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Penafiel vs Feirense• Segunda Liga, Portugal

#42.8:1.018:00Today · Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel0.4:1.6#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95DAFX3.60B36524.20B365Margin at best2.9%Books10Markets77Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 05:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.953.504.004.9%
Pinnacle1.873.564.235.2%
Betano1.933.353.957.0%
1xBet1.893.383.947.9%
Marathonbet1.873.383.928.6%
BetVictor1.853.304.009.4%
Bet3651.853.503.6010.4%
Betfair1.803.304.0010.9%
William Hill1.853.203.9010.9%
SBO1.902.923.3217.0%
Best of all books1.953.564.233.0%
Average1.883.343.899.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PenafielFeirense
Last 10#4Table position#182.00Points per game0.257Form pts · last 512.8Goals for · last 50.41.0Goals against · last 51.688Attack rating1362Defence rating3892Form rating820H2H rating8091Goals model964Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:10 UTC

Penafiel

6W 2D 2L · goals 22:11 · per match 2.2 for, 1.1 against

24 OctAFarense4-1W
17 OctHLeça0-1L
9 OctHAVS1-2L
25 SepHDeportivo La Coruna2-2D
19 SepAOliveirense2-1W
12 SepAFelgueiras 19322-1W
5 SepHAcademica4-1W
30 AugAFC Porto B3-0W
23 AugHSporting CP B2-0W
15 AugATorreense2-2D

Feirense

0W 3D 7L · goals 4:13 · per match 0.4 for, 1.3 against

24 OctHBenfica B0-0D
11 OctAFarense1-2L
19 SepASalgueiros0-1L
13 SepAChaves0-1L
5 SepHSporting CP B1-3L
30 AugAAVS0-2L
24 AugHFC Porto B0-1L
14 AugAAcademica0-1L
9 AugHFelgueiras 19320-0D
1 AugAUnião Lamas2-2D

Head to head

4Penafiel wins
2draws
7Feirense wins

13 meetings · goals 12:17 · last 10: 3W 0D 7L for Penafiel

15 Mar 2026Segunda LigaSegunda LigaFeirense1-0Penafiel
19 Oct 2025Segunda LigaSegunda LigaPenafiel1-2Feirense
19 Apr 2025Segunda LigaSegunda LigaPenafiel1-2Feirense
7 Dec 2024Segunda LigaSegunda LigaFeirense3-0Penafiel
29 Jan 2024Segunda LigaSegunda LigaPenafiel2-1Feirense
20 Aug 2023Segunda LigaSegunda LigaFeirense2-0Penafiel
8 Apr 2023Segunda LigaSegunda LigaFeirense2-1Penafiel
23 Oct 2022Segunda LigaSegunda LigaPenafiel0-1Feirense
24 Apr 2022Segunda LigaSegunda LigaPenafiel2-0Feirense
11 Dec 2021Segunda LigaSegunda LigaFeirense1-2Penafiel

Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 1 Nov 19:30 UTC

In the Segunda Liga table, Penafiel sit 4th with 16 points from 8 games, while Feirense are 18th with 2 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sporting CP B970215:7+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa954015:8+719
3Benfica B952211:6+517
4Penafiel851218:8+1016
5Farense943215:11+415
6Academica950415:12+315
7Tondela950412:10+215
8Vizela942310:9+114
9União de Leiria942313:11+214
10AVS933311:10+112
11Portimonense93246:10-411
12Torreense92438:10-210
13Leixoes931510:14-410
14Amarante92258:12-48
15Chaves92259:18-98
16FC Porto B92258:17-98
17Felgueiras 193291449:12-37
18Feirense80262:10-82

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.87X28%3.33223%3.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Oct 00:011 Nov 15:101 1.87X 3.332 3.91
11.92 → 1.87 -2.6%X3.24 → 3.33 +2.8%23.72 → 3.91 +5.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.121.725.3%
Betano2.121.706.0%
Bet3652.101.706.4%
1xBet2.091.687.4%
Marathonbet2.091.687.4%
Betfair2.101.658.2%
BetVictor2.031.679.1%
Best of all books2.121.725.3%
Average2.091.697.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.911.837.0%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.891.818.2%
Betano1.901.808.2%
BetVictor1.901.808.2%
Marathonbet1.891.798.8%
Best of all books2.001.854.1%
Average1.911.808.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Penafiel 45%Draw 45%Feirense 10%

The statistical model rates Penafiel at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Feirense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.33 | 3.91, which imply roughly 53.5% for a Penafiel win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda Liga table: Penafiel are 4th (16 pts, 18-8 goals), Feirense 18th (2 pts, 2-10).

Over their last five matches, Penafiel averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Feirense averaged 0.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Penafiel.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.883.343.89

Double chance

1XX212
1.211.871.27

Draw no bet

12
1.362.96

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.911.80

1st half

1X2
2.482.074.62

2nd half

1X2
2.262.364.14

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9214.541.2
HT X4.634.918.53
HT 224.715.06.81

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.648.352.63

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.32
1.51.343.01
2.52.091.69
3.53.711.24
4.57.381.06
5.515.31.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.047.10
11.056.50
1.251.193.83
1.751.432.59
21.572.26
2.251.831.90
2.752.401.51
32.941.31
3.253.291.25
3.754.511.13
46.251.06
4.256.601.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.253.031.34
-12.671.42
-0.752.111.65
-0.51.881.89
-0.251.612.21
01.372.91
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.001.06
-2.256.771.07
-26.371.08
-1.754.341.17
-1.53.431.27
+0.251.293.33
+0.51.253.94
+0.751.144.84
+11.037.50
+1.251.027.90
+1.51.018.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.61
7.51.223.62
8.51.442.55
9.51.761.97
10.52.241.57
11.52.961.33
12.54.151.15
13.56.161.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.065.56
71.075.31
7.251.144.24
7.751.233.42
81.263.24
8.251.352.81
8.751.492.39
91.582.25
9.251.662.08
9.751.861.84
101.991.77
10.252.091.65
10.752.381.49
112.631.40
11.252.771.36
11.753.251.25
123.751.19
12.253.921.17
12.754.741.10
135.751.06
13.255.961.05

Latest Segunda Liga results

1 NovLusitânia Lourosa 1-1 Farense
1 NovTondela 3-2 Felgueiras 1932
1 NovVizela 2-1 Academica
31 OctUnião de Leiria 2-1 AVS
31 OctBenfica B 3-1 Chaves
31 OctLeixoes 1-2 Sporting CP B