonense
8 NovFeirense – Lusitânia Lourosa
8 NovFarense – Benfica B

All Segunda Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda Liga results

2 NovPenafiel 1-0 Feirense
1 NovLusitânia Lourosa 1-1 Farense
1 NovTondela 3-2 Felgueiras 1932
1 NovVizela 2-1 Academica
31 OctUnião de Leiria 2-1 AVS
31 OctBenfica B 3-1 Chaves