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SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV• Bundesliga, Germany

#161.0:1.813:30Tomorrow · Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn1.2:2.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35PINX3.941XB23.05BTNMargin at best0.7%Books10Markets94Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 05:28 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.313.943.041.6%
Pinnacle2.343.772.933.4%
Dafabet2.313.752.953.9%
Marathonbet2.253.842.964.3%
Betano2.273.603.054.6%
Betfair2.253.802.905.2%
Bet3652.203.753.005.5%
William Hill2.203.602.907.7%
BetVictor2.153.602.8010.0%
SBO2.213.322.6613.0%
Best of all books2.343.943.050.9%
Average2.253.702.925.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV
Last 10#16Table position#90.83Points per game1.507Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 52.645Attack rating5559Defence rating4131Form rating6985H2H rating1558Goals model4257Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

SC Paderborn 07

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

17 OctAWerder Bremen2-2D
10 OctHVfB Stuttgart0-2L
30 SepADC United1-0W
20 SepH1899 Hoffenheim3-1W
12 SepABorussia Dortmund0-3L
5 SepHSC Freiburg0-1L
29 AugAFSV Mainz 050-0D
23 AugAPhönix Lübeck4-2W
8 AugAWerder Bremen2-2D
1 AugAVfL Osnabrück2-0W

Hamburger SV

6W 1D 3L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

17 OctHVfB Stuttgart1-0W
10 OctA1899 Hoffenheim3-2W
4 OctHFC Copenhagen2-0W
19 SepH1. FC Köln2-1W
13 SepARB Leipzig0-5L
6 SepHFSV Mainz 050-5L
29 AugABorussia Dortmund0-2L
24 AugAVerl3-0W
15 AugAToulouse2-1W
8 AugHLille2-2D

Head to head

6SC Paderborn 07 wins
2draws
7Hamburger SV wins

15 meetings · goals 25:25 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for SC Paderborn 07

2 Mar 20252. Bundesliga2. BundesligaSC Paderborn 072-0Hamburger SV
28 Sep 20242. Bundesliga2. BundesligaHamburger SV2-2SC Paderborn 07
10 May 20242. Bundesliga2. BundesligaSC Paderborn 071-0Hamburger SV
9 Dec 20232. Bundesliga2. BundesligaHamburger SV1-2SC Paderborn 07
5 May 20232. Bundesliga2. BundesligaHamburger SV2-2SC Paderborn 07
30 Oct 20222. Bundesliga2. BundesligaSC Paderborn 072-3Hamburger SV
2 Apr 20222. Bundesliga2. BundesligaHamburger SV1-2SC Paderborn 07
22 Oct 20212. Bundesliga2. BundesligaSC Paderborn 071-2Hamburger SV
30 Jan 20212. Bundesliga2. BundesligaHamburger SV3-1SC Paderborn 07
28 Sep 20202. Bundesliga2. BundesligaSC Paderborn 073-4Hamburger SV

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, SC Paderborn 07 sit 16th with 5 points from 6 games, while Hamburger SV are 9th with 9 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bayern München642022:5+1714
2Borussia Dortmund642011:4+714
3SC Freiburg641115:6+913
4Bayer Leverkusen641116:9+713
5FSV Mainz 05631214:10+410
6SV Elversberg631212:11+110
7RB Leipzig630316:11+59
8Werder Bremen623112:1209
9Hamburger SV63036:15-99
10FC Augsburg622216:12+48
11Eintracht Frankfurt622210:16-68
121. FC Köln62138:11-37
13VfB Stuttgart62048:10-26
141899 Hoffenheim620411:14-36
15FC Schalke 0461234:7-35
16SC Paderborn 0761235:9-45
17Union Berlin61235:17-125
18Borussia Mönchengladbach60068:20-120

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.26X26%3.68232%2.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0122 Oct 18:011 2.26X 3.682 2.92
12.32 → 2.26 -2.6%X3.70 → 3.68 -0.5%22.80 → 2.92 +4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.642.471.5%
Pinnacle1.602.433.7%
Betano1.602.404.2%
Bet3651.572.385.7%
Betfair1.532.456.2%
Marathonbet1.532.318.6%
BetVictor1.542.269.2%
Best of all books1.642.471.5%
Average1.572.395.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.532.505.4%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.472.557.2%
Betfair1.442.637.5%
1xBet1.482.507.6%
BetVictor1.452.558.2%
Marathonbet1.482.468.2%
Best of all books1.532.633.4%
Average1.482.537.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SC Paderborn 07 45%Draw 45%Hamburger SV 10%

The statistical model rates SC Paderborn 07 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hamburger SV at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.26 | 3.68 | 2.92, which imply roughly 44.2% for a SC Paderborn 07 win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: SC Paderborn 07 are 16th (5 pts, 5-9 goals), Hamburger SV 9th (9 pts, 6-15).

Over their last five matches, SC Paderborn 07 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Hamburger SV averaged 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : SC Paderborn 07 or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.253.702.92

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.651.26

Draw no bet

12
1.642.18

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.482.53

1st half

1X2
2.692.373.36

2nd half

1X2
2.502.713.02

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.4613.125.0
HT X5.906.317.09
HT 222.013.64.68

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8117.42.08

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.7
1.51.174.81
2.51.572.39
3.52.421.56
4.54.251.21
5.57.751.07
6.513.91.02
7.519.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0210.4
1.751.174.14
21.253.76
2.251.402.79
2.751.702.12
31.921.89
3.252.181.69
3.752.781.42
43.421.30
4.253.751.24
4.754.941.13
56.581.07
5.256.811.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.561.48
-0.52.231.66
-0.251.961.85
01.692.20
+0.251.532.51
+0.51.412.87
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.57.631.05
-26.791.07
-1.755.001.14
-1.53.891.22
-1.253.641.26
-13.321.32
+0.751.293.49
+11.174.85
+1.251.145.26
+1.51.125.58
+1.751.066.90
+2.51.0310.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.3
1.51.106.10
2.51.303.35
3.51.662.14
4.52.381.55
5.53.351.30
6.55.001.15
7.57.301.07
8.59.751.03
9.511.01.02
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.362.98
41.991.82
53.271.31

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.0
4.51.0310.8
5.51.048.25
6.51.115.03
7.51.243.42
8.51.442.53
9.51.801.96
10.52.261.57
11.52.981.32
12.54.011.18
13.55.461.09
14.56.741.05
15.510.31.03
16.511.81.02
17.513.51.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.124.15
7.751.243.34
81.262.92
8.251.352.79
8.751.492.40
91.552.26
9.251.682.10
9.751.861.82
101.991.76
10.252.131.60
10.752.411.46
112.571.42
11.252.831.33
123.251.21
134.301.11
145.451.05

Next Bundesliga matches

23 OctVfB Stuttgart – Borussia Mönchengladbach
24 OctFC Augsburg – Union Berlin
24 OctRB Leipzig – SV Elversberg
24 Oct1. FC Köln – FC Schalke 04
24 OctFSV Mainz 05 – Werder Bremen
24 OctBorussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt

All Bundesliga fixtures and the table

Latest Bundesliga results

18 OctBorussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 1899 Hoffenheim
18 OctBayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg
17 OctBayern München 6-1 RB Leipzig
17 OctWerder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07
17 OctHamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart
17 OctFC Schalke 04 0-1 FSV Mainz 05