Bayer Leverkusen vs 
SC Freiburg• Bundesliga, Germany
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 14:08 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 4.42 | 4.62 | 1.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.54 | 4.36 | 3.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 4.30 | 4.50 | 4.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.33 | 5.7% |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.20 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.20 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 4.54 | 4.62 | 0.8% |
| Average | 1.70 | 4.24 | 4.37 | 5.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 14:20 UTC
Bayer Leverkusen
7W 1D 2L · goals 27:11 · per match 2.7 for, 1.1 against
| 15 Oct | A | Lech Poznan | 4-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | FSV Mainz 05 | 4-3 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | RB Leipzig | 2-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Celje | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | FC Augsburg | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Union Berlin | 4-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | SV Elversberg | 2-3 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | SV Wehen | 4-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Newcastle | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Aug | A | Nottingham Forest | 1-2 | L |
SC Freiburg
9W 1D 0L · goals 33:11 · per match 3.3 for, 1.1 against
| 15 Oct | H | FK Jablonec | 3-2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | FC Schalke 04 | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | FC Luzern | 4-2 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | SC Paderborn 07 | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Werder Bremen | 4-1 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | Motherwell | 4-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 5-1 | W |
| 20 Aug | A | Motherwell | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
32 meetings · goals 52:33 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Bayer Leverkusen
| 7 Mar 2026Bundesliga | Bundesliga | SC Freiburg3-3Bayer Leverkusen |
| 26 Oct 2025Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Bayer Leverkusen2-0SC Freiburg |
| 4 May 2025Bundesliga | Bundesliga | SC Freiburg2-2Bayer Leverkusen |
| 21 Dec 2024Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Bayer Leverkusen5-1SC Freiburg |
| 17 Mar 2024Bundesliga | Bundesliga | SC Freiburg2-3Bayer Leverkusen |
| 29 Oct 2023Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Bayer Leverkusen2-1SC Freiburg |
| 26 Feb 2023Bundesliga | Bundesliga | SC Freiburg1-1Bayer Leverkusen |
| 3 Sep 2022Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Bayer Leverkusen2-3SC Freiburg |
| 14 May 2022Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Bayer Leverkusen2-1SC Freiburg |
| 19 Dec 2021Bundesliga | Bundesliga | SC Freiburg2-1Bayer Leverkusen |
Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 16 Oct 00:31 UTC
In the Bundesliga table, Bayer Leverkusen sit 4th with 10 points from 5 games, while SC Freiburg are 1st with 13 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 2.72 | 4.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.62 | 4.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 2.58 | 8.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 2.58 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 2.50 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.72 | 3.4% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.60 | 7.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 2.50 | 7.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 2.46 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 2.55 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.55 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.48 | 2.50 | 7.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Bayer Leverkusen at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and SC Freiburg at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 4.23 | 4.32, which imply roughly 58.8% for a Bayer Leverkusen win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Bundesliga table: Bayer Leverkusen are 4th (10 pts, 14-8 goals), SC Freiburg 1st (13 pts, 14-4).
Over their last five matches, Bayer Leverkusen averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; SC Freiburg averaged 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 4.24 | 4.37 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 2.14 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.30 | 3.30 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.48 | 2.50 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | 2.56 | 4.42 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.97 | 2.89 | 4.08 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.46 | 14.4 | 33.0 |
| HT X | 4.90 | 7.07 | 10.3 |
| HT 2 | 19.8 | 15.4 | 7.20 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | 20.8 | 2.50 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 21.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.11 | 5.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.46 | 2.60 |
| 3.5 | 2.17 | 1.71 |
| 4.5 | 3.62 | 1.26 |
| 5.5 | 6.60 | 1.08 |
| 6.5 | 13.0 | 1.04 |
| 7.5 | 23.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 50.5 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 16.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.12 | 4.81 |
| 2 | 1.15 | 4.40 |
| 2.25 | 1.31 | 3.17 |
| 2.75 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
| 3 | 1.69 | 2.09 |
| 3.25 | 1.94 | 1.87 |
| 3.75 | 2.43 | 1.52 |
| 4 | 2.92 | 1.37 |
| 4.25 | 3.19 | 1.31 |
| 4.75 | 4.24 | 1.16 |
| 5 | 5.65 | 1.08 |
| 5.25 | 5.90 | 1.07 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.70 | 1.46 |
| -1.25 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
| -1 | 2.12 | 1.71 |
| -0.75 | 1.83 | 1.95 |
| -0.5 | 1.66 | 2.18 |
| -0.25 | 1.48 | 2.55 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| -2.75 | 6.11 | 1.09 |
| -2.5 | 4.83 | 1.14 |
| -2.25 | 4.47 | 1.17 |
| -2 | 4.12 | 1.20 |
| -1.75 | 3.34 | 1.32 |
| 0 | 1.29 | 3.36 |
| +0.25 | 1.24 | 3.74 |
| +0.5 | 1.22 | 4.15 |
| +0.75 | 1.12 | 5.35 |
| +1 | 1.03 | 7.90 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.36 | 2.98 |
| 3 | 1.55 | 2.41 |
| 3.5 | 1.77 | 2.01 |
| 4 | 2.47 | 1.52 |
| 4.5 | 2.23 | 1.65 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.02 | 7.03 |
| 6.5 | 1.10 | 4.75 |
| 7.5 | 1.23 | 3.26 |
| 8.5 | 1.47 | 2.44 |
| 9.5 | 1.86 | 1.90 |
| 10.5 | 2.30 | 1.52 |
| 11.5 | 2.92 | 1.29 |
| 12.5 | 3.96 | 1.15 |
| 13.5 | 5.36 | 1.07 |
| 14.5 | 5.42 | 1.05 |
17 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.05 | 5.49 |
| 7 | 1.13 | 3.95 |
| 7.75 | 1.24 | 3.26 |
| 8 | 1.31 | 2.88 |
| 8.25 | 1.34 | 2.72 |
| 8.75 | 1.50 | 2.34 |
| 9 | 1.63 | 2.17 |
| 9.25 | 1.71 | 2.06 |
| 9.75 | 1.92 | 1.82 |
| 10 | 2.09 | 1.67 |
| 10.25 | 2.11 | 1.56 |
| 10.75 | 2.45 | 1.43 |
| 11 | 2.67 | 1.36 |
| 11.25 | 2.79 | 1.28 |
| 12 | 3.45 | 1.18 |
| 13 | 4.55 | 1.09 |
| 14 | 5.65 | 1.04 |