Hamburger SV vs 
VfB Stuttgart• Bundesliga, Germany
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 18:18 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.08 | 4.08 | 1.90 | 1.7% |
| Pinnacle | 4.20 | 4.04 | 1.82 | 3.5% |
| Marathonbet | 4.33 | 4.00 | 1.78 | 4.3% |
| Bet365 | 3.80 | 4.20 | 1.80 | 5.7% |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.75 | 1.83 | 7.6% |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.75 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.90 | -0.5% |
| Average | 3.97 | 4.01 | 1.81 | 5.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:51 UTC
Hamburger SV
5W 1D 4L · goals 15:20 · per match 1.5 for, 2.0 against
| 10 Oct | A | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3-2 | W |
| 4 Oct | H | FC Copenhagen | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | 1. FC Köln | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | RB Leipzig | 0-5 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | FSV Mainz 05 | 0-5 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Borussia Dortmund | 0-2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Verl | 3-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Toulouse | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | Lille | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Aug | H | Everton | 1-2 | L |
VfB Stuttgart
7W 0D 3L · goals 26:10 · per match 2.6 for, 1.0 against
| 14 Oct | A | Slovan Bratislava | 3-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | SC Paderborn 07 | 2-0 | W |
| 1 Oct | H | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 5-0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | 1. FC Heidenheim | 3-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Borussia Dortmund | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1-2 | L |
| 9 Sep | H | Viking | 3-1 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | 1. FC Köln | 4-1 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Bayern München | 1-5 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | Hansa Rostock | 4-0 | W |
Head to head
23 meetings · goals 34:47 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Hamburger SV
| 12 Apr 2026Bundesliga | Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart4-0Hamburger SV |
| 30 Nov 2025Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Hamburger SV2-1VfB Stuttgart |
| 5 Jun 2023Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Hamburger SV1-3VfB Stuttgart |
| 1 Jun 2023Bundesliga | Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart3-0Hamburger SV |
| 26 Aug 2020Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | VfB Stuttgart3-2Hamburger SV |
| 28 May 20202. Bundesliga | 2. Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart3-2Hamburger SV |
| 29 Oct 2019DFB Pokal | DFB Pokal | Hamburger SV1-2VfB Stuttgart |
| 26 Oct 20192. Bundesliga | 2. Bundesliga | Hamburger SV6-2VfB Stuttgart |
| 31 Mar 2018Bundesliga | Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart1-1Hamburger SV |
| 4 Nov 2017Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Hamburger SV3-1VfB Stuttgart |
Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 16 Oct 20:31 UTC
In the Bundesliga table, Hamburger SV sit 12th with 6 points from 5 games, while VfB Stuttgart are 11th with 6 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 3.00 | 4.8% |
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 2.97 | 5.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 2.93 | 8.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 2.83 | 8.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.37 | 2.78 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 3.00 | 4.8% |
| Average | 1.37 | 2.90 | 7.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.40 | 2.90 | 5.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 2.98 | 7.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 2.90 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 2.76 | 8.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 2.98 | 5.0% |
| Average | 1.38 | 2.86 | 7.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Hamburger SV at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and VfB Stuttgart at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.97 | 4.01 | 1.81, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Bundesliga table: Hamburger SV are 12th (6 pts, 5-15 goals), VfB Stuttgart 11th (6 pts, 8-9).
Over their last five matches, Hamburger SV averaged 1 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; VfB Stuttgart averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : VfB Stuttgart.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.97 | 4.01 | 1.81 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.98 | 1.25 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.87 | 1.37 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.38 | 2.86 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.03 | 2.56 | 2.27 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.68 | 2.93 | 2.05 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 6.58 | 14.9 | 19.7 |
| HT X | 9.43 | 6.82 | 5.15 |
| HT 2 | 31.7 | 14.1 | 2.64 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.38 | 21.5 | 1.57 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 22.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.07 | 6.61 |
| 2.5 | 1.37 | 2.90 |
| 3.5 | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| 4.5 | 3.06 | 1.34 |
| 5.5 | 5.45 | 1.11 |
| 6.5 | 11.0 | 1.05 |
| 7.5 | 21.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 41.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 17.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.08 | 5.77 |
| 2 | 1.10 | 5.30 |
| 2.25 | 1.23 | 3.58 |
| 2.75 | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| 3 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
| 3.25 | 1.77 | 2.05 |
| 3.75 | 2.18 | 1.69 |
| 4 | 2.52 | 1.49 |
| 4.25 | 2.76 | 1.40 |
| 4.75 | 3.56 | 1.23 |
| 5 | 4.55 | 1.14 |
| 5.25 | 4.83 | 1.12 |
| 6 | 8.95 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.35 | 1.56 |
| +0.5 | 2.02 | 1.77 |
| +0.75 | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| +1 | 1.61 | 2.31 |
| +1.25 | 1.49 | 2.61 |
| +1.5 | 1.41 | 2.90 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -1.25 | 7.00 | 1.10 |
| -1 | 7.12 | 1.06 |
| -0.75 | 4.85 | 1.14 |
| -0.5 | 3.93 | 1.26 |
| -0.25 | 3.40 | 1.29 |
| 0 | 2.98 | 1.36 |
| +1.75 | 1.28 | 3.46 |
| +2 | 1.18 | 4.42 |
| +2.25 | 1.14 | 4.79 |
| +2.5 | 1.13 | 5.17 |
| +2.75 | 1.07 | 6.53 |
| +3 | 1.01 | 9.05 |
| +3.5 | 1.02 | 10.0 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.38 | 2.90 |
| 3.5 | 1.69 | 2.12 |
| 4 | 2.07 | 1.75 |
| 4.5 | 2.30 | 1.58 |
| 5 | 3.32 | 1.30 |
| 5.5 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.06 | 5.93 |
| 7.5 | 1.15 | 4.07 |
| 8.5 | 1.31 | 2.94 |
| 9.5 | 1.62 | 2.17 |
| 10.5 | 1.97 | 1.79 |
| 11.5 | 2.45 | 1.47 |
| 12.5 | 3.09 | 1.25 |
| 13.5 | 4.20 | 1.13 |
| 14.5 | 5.65 | 1.06 |
16 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.08 | 4.80 |
| 8 | 1.18 | 3.42 |
| 8.75 | 1.31 | 2.86 |
| 9 | 1.39 | 2.55 |
| 9.25 | 1.45 | 2.47 |
| 9.75 | 1.60 | 2.13 |
| 10 | 1.83 | 1.93 |
| 10.25 | 1.84 | 1.90 |
| 10.75 | 1.98 | 1.64 |
| 11 | 2.21 | 1.58 |
| 11.25 | 2.28 | 1.49 |
| 11.75 | 2.58 | 1.33 |
| 12 | 2.75 | 1.29 |
| 12.25 | 3.00 | 1.25 |
| 13 | 3.65 | 1.16 |
| 14 | 4.75 | 1.08 |