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Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense• Segunda Liga, Portugal

#11.8:1.015:3001/111.6:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.67PINX3.17PIN22.71PINMargin at best5.9%Books10Markets72Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.753.202.704.7%
Pinnacle2.713.172.675.9%
Betano2.673.152.627.4%
1xBet2.603.102.648.6%
Marathonbet2.603.102.648.6%
Bet3652.603.102.609.2%
BetVictor2.603.102.609.2%
Betfair2.603.002.5511.0%
William Hill2.602.902.6011.4%
SBO2.452.862.4217.1%
Best of all books2.753.202.704.7%
Average2.623.072.609.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lusitânia LourosaFarense
Last 10#1Table position#52.25Points per game1.7511Form pts · last 5121.8Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.453Attack rating4758Defence rating4261Form rating390H2H rating10056Goals model4452Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 00:03 UTC

Lusitânia Lourosa

7W 3D 0L · goals 19:9 · per match 1.9 for, 0.9 against

25 OctAFelgueiras 19322-2D
18 OctHOs Limianos2-1W
11 OctHChaves1-1D
20 SepAMadalena3-1W
14 SepASporting CP B2-1W
7 SepHAVS2-1W
29 AugAAcademica2-0W
22 AugHTorreense2-2D
16 AugAAmarante1-0W
10 AugHFC Porto B2-0W

Farense

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

24 OctHPenafiel1-4L
17 OctHAD Marco 093-0W
11 OctHFeirense2-1W
4 OctHChaves4-0W
20 SepASacavenense1-0W
13 SepAAVS0-0D
30 AugASporting CP B1-2L
24 AugHFelgueiras 19321-1D
16 AugAFC Porto B3-1W
9 AugHTorreense2-1W

Head to head

0Lusitânia Lourosa wins
0draws
2Farense wins

2 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Lusitânia Lourosa

1 Mar 2026Segunda LigaSegunda LigaFarense2-1Lusitânia Lourosa
4 Oct 2025Segunda LigaSegunda LigaLusitânia Lourosa1-2Farense

Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Segunda Liga table, Lusitânia Lourosa sit 1st with 18 points from 8 games, while Farense are 5th with 14 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Lusitânia Lourosa853014:7+718
2Sporting CP B860213:6+718
3Penafiel851218:8+1016
4Academica850314:10+415
5Farense842214:10+414
6Benfica B84228:5+314
7AVS833210:8+212
8Tondela84049:8+112
9Vizela83238:8011
10União de Leiria832311:10+111
11Leixoes83149:12-310
12Portimonense83146:10-410
13Torreense82338:10-29
14Chaves82248:15-78
15FC Porto B82247:15-88
16Felgueiras 193281437:9-27
17Amarante81256:11-55
18Feirense80262:10-82

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.59X30%3.05235%2.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.131.696.1%
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Betano2.151.676.4%
1xBet2.121.667.4%
Marathonbet2.121.667.4%
BetVictor2.071.658.9%
Best of all books2.151.695.7%
Average2.121.677.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.831.878.1%
Betano1.831.878.1%
BetVictor1.831.878.1%
Marathonbet1.831.858.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
William Hill1.801.859.6%
Best of all books1.831.878.1%
Average1.831.868.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lusitânia Lourosa 10%Draw 45%Farense 45%

The statistical model rates Lusitânia Lourosa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Farense at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.59 | 3.05 | 2.60, which imply roughly 32.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda Liga table: Lusitânia Lourosa are 1st (18 pts, 14-7 goals), Farense 5th (14 pts, 14-10).

Over their last five matches, Lusitânia Lourosa averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Farense averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Farense.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.623.072.60

Double chance

1XX212
1.441.441.32

Draw no bet

12
1.861.85

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.86

1st half

1X2
3.282.013.30

2nd half

1X2
2.912.312.97

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.3214.431.6
HT X5.944.615.96
HT 231.614.44.31

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.018.152.03

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.88
1.51.352.94
2.52.121.67
3.53.791.22
4.57.781.05
5.514.91.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.047.10
11.056.45
1.251.193.81
1.751.442.56
21.582.21
2.251.851.87
2.752.431.49
32.991.30
3.253.361.25
3.754.711.13
46.651.05
4.257.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.201.30
-0.52.611.46
-0.252.221.59
01.871.87
+0.251.592.21
+0.51.472.59
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-210.01.01
-1.757.101.04
-1.55.481.11
-1.255.021.13
-14.521.16
+0.751.303.20
+11.164.58
+1.251.125.09
+1.51.105.58
+1.751.037.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.094.96
7.51.283.29
8.51.532.36
9.51.871.83
10.52.441.50
11.53.331.27
12.54.821.10
13.56.971.02
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.104.73
71.124.50
7.251.193.68
7.751.303.00
81.342.84
8.251.442.51
8.751.602.17
91.692.04
9.251.801.90
9.752.021.70
102.181.60
10.252.311.53
10.752.661.39
112.991.30
11.253.151.27
11.753.761.18
124.431.12
12.254.621.11
12.755.671.06
137.051.02

Next Segunda Liga matches

31 OctAmarante – FC Porto B
31 OctPortimonense – Torreense
31 OctLeixoes – Sporting CP B
31 OctBenfica B – Chaves
31 OctUnião de Leiria – AVS
1 NovVizela – Academica

All Segunda Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda Liga results

26 OctTorreense 1-0 Amarante
25 OctFC Porto B 1-1 União de Leiria
25 OctFelgueiras 1932 2-2 Lusitânia Lourosa
25 OctAVS 2-1 Tondela
24 OctFarense 1-4 Penafiel
24 OctFeirense 0-0 Benfica B