FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05• Bundesliga, Germany

#130.8:1.213:30Tomorrow · VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen2.6:2.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.161XBX3.75B36522.341XBMargin at best1.0%Books6Markets79Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.16	3.68	2.34	1.6%
Pinnacle	3.15	3.61	2.28	3.3%
Bet365	3.10	3.75	2.25	3.4%
Marathonbet	3.08	3.58	2.28	4.3%
William Hill	2.90	3.40	2.20	9.3%
BetVictor	2.88	3.50	2.15	9.8%
Best of all books	3.16	3.75	2.34	1.0%
Average	3.04	3.59	2.25	5.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05

Last 10#13Table position#81.00Points per game1.4010Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 52.61.2Goals against · last 52.024Attack rating7663Defence rating3842Form rating5875H2H rating250Goals model053Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:41 UTC

FC Schalke 04

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

11 Oct	A	SC Freiburg	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Austria Lustenau	1-0	W
24 Sep	A	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	5-2	W
20 Sep	H	SV Elversberg	0-0	D
11 Sep	A	Union Berlin	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Bayern München	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	FC Augsburg	0-3	L
24 Aug	A	Hallescher FC	5-2	W
16 Aug	H	Real Madrid	0-3	L
8 Aug	H	Atalanta	0-3	L

FSV Mainz 05

6W 2D 2L · goals 34:14 · per match 3.4 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	H	Bayer Leverkusen	3-4	L
3 Oct	A	Waldhof Mannheim	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4-3	W
12 Sep	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	1-3	L
6 Sep	A	Hamburger SV	5-0	W
29 Aug	H	SC Paderborn 07	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Krieschow	9-0	W
15 Aug	H	Bournemouth	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	Paris FC	4-0	W
1 Aug	A	Udinese	3-3	D

Head to head

14FC Schalke 04 wins

6draws

5FSV Mainz 05 wins

25 meetings · goals 37:24 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for FC Schalke 04

5 May 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 052-3FC Schalke 04
9 Nov 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FC Schalke 041-0FSV Mainz 05
5 Mar 2021Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FC Schalke 040-0FSV Mainz 05
7 Nov 2020Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 052-2FC Schalke 04
16 Feb 2020Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 050-0FC Schalke 04
20 Sep 2019Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FC Schalke 042-1FSV Mainz 05
23 Feb 2019Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 053-0FC Schalke 04
29 Sep 2018Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FC Schalke 041-0FSV Mainz 05
9 Mar 2018Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 050-1FC Schalke 04
20 Oct 2017Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FC Schalke 042-0FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 16 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, FC Schalke 04 sit 13th with 5 points from 5 games, while FSV Mainz 05 are 8th with 7 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	5	4	1	0	14:4	+10	13
2	Borussia Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11:4	+7	13
3	Bayern München	5	3	2	0	16:4	+12	11
4	Bayer Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	14:8	+6	10
5	RB Leipzig	5	3	0	2	15:5	+10	9
6	FC Augsburg	5	2	2	1	13:8	+5	8
7	Werder Bremen	5	2	2	1	10:10	0	8
8	FSV Mainz 05	5	2	1	2	13:10	+3	7
9	SV Elversberg	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
10	1. FC Köln	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7
11	VfB Stuttgart	5	2	0	3	8:9	-1	6
12	Hamburger SV	5	2	0	3	5:15	-10	6
13	FC Schalke 04	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	1	2	2	9:16	-7	5
15	SC Paderborn 07	5	1	1	3	3:7	-4	4
16	Union Berlin	5	1	1	3	5:17	-12	4
17	1899 Hoffenheim	5	1	0	4	9:13	-4	3
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	5	0	0	5	7:18	-11	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%3.05X27%3.59242%2.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.84 → 3.05 +7.4%X3.58 → 3.59 +0.3%22.31 → 2.25 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.70	2.34	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.66	2.30	3.7%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.27	4.7%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
BetVictor	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Best of all books	1.70	2.34	1.6%
Average	1.64	2.28	4.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.53	2.50	5.4%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.51	2.42	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.39	8.1%
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
Best of all books	1.53	2.50	5.4%
Average	1.51	2.43	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Schalke 04 45%Draw 45%FSV Mainz 05 10%

The statistical model rates FC Schalke 04 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and FSV Mainz 05 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.05 | 3.59 | 2.25, which imply roughly 32.8% for a FC Schalke 04 win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: FC Schalke 04 are 13th (5 pts, 4-6 goals), FSV Mainz 05 8th (7 pts, 13-10).

Over their last five matches, FC Schalke 04 averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; FSV Mainz 05 averaged 2.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Schalke 04 or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.05	3.59	2.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.64	1.38	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.17	1.63

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.43

1st half

1	X	2
3.44	2.34	2.77

2nd half

1	X	2
3.10	2.62	2.54

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.82	13.8	24.3
HT X	7.30	5.70	5.80
HT 2	29.3	13.7	3.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	15.0	1.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.3
1.5	1.17	4.53
2.5	1.64	2.28
3.5	2.48	1.50
4.5	4.48	1.17
5.5	8.70	1.04
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	31.5	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.5
1.25	1.09	5.97
1.75	1.21	3.93
2	1.27	3.54
2.25	1.47	2.69
2.75	1.79	2.03
3	1.99	1.77
3.25	2.23	1.60
3.75	2.88	1.37
4	3.59	1.24
4.25	3.96	1.17
4.75	5.30	1.09
5	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.98	1.38
-0.25	2.60	1.50
0	2.25	1.66
+0.25	1.86	1.93
+0.5	1.66	2.19
+0.75	1.47	2.57

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.5	1.01
-2	11.5	1.01
-1.75	7.68	1.04
-1.5	5.90	1.09
-1.25	5.59	1.12
-1	5.12	1.14
-0.75	3.62	1.26
+1	1.31	3.29
+1.25	1.24	3.69
+1.5	1.21	3.95
+1.75	1.13	5.02
+2	1.03	7.20
+2.5	1.02	7.90

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.28	3.48
3.5	1.53	2.47
4	1.78	2.04
4.5	2.18	1.64
5	2.78	1.41

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.59
6.5	1.12	4.41
7.5	1.27	3.02
8.5	1.53	2.29
9.5	1.94	1.83
10.5	2.42	1.47
11.5	3.15	1.25
12.5	4.30	1.13
13.5	5.84	1.06

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.29
7	1.15	3.75
7.75	1.28	3.02
8	1.34	2.73
8.25	1.40	2.50
8.75	1.58	2.17
9	1.69	2.07
9.25	1.82	1.92
9.75	2.02	1.67
10	2.17	1.62
10.25	2.30	1.48
10.75	2.68	1.35
11	2.82	1.32
11.25	3.06	1.24
12	3.62	1.16
13	4.77	1.08
14	5.67	1.04