FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin• Bundesliga, Germany

#102.6:2.413:30Tomorrow · WWK Arena, Augsburg0.4:2.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.881XBX4.261XB24.10B365Margin at best1.1%Books10Markets101Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 05:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.88	4.26	4.01	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.87	4.10	3.90	3.5%
Dafabet	1.89	4.00	3.85	3.9%
Marathonbet	1.83	4.15	3.90	4.4%
Bet365	1.83	3.90	4.10	4.7%
Betano	1.85	4.05	3.85	4.7%
Betfair	1.87	4.00	3.75	5.1%
William Hill	1.83	3.80	3.70	8.0%
BetVictor	1.80	3.80	3.60	9.6%
SBO	1.86	3.49	3.26	13.1%
Best of all books	1.89	4.26	4.10	0.8%
Average	1.85	3.95	3.79	5.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC AugsburgUnion Berlin

Last 10#10Table position#171.33Points per game0.833Form pts · last 572.6Goals for · last 50.42.4Goals against · last 52.887Attack rating1354Defence rating4656Form rating4450H2H rating50100Goals model059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

FC Augsburg

4W 3D 3L · goals 23:20 · per match 2.3 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	A	SV Elversberg	3-4	L
10 Oct	H	Bayern München	2-2	D
2 Oct	H	Hertha BSC	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Werder Bremen	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Bayer Leverkusen	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Eintracht Frankfurt	4-1	W
30 Aug	H	FC Schalke 04	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Energie Cottbus	2-0	W
15 Aug	A	Leeds	0-4	L
8 Aug	H	Sassuolo	3-2	W

Union Berlin

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:25 · per match 1.5 for, 2.5 against

17 Oct	H	Borussia Dortmund	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	SV Elversberg	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	HNK Rijeka	1-0	W
18 Sep	A	Bayern München	0-7	L
11 Sep	H	FC Schalke 04	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Bayer Leverkusen	0-4	L
29 Aug	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	3-3	D
23 Aug	A	Eintracht Braunschweig	4-2	W
15 Aug	H	Ipswich	2-4	L
9 Aug	H	Aris	3-2	W

Head to head

6FC Augsburg wins

5draws

5Union Berlin wins

16 meetings · goals 18:17 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for FC Augsburg

16 May 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin4-0FC Augsburg
15 Jan 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FC Augsburg1-1Union Berlin
17 May 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FC Augsburg1-2Union Berlin
15 Jan 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin0-2FC Augsburg
12 Apr 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FC Augsburg2-0Union Berlin
25 Nov 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin1-1FC Augsburg
6 May 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FC Augsburg1-0Union Berlin
7 Jan 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	FC Augsburg0-1Union Berlin
7 Jan 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Union Berlin1-0FC Augsburg
9 Nov 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin2-2FC Augsburg

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, FC Augsburg sit 10th with 8 points from 6 games, while Union Berlin are 17th with 5 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	6	4	2	0	22:5	+17	14
2	Borussia Dortmund	6	4	2	0	11:4	+7	14
3	SC Freiburg	6	4	1	1	15:6	+9	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	16:9	+7	13
5	FSV Mainz 05	6	3	1	2	14:10	+4	10
6	SV Elversberg	6	3	1	2	12:11	+1	10
7	RB Leipzig	6	3	0	3	16:11	+5	9
8	Werder Bremen	6	2	3	1	12:12	0	9
9	Hamburger SV	6	3	0	3	6:15	-9	9
10	FC Augsburg	6	2	2	2	16:12	+4	8
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	2	2	2	10:16	-6	8
12	1. FC Köln	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7
13	VfB Stuttgart	6	2	0	4	8:10	-2	6
14	1899 Hoffenheim	6	2	0	4	11:14	-3	6
15	FC Schalke 04	6	1	2	3	4:7	-3	5
16	SC Paderborn 07	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5
17	Union Berlin	6	1	2	3	5:17	-12	5
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	6	0	0	6	8:20	-12	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.85X24%3.94225%3.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.88 → 1.85 -1.6%X3.91 → 3.94 +0.8%23.67 → 3.81 +3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.50	2.67	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.50	2.67	4.1%
Bet365	1.50	2.62	4.8%
1xBet	1.48	2.63	5.6%
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.55	8.7%
BetVictor	1.46	2.47	9.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.67	4.1%
Average	1.48	2.61	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.47	2.57	6.9%
Betfair	1.44	2.63	7.5%
1xBet	1.45	2.59	7.6%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
William Hill	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.55	8.2%
BetVictor	1.40	2.63	9.5%
Best of all books	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Average	1.44	2.60	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Augsburg 45%Draw 45%Union Berlin 10%

The statistical model rates FC Augsburg at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Union Berlin at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.94 | 3.81, which imply roughly 54.1% for a FC Augsburg win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: FC Augsburg are 10th (8 pts, 16-12 goals), Union Berlin 17th (5 pts, 5-17).

Over their last five matches, FC Augsburg averaged 2.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Union Berlin averaged 0.4 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : FC Augsburg and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	3.95	3.79

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.93	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.60

1st half

1	X	2
2.31	2.46	3.90

2nd half

1	X	2
2.10	2.81	3.71

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.70	14.1	30.3
HT X	5.22	6.89	9.11
HT 2	19.4	14.4	6.07

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	20.0	2.35

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.5
1.5	1.13	5.53
2.5	1.48	2.61
3.5	2.22	1.67
4.5	3.70	1.26
5.5	6.69	1.09
6.5	11.4	1.03
7.5	17.1	1.02
8.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.13	4.84
2	1.19	4.28
2.25	1.32	3.15
2.75	1.57	2.34
3	1.74	2.09
3.25	1.98	1.84
3.75	2.50	1.52
4	3.03	1.38
4.25	3.28	1.31
4.75	4.37	1.17
5	5.80	1.10
5.25	6.01	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.72	1.44
-1	2.42	1.57
-0.75	2.05	1.78
-0.5	1.85	1.99
-0.25	1.60	2.31
0	1.40	2.94

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	11.1	1.03
-3	9.95	1.02
-2.75	6.97	1.05
-2.5	5.70	1.12
-2.25	5.29	1.13
-2	4.83	1.16
-1.75	3.60	1.25
-1.5	3.06	1.36
+0.25	1.31	3.29
+0.5	1.26	3.74
+0.75	1.16	4.71
+1	1.09	6.82
+1.25	1.04	7.00
+1.5	1.05	7.47
+2.5	1.02	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.10	6.30
2.5	1.28	3.45
3.5	1.66	2.16
4.5	2.30	1.59
5.5	3.25	1.31
6.5	4.85	1.16
7.5	7.10	1.08
8.5	9.75	1.03
9.5	11.3	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.39	2.86
4	2.00	1.81
5	3.43	1.28

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	11.5
5.5	1.05	8.75
6.5	1.07	5.97
7.5	1.17	4.09
8.5	1.33	2.89
9.5	1.59	2.22
10.5	2.00	1.75
11.5	2.50	1.46
12.5	3.33	1.25
13.5	4.52	1.14
14.5	6.05	1.07
15.5	9.00	1.04
16.5	11.0	1.02
17.5	12.5	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	4.90
7.75	1.15	4.25
8	1.17	3.52
8.25	1.24	3.41
8.75	1.33	2.90
9	1.37	2.62
9.25	1.46	2.47
9.75	1.63	2.13
10	1.81	1.97
10.25	1.85	1.89
10.75	2.04	1.66
11	2.18	1.62
11.25	2.30	1.49
12	2.78	1.33
13	3.55	1.17
14	4.62	1.09

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