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Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932• Segunda Liga, Portugal

#81.4:0.814:0001/11 · Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela1.0:1.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.92DAFX3.58PIN24.50B365Margin at best2.2%Books10Markets74Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.923.454.204.9%
Pinnacle1.803.584.356.5%
Betano1.873.354.256.9%
1xBet1.823.444.207.8%
Marathonbet1.803.444.208.4%
Bet3651.803.254.508.5%
BetVictor1.803.204.409.5%
Betfair1.803.304.0010.9%
William Hill1.803.104.0012.8%
SBO1.822.903.6716.7%
Best of all books1.923.584.502.2%
Average1.823.304.189.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TondelaFelgueiras 1932
Last 10#8Table position#161.50Points per game0.8812Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.458Attack rating4264Defence rating3669Form rating3150H2H rating5085Goals model1563Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 00:03 UTC

Tondela

6W 0D 4L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

25 OctAAVS1-2L
18 OctHAlverca2-0W
10 OctHTorreense1-0W
19 SepAImortal Albufeira5-1W
12 SepAPortimonense2-0W
5 SepHFC Porto B3-0W
28 AugAUnião de Leiria0-2L
21 AugHAcademica0-2L
16 AugALeixoes0-1L
8 AugHAmarante2-1W

Felgueiras 1932

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

25 OctHLusitânia Lourosa2-2D
18 OctHFafe1-0W
12 OctABenfica B0-1L
19 SepANaval 18932-0W
12 SepHPenafiel1-2L
6 SepAVizela0-1L
30 AugHChaves2-1W
24 AugAFarense1-1D
17 AugHAVS1-1D
9 AugAFeirense0-0D

Head to head

1Tondela wins
1draws
1Felgueiras 1932 wins

3 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Tondela

8 Feb 2025Segunda LigaSegunda LigaFelgueiras 19321-0Tondela
31 Aug 2024Segunda LigaSegunda LigaTondela1-1Felgueiras 1932
22 Nov 2020Taça de PortugalTaça de PortugalFelgueiras 19320-1Tondela

Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Segunda Liga table, Tondela sit 8th with 12 points from 8 games, while Felgueiras 1932 are 16th with 7 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Lusitânia Lourosa853014:7+718
2Sporting CP B860213:6+718
3Penafiel851218:8+1016
4Academica850314:10+415
5Farense842214:10+414
6Benfica B84228:5+314
7AVS833210:8+212
8Tondela84049:8+112
9Vizela83238:8011
10União de Leiria832311:10+111
11Leixoes83149:12-310
12Portimonense83146:10-410
13Torreense82338:10-29
14Chaves82248:15-78
15FC Porto B82247:15-88
16Felgueiras 193281437:9-27
17Amarante81256:11-55
18Feirense80262:10-82

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.82X28%3.30222%4.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:0130 Oct 03:001 1.82X 3.302 4.18
11.89 → 1.82 -3.7%X3.21 → 3.30 +2.8%23.92 → 4.18 +6.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.361.585.7%
Betano2.371.575.9%
Betfair2.451.536.2%
Bet3652.351.576.2%
1xBet2.291.577.4%
Marathonbet2.291.577.4%
BetVictor2.251.559.0%
Best of all books2.451.584.1%
Average2.341.566.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.201.627.2%
Betfair2.201.627.2%
Betano2.121.657.8%
1xBet2.081.678.0%
BetVictor2.101.658.2%
William Hill2.051.678.7%
Marathonbet2.081.658.7%
Best of all books2.201.675.3%
Average2.121.657.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tondela 45%Draw 45%Felgueiras 1932 10%

The statistical model rates Tondela at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Felgueiras 1932 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.30 | 4.18, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Tondela win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda Liga table: Tondela are 8th (12 pts, 9-8 goals), Felgueiras 1932 16th (7 pts, 7-9).

Over their last five matches, Tondela averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Felgueiras 1932 averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Tondela or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.823.304.18

Double chance

1XX212
1.181.901.27

Draw no bet

12
1.333.14

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.121.65

1st half

1X2
2.472.014.90

2nd half

1X2
2.262.274.45

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.8515.346.2
HT X4.494.698.87
HT 227.015.87.29

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.627.102.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.37
1.51.432.63
2.52.341.56
3.54.351.18
4.58.751.04
5.516.81.01
6.550.5–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.056.55
11.075.90
1.251.233.43
1.751.532.31
21.731.99
2.252.011.72
2.752.611.43
33.441.23
3.253.851.19
3.755.301.09
47.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.991.34
-12.581.44
-0.752.051.69
-0.51.811.96
-0.251.552.31
01.323.19
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.101.04
-2.256.831.06
-26.471.07
-1.754.301.17
-1.53.421.27
+0.251.253.57
+0.51.214.28
+0.751.115.41
+11.018.50
+1.251.018.82
+1.51.028.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.114.70
7.51.293.25
8.51.552.34
9.51.891.82
10.52.471.48
11.53.391.27
12.55.121.08
13.57.281.01
19 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.124.47
71.144.24
7.251.223.50
7.751.332.88
81.382.71
8.251.482.42
8.751.652.10
91.741.97
9.251.851.85
9.752.091.66
102.261.55
10.252.401.49
10.752.781.35
113.151.27
11.253.321.24
11.753.981.16
124.731.10
12.254.931.09
136.841.02

Next Segunda Liga matches

31 OctAmarante – FC Porto B
31 OctPortimonense – Torreense
31 OctLeixoes – Sporting CP B
31 OctBenfica B – Chaves
31 OctUnião de Leiria – AVS
1 NovVizela – Academica

All Segunda Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda Liga results

26 OctTorreense 1-0 Amarante
25 OctFC Porto B 1-1 União de Leiria
25 OctFelgueiras 1932 2-2 Lusitânia Lourosa
25 OctAVS 2-1 Tondela
24 OctFarense 1-4 Penafiel
24 OctFeirense 0-0 Benfica B