FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen• Bundesliga, Germany

#52.8:2.013:30Tomorrow · MEWA Arena, Mainz2.2:1.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.801XBX4.311XB24.50B365Margin at best1.0%Books10Markets101Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L54.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 05:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.80	4.31	4.41	1.4%
Pinnacle	1.76	4.20	4.32	3.8%
Marathonbet	1.75	4.20	4.30	4.2%
Dafabet	1.76	4.10	4.30	4.5%
Betano	1.75	4.20	4.20	4.8%
Betfair	1.75	4.20	4.20	4.8%
Bet365	1.73	4.00	4.50	5.0%
William Hill	1.73	3.90	4.00	8.4%
BetVictor	1.67	3.90	4.10	9.9%
SBO	1.70	3.65	3.78	12.7%
Best of all books	1.80	4.31	4.50	1.0%
Average	1.74	4.07	4.21	5.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen

Last 10#5Table position#81.67Points per game1.509Form pts · last 562.8Goals for · last 52.22.0Goals against · last 51.656Attack rating4444Defence rating5650Form rating5029H2H rating7138Goals model6244Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

FSV Mainz 05

7W 1D 2L · goals 32:11 · per match 3.2 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	A	FC Schalke 04	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Bayer Leverkusen	3-4	L
3 Oct	A	Waldhof Mannheim	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4-3	W
12 Sep	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	1-3	L
6 Sep	A	Hamburger SV	5-0	W
29 Aug	H	SC Paderborn 07	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Krieschow	9-0	W
15 Aug	H	Bournemouth	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	Paris FC	4-0	W

Werder Bremen

3W 4D 3L · goals 17:22 · per match 1.7 for, 2.2 against

17 Oct	H	SC Paderborn 07	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	Borussia Dortmund	2-2	D
2 Oct	A	Twente	0-7	L
19 Sep	H	FC Augsburg	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	1. FC Köln	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	RB Leipzig	3-1	W
30 Aug	A	SC Freiburg	1-4	L
22 Aug	A	Lüneburger SK Hansa	3-0	W
15 Aug	H	Auxerre	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	SC Paderborn 07	2-2	D

Head to head

11FSV Mainz 05 wins

7draws

12Werder Bremen wins

30 meetings · goals 43:39 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for FSV Mainz 05

15 Mar 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen0-2FSV Mainz 05
1 Nov 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 051-1Werder Bremen
31 Jan 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen1-0FSV Mainz 05
15 Sep 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 051-2Werder Bremen
3 Feb 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 050-1Werder Bremen
2 Sep 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen4-0FSV Mainz 05
8 Apr 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 052-2Werder Bremen
15 Oct 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen0-2FSV Mainz 05
21 Apr 2021Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen0-1FSV Mainz 05
19 Dec 2020Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 050-1Werder Bremen

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, FSV Mainz 05 sit 5th with 10 points from 6 games, while Werder Bremen are 8th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	6	4	2	0	22:5	+17	14
2	Borussia Dortmund	6	4	2	0	11:4	+7	14
3	SC Freiburg	6	4	1	1	15:6	+9	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	16:9	+7	13
5	FSV Mainz 05	6	3	1	2	14:10	+4	10
6	SV Elversberg	6	3	1	2	12:11	+1	10
7	RB Leipzig	6	3	0	3	16:11	+5	9
8	Werder Bremen	6	2	3	1	12:12	0	9
9	Hamburger SV	6	3	0	3	6:15	-9	9
10	FC Augsburg	6	2	2	2	16:12	+4	8
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	2	2	2	10:16	-6	8
12	1. FC Köln	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7
13	VfB Stuttgart	6	2	0	4	8:10	-2	6
14	1899 Hoffenheim	6	2	0	4	11:14	-3	6
15	FC Schalke 04	6	1	2	3	4:7	-3	5
16	SC Paderborn 07	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5
17	Union Berlin	6	1	2	3	5:17	-12	5
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	6	0	0	6	8:20	-12	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.74X23%4.07222%4.21

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.74 +3.6%X4.17 → 4.07 -2.4%24.51 → 4.21 -6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.56	2.54	3.5%
Betano	1.57	2.50	3.7%
Bet365	1.53	2.50	5.4%
1xBet	1.56	2.42	5.4%
Betfair	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.35	8.8%
BetVictor	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.55	2.9%
Average	1.53	2.46	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.53	2.50	5.4%
Betfair	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.55	2.35	7.1%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.53	2.37	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.34	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Best of all books	1.55	2.50	4.5%
Average	1.52	2.41	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FSV Mainz 05 10%Draw 45%Werder Bremen 45%

The statistical model rates FSV Mainz 05 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Werder Bremen at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 4.07 | 4.21, which imply roughly 24.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: FSV Mainz 05 are 5th (10 pts, 14-10 goals), Werder Bremen 8th (9 pts, 12-12).

Over their last five matches, FSV Mainz 05 averaged 2.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Werder Bremen averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Werder Bremen and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.74	4.07	4.21

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	2.08	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.32	3.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.41

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.45	4.32

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.80	4.03

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.54	14.3	32.6
HT X	4.99	6.82	9.71
HT 2	19.8	15.0	6.91

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	17.8	2.48

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.9
1.5	1.15	5.00
2.5	1.53	2.46
3.5	2.35	1.61
4.5	4.02	1.23
5.5	7.47	1.07
6.5	12.4	1.02
7.5	18.0	1.01
8.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.17	4.24
2	1.22	3.90
2.25	1.38	2.90
2.75	1.66	2.18
3	1.85	1.96
3.25	2.10	1.74
3.75	2.70	1.45
4	3.35	1.31
4.25	3.58	1.26
4.75	4.79	1.14
5	6.35	1.08
5.25	6.56	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.86	1.41
-1.25	2.53	1.50
-1	2.24	1.65
-0.75	1.92	1.91
-0.5	1.72	2.13
-0.25	1.52	2.48

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.8	1.03
-3	8.90	1.02
-2.75	6.47	1.08
-2.5	5.29	1.13
-2.25	4.79	1.15
-2	4.49	1.19
-1.75	3.47	1.29
0	1.32	3.25
+0.25	1.26	3.65
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.13	5.23
+1	1.05	7.38
+1.5	1.04	8.15

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.75
1.5	1.16	4.80
2.5	1.44	2.67
3.5	1.95	1.78
4.5	2.99	1.36
5.5	4.45	1.18
6.5	6.70	1.09
7.5	9.50	1.04
8.5	11.8	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.16	4.84
3	1.71	2.14
4	2.33	1.65

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.5
4.5	1.03	10.8
5.5	1.03	8.27
6.5	1.11	4.96
7.5	1.24	3.39
8.5	1.46	2.50
9.5	1.82	1.94
10.5	2.29	1.55
11.5	3.02	1.31
12.5	4.08	1.17
13.5	5.55	1.09
14.5	7.90	1.06
15.5	10.0	1.03
16.5	11.8	1.02
17.5	13.5	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.57
7	1.13	4.00
7.75	1.25	3.28
8	1.28	2.82
8.25	1.36	2.75
8.75	1.50	2.34
9	1.60	2.22
9.25	1.68	2.03
9.75	1.92	1.82
10	2.04	1.71
10.25	2.16	1.60
10.75	2.47	1.44
11	2.62	1.37
11.25	2.88	1.32
12	3.37	1.19
13	4.47	1.10
14	5.62	1.04

Next Bundesliga matches

23 Oct	VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Mönchengladbach
24 Oct	FC Augsburg – Union Berlin
24 Oct	RB Leipzig – SV Elversberg
24 Oct	1. FC Köln – FC Schalke 04
24 Oct	SC Paderborn 07 – Hamburger SV
24 Oct	Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt

All Bundesliga fixtures and the table

Latest Bundesliga results

18 Oct	Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 1899 Hoffenheim
18 Oct	Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg
17 Oct	Bayern München 6-1 RB Leipzig
17 Oct	Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07
17 Oct	Hamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart
17 Oct	FC Schalke 04 0-1 FSV Mainz 05